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Employer-Based Health Insurance A report from a Gallup poll \(^{22}\) in 2011 started by saying, "Forty-five percent of American adults reported getting their health insurance from an employer..." Later in the article we find information on the sampling method, "a random sample of 147,291 adults, aged 18 and over, living in the US," and a sentence about the accuracy of the results, "the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point." (a) What is the population? What is the sample? What is the population parameter of interest? What is the relevant statistic? (b) Use the margin of error \(^{23}\) to give an interval estimate for the parameter of interest. Interpret it in terms of getting health insurance from an employer.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population is all the adults aged 18 and over living in the US. The sample is the 147,291 adults who were part of the survey. The population parameter of interest is the proportion of all American adults who get their health insurance from an employer, and the relevant statistic is the 45% from the sample who reported getting their health insurance from an employer. The interval estimate for the parameter of interest, considering a margin of error of ±1%, is 44% to 46%. It implies that we expect between 44% and 46% of all American adults to get their health insurance from an employer.

Step by step solution

01

Identifying Population and Sample

The population refers to the complete set of individuals or objects of interest. In this case, the population is all the adults aged 18 and over living in the US. The sample is a subset of the population used to estimate characteristics of the population. Here, the sample comprises of the 147,291 adults who were part of the survey.
02

Identifying Population Parameter and Relevant Statistic

The population parameter of interest is the percentage of all American adults who get their health insurance from an employer. The relevant statistic, which is an estimate of the population parameter based on the sample, is the 45% of the surveyed adults who reported getting their health insurance from an employer.
03

Constructing the Interval Estimate

The margin of error means that the true population parameter is expected to be within this range from the sample statistic. The margin of error provided is ±1 percentage point. Using this, an interval estimate for the parameter of interest can be created. The interval estimate is therefore 45% ±1%, or between 44% and 46%.
04

Interpreting the Interval Estimate

The obtained interval estimate between 44% and 46% means that we expect between 44% and 46% of all American adults to get their health insurance from an employer.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Population Parameters
In statistics, a population parameter is a numerical value that represents a characteristic of an entire population. In our exercise, we are interested in determining the percentage of all American adults who receive their health insurance from an employer. This percentage is the population parameter.

Understanding the population parameter helps us grasp what the researchers aim to learn from their survey. The parameter itself is not directly observable. Instead, researchers rely on sample statistics to make educated guesses or estimates about it.

It's important to differentiate between the sample and the population. The sample consists of the group that was actually surveyed—in this case, the 147,291 adults. The population, however, refers to all American adults aged 18 and over. The sample provides data that estimates the broader population parameter, like the 45% statistic given in the exercise.
The Role of Margin of Error
The margin of error represents the range within which we expect the true population parameter to lie. It's an important part of any statistical estimate, providing a measure of precision and reliability. In the given exercise, the margin of error is specified as ±1 percentage point.

The margin of error accounts for sampling variability—the natural fluctuation that occurs when taking different samples from the same population. Therefore, it helps in understanding how much the sample statistic could differ from the actual population parameter.

While a smaller margin of error indicates a more precise estimate, a larger margin suggests more variability. Always remember, the margin of error is applicable only to the confidence levels specified in your study, often a standard is 95% confidence level in surveys.
Constructing and Interpreting Interval Estimates
An interval estimate gives a range of values for an unknown population parameter, factoring in the margin of error. In this exercise, you're given a specific sample statistic, 45%, and a margin of error of ±1%.

Using these, you construct an interval estimate: 45% ±1%, which results in a range from 44% to 46%. This means we are reasonably confident that the actual percentage of American adults who have employer-based health insurance is between 44% and 46%.

Interval estimates are powerful tools for making informed guesses about population parameters. They leave room for uncertainty, acknowledging that no sample perfectly reflects the whole population. Therefore, they provide a more balanced view than a single-point estimate, like just saying "45%."

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