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Many Europeans Don't Recognize Signs of Stroke or Heart Attack Across nine European countries in a large-scale survey, people had a hard time identifying signs of a stroke or heart attack. The survey \(^{43}\) included 10,228 inhabitants of Austria, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Russia, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Participants ages ranged from 14 to 98 . Of those surveyed, less than half (4910) linked arm or shoulder pain to heart attacks. Use StatKey to find and interpret a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of Europeans (from these nine countries) who can identify arm or shoulder pain as a symptom of a heart attack. Can we be \(99 \%\) confident that the proportion is less than half?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, we can be 99% confident that the true proportion of Europeans from these nine countries who can identify arm or shoulder pain as a symptom of a heart attack is less than half if the upper limit of our calculated 99% confidence interval is less than 0.5. You'll calculate this interval in 'Calculate the Confidence Interval' step.

Step by step solution

01

Compute the Sample Proportion

First, calculate the sample proportion by dividing the number of individuals who recognized the symptom by the total number of participants. In this case, 4910 out of 10228 surveyed participants identified arm or shoulder pain as a symptom, so the sample proportion is \(\frac{4910}{10228} \approx 0.480\).
02

Calculate the Confidence Interval

Then, use the formula for the confidence interval for a population proportion: \(\hat{p} ± z \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\), where \(\hat{p}\) is the sample proportion, \(n\) is the sample size, and \(z\) is the z-score for the desired confidence level. For a 99% confidence level, the z-score is approximately 2.576. Substituting the given values: \(0.480 ± 2.576 \sqrt{\frac{0.480 (1-0.480)}{10228}}\), we can find the 99% confidence interval.
03

Interpret the Confidence Interval

Interpret the interval as the range of the population proportions we can be 99% confident includes the true proportion of all Europeans from the nine countries who can identify arm or shoulder pain as a symptom of a heart attack. If the interval includes 0.5 (which represents half), we cannot be 99% confident that the true proportion is less than half. Conversely, if the upper limit of the interval is less than 0.5, then we have a 99% confidence that the true proportion is less than half.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis plays a crucial role in interpreting data from studies and surveys. It involves collecting, summarizing, presenting, and interpreting data, as well as making informed decisions based on that data. In the context of health surveys, for example, researchers use statistical analysis to estimate how common particular knowledge or behaviors are within a specific population.

For instance, when studying awareness of stroke or heart attack symptoms among Europeans, statistical methods help quantify the proportion of participants who recognize certain symptoms. By analyzing these statistics correctly, one can infer how well-informed the general population is and potentially develop targeted health education programs. It's important to understand that statistics can provide valuable insights that go beyond mere numbers, impacting public health policies and education strategies.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion is a statistical measure that represents the fraction of participants in a study or survey who possess a certain characteristic. It is calculated by dividing the number of individuals in the sample with the characteristic by the total sample size. In our exercise, the characteristic of interest is the ability to identify arm or shoulder pain as a symptom of a heart attack.

In the given survey, the sample proportion was found by dividing the 4910 participants who identified the symptom by the total number of 10228 participants, resulting in a sample proportion of approximately 0.480. This means that around 48% of the surveyed sample recognized arm or shoulder pain as a heart attack symptom. Understanding sample proportions is essential as they serve as the basis for estimating the population proportion, which extends conclusions to a broader group beyond the sample.
Z-score
A z-score in statistics represents the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean of a distribution. It is a dimensionless quantity that is helpful in comparing different data points. Within the realm of confidence interval calculations, the z-score correlates to a desired confidence level – in this case, 99%.

The z-score for a 99% confidence interval is approximately 2.576, meaning that the interval extends 2.576 standard deviations on either side of the sample proportion. This high z-score reflects the high level of confidence we want; as the confidence level increases, so does the z-score, resulting in a wider interval. Using the z-score, researchers can calculate the margin of error for the population proportion and construct a confidence interval that they are 99% certain contains the true population proportion.
Population Proportion
The population proportion extends the findings from a sample to the entire group, known as the population, from which the sample was drawn. It is an estimate of the fraction of individuals in the population that would have a particular characteristic if the entire population were surveyed.

Working with the confidence interval provides a range within which the true population proportion is likely to fall a certain percentage of the time (99% in our exercise). By computing the interval, we can gauge the extent to which the sampled data represents the broader population. In the survey about identifying heart attack symptoms, the confidence interval calculation helps determine whether less than half of Europeans truly fail to associate arm or shoulder pain with heart attacks, or if the sample results might not represent the entire population's knowledge accurately.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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