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Owner-Occupied Housing Units In the 2010 US Census, we learn that \(65 \%\) of all housing units are owner-occupied while the rest are rented. If we take a random sample of 20 housing units, find the probability that: (a) Exactly 15 of them are owner-occupied (b) 18 or more of them are owner-occupied

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probabilities for the mentioned scenarios can be calculated using the formulas mentioned in steps 2 and 3. They will give us specific numerical answers.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the binomial distribution formula

The binomial distribution probability formula is given as follows: \(P(X = k) = C(n, k) (p)^k (1-p)^{n-k}\) where: \n - \(P(X = k)\) is the probability of \(k\) successes in \(n\) trials \n - \(C(n, k)\) is the number of combinations of \(n\) items taken \(k\) at a time \n - \(p\) is the probability of success, which is \(0.65\) in this problem \n - \(1-p\) is the probability of failure \n - \(n\) is the number of trials, \(20\) in this case \n - \(k\) is the number of successes
02

Solve for part (a)

We need to find the probability that exactly 15 housing units are owner-occupied. Using the binomial distribution formula, where \(n = 20\), \(k = 15\) and \(p = 0.65\). \n \(P(X = 15) = C(20, 15) * 0.65^{15} * (1-0.65)^{20-15}\)
03

Solve for part (b)

We need to find the probability that 18 or more housing units are owner-occupied. This can be solved as 1 minus the probability of fewer than 18 successes. So, \n \(P(X \geq 18)= 1 - P(X < 18) \n = 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + ….. + P(X=17)) \n Each of these probabilities on right can be calculated using the binomial distribution formula.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is essential for understanding how likely events are to occur. It helps us make predictions and decisions based on random occurrences.
In this case, we're dealing with a binomial distribution. This type of distribution is used when there's a fixed number of trials or experiments, each with two possible outcomes: success or failure. In our housing example, owner-occupied is considered a success, while rented is a failure.
The probability of a single success remains constant throughout the trials, i.e., 65% or 0.65 in this situation. We can use the binomial distribution formula to calculate specific likelihoods, such as finding exactly or at least a certain number of successes over several trials. This involves combinations and powers of probabilities, which can look complex, but effectively enumerate the different ways to achieve a set number of successes.
  • Trial: Checking if a house is owner-occupied.
  • Success rate: Probability of being owner-occupied (0.65).
  • Number of trials: How many homes we're looking at (20).
By calculating these probabilities, we can better understand and predict patterns in groups of data.
Owner-Occupied Housing Units
Owner-occupied housing units are homes where the person who owns the property also resides. These are contrasted with rental units, where the owner may not live on the premises.
In the context of this problem, we found that 65% of housing units are owner-occupied according to the US Census data from 2010.
The relevance of owning a home extends beyond just personal preference. It has social and economic implications:
  • Economic stability: Homeownership can provide financial stability and the potential for building equity.
  • Community involvement: Owner-occupants often have more investment in their community's well-being and future.
  • Market trends: Understanding ownership rates can influence housing policies and development plans.
Thus, studying the likelihood of housing units being owner-occupied is not just an academic exercise but a lens through which we can analyze socioeconomic trends.
US Census Data Analysis
The US Census collects comprehensive data about the population and housing every ten years. This rich dataset provides insights into American life, including demographics, housing, and economic conditions.
In our problem, we used data from the 2010 Census to explore housing occupancy. Such data allows analysts to discern patterns and make informed predictions or policy decisions.
The census results are crucial for:
  • Policy formation: Supporting data-driven decisions regarding housing developments or subsidies.
  • Urban planning: Planning for infrastructure, public services, and zoning based on population distributions and trends.
  • Resource allocation: Directing resources to communities based on potential needs indicated in census data.
By examining these data points, communities and governments can plan more effectively for future growth and change. The exercise above illustrates the practical application of statistics like binomial distribution in evaluating real-world scenarios informed by census data.

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