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Two variables are defined, a regression equation is given, and one data point is given. (a) Find the predicted value for the data point and compute the residual. (b) Interpret the slope in context. (c) Interpret the intercept in context, and if the intercept makes no sense in this context, explain why. Weight \(=\) maximum weight capable of bench pressing (pounds), Training \(=\) number of hours spent lifting weights a week \(\widehat{\text { Weigh }} t=95+11.7\) (Training); data point is an individual who trains 5 hours a week and can bench 150 pounds

Short Answer

Expert verified
The predicted weight for a person who trains 5 hours a week is calculated by substituting 5 into the regression equation. The residual is found by subtracting the predicted weight from the actual weight of 150 pounds. The slope of 11.7 in the context means an additional hour of training each week increases the maximum bench press weight by 11.7 pounds according to the model. The intercept of 95 means someone who does not train at all is still predicted to be able to bench press 95 pounds according to the model.

Step by step solution

01

Predict the weight

The first step is to use the given regression equation to predict the weight for the person who trains 5 hours a week. This can be done by substituting the value of 5 into the Training in the regression equation: \[ \widehat{Weight} = 95 + 11.7 \times 5 \]
02

Compute the Residual

The residual is calculated as the actual value minus the predicted value. For this data point, the actual value is 150 pounds. Subtract the predicted value (from step 1) from the actual value to calculate the residual: \[ Residual = Actual - Predicted \]
03

Interpret the slope

The slope in the context of the problem is the coefficient of Training in the regression equation, which is 11.7. This slope means that for every additional hour spent training each week, the model predicts an increase of 11.7 pounds in the maximum weight that someone can bench press.
04

Interpret the Intercept

The intercept is the expected value of Weight when Training is 0, based on the regression model. In this context, it is 95. This means that the model predicts a person who does not spend any time weight training in a week (Training=0) would still be able to bench press 95 pounds. However, this may not always be meaningful or correct in all situations, as even without training, bench pressing weights depend on factors like body strength, health and previous training experience.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Predicted Value
The predicted value in regression analysis is a crucial concept because it helps estimate the outcome variable using the regression equation. In this exercise, the aim was to predict the weight a person could bench press based on the number of training hours per week. To find this, we substitute the provided number of training hours into the given regression equation: - For someone training 5 hours per week, the regression equation \[ \widehat{Weight} = 95 + 11.7 \times 5 \] allows us to calculate the predicted bench press weight. The substitution simplifies to \[ \widehat{Weight} = 95 + 58.5 = 153.5 \] which is the predicted value. - This value represents the estimated bench-press capacity according to the given model. This estimation is based on the assumption that the relationship between training hours and bench press capacity is linear. The predicted value serves as a guideline for understanding trends but shouldn't always be treated as a precise value for every individual.
Residual
The residual is the difference between what was predicted by the regression model and what was actually observed. This can be thought of as the prediction error for each data point. In our problem, the calculated residual helps us understand whether the regression model overestimated or underestimated the actual bench press weight. - To find this, we take the actual observed weight the individual can bench press, 150 pounds, and subtract the predicted weight calculated earlier, 153.5 pounds: - \[ Residual = 150 - 153.5 = -3.5 \] The residual of -3.5 indicates that the regression model overestimated the individual's bench press capability by 3.5 pounds. - Residuals closer to zero show a better fit of the model to the observed data. Negative residual means the prediction was higher than the actual value, while a positive residual would show an underestimation. Understanding and analyzing residuals is important in assessing the accuracy and efficiency of a regression model.
Interpretation of Slope
In a regression analysis, the slope tells us how much the dependent variable is expected to increase or decrease with a one-unit increase in the independent variable, assuming all else is constant. In our context, the slope of 11.7 from the regression equation indicates: - For every additional hour spent on weight training each week, the predicted bench press weight for an individual increases by 11.7 pounds. - This implies a positive relationship; as training time increases, so does the bench press capacity. The slope helps express the rate of change between variables and is fundamental in understanding how changes in the independent variable impact the dependent one.
Interpretation of Intercept
The intercept in a regression equation is where the line intersects the y-axis. It represents the predicted value of the dependent variable when all independent variables are zero. For this exercise, the intercept is 95 pounds, implying: - If a person had zero weekly training hours, the model predicts they could bench press 95 pounds. - However, this interpretation may not always make practical sense in every context. Not all individuals can lift weights without any training, so it might not be a realistic prediction for everyone. - The intercept can be useful in understanding the baseline level of the dependent variable but requires careful contextual consideration to avoid misleading interpretations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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