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Use information in the ANOVA table below, which comes from fitting a multiple regression model to predict the prices for horses (in \(\$ 1000 \mathrm{~s}\) ). $$\begin{array}{lrrrrr} \text { Source } & \text { DF } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F } & \text { P } \\\\\text { Regression } & 3 & 4327.7 & 1442.6 & 10.94 & 0.000 \\ \text { Residual Error } & 43 & 5671.4 & 131.9 & & \\\\\text { Total } & 46 & 9999.1 & & &\end{array}$$ How many horses are in the sample?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The total number of horses in the sample is 46.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding ANOVA table

In this step, one should understand that in an ANOVA table, the 'DF' stands for degrees of freedom. In this case, there are two types of degrees of freedom: 3 for regression and 43 for residual error.
02

Calculating the total sample size

Since DF in regression and residual error effectively partitions the sample, the total observations in the sample can be calculated by adding up the DF values for Regression and Residual Error. Based on the given data, the calculation translates into \(3 (DF \ for \ Regression) + 43 (DF \ for \ Residual \ Error) = 46\). Therefore, there are 46 horses in the sample.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the ANOVA Table in Multiple Regression
The ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) table is a cornerstone of statistical analysis in multiple regression. It's used to determine the overall fit and the statistical significance of the regression model. Key components of an ANOVA table include:
  • **Source:** Refers to different components like Regression, Residual Error, and Total, which provide insights into the total variance.
  • **DF (Degrees of Freedom):** Represents the number of independent pieces of information in the data that are free to vary when estimating statistical parameters.
  • **SS (Sum of Squares):** Measures the variation within the data. In the table, we see separate SS for Regression and Residual Error, with their total given as well.
  • **MS (Mean Square):** Calculated by dividing the SS by its corresponding degrees of freedom, providing an average that quantifies the variance explained or unexplained by a particular source.
  • **F-Statistic:** A value that shows the ratio of variance explained by the model versus variance due to random error. Higher values can indicate a more statistically significant model fit.
  • **P-Value:** Helps assess the strength of the results; a smaller p-value suggests strong evidence against the null hypothesis.
In summary, the ANOVA table allows us to assess the variance in the dependent variable that's explained by the independent variables included in the model, while taking into account the degrees of freedom.
Degrees of Freedom: An Essential Concept
Degrees of freedom (DF) play a vital role in the analysis of statistical models, particularly in multiple regression. They indicate the number of values in a calculation that are free to vary. Understanding DF in the context of an ANOVA table helps in interpreting the reliability and statistical significance of a model. In the ANOVA table:
  • **Regression DF:** Calculated as the number of independent variables included in the model. For our exercise, there are 3 degrees of freedom for regression, indicating three independent predictors.
  • **Residual Error DF:** Indicates the amount of data remaining after fitting the model. It's calculated as the total sample size minus the number of model parameters, resulting in 43 in this context.
  • **Total DF:** The sum of the Regression DF and Residual Error DF. It represents the total sample size minus one. For our dataset, the total degrees of freedom is 46, showing the total number of horses in the sample is 46.
Therefore, understanding degrees of freedom is crucial as it shapes the calculation of various statistical metrics such as the mean square and the F-statistic, providing insights into variation and model performance.
The Importance of Sample Size Calculation
Sample size calculation is a fundamental aspect of designing a study or an experiment. In regression analysis, it ensures that the data collected provides reliable and statistically significant results. For this exercise, calculating the sample size involves recognizing the degrees of freedom associated with the total population. To determine the sample size in a regression analysis using an ANOVA table:
  • Add together the degrees of freedom for both the regression and the residual error.
  • Subtract 1 from the sum of these since the degrees of freedom for the total is typically one less than the number of observations. This calculation leads to understanding the total number of observations included in the sample.
In the provided exercise, the calculation demonstrated that the total number of horses (or observations) in the sample is 46. Accurate sample size calculation is essential for ensuring that the statistical power of the analysis is adequate, allowing for meaningful and valid conclusions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Predicting Length of Games in Baseball Baseball is played at a fairly leisurely pace-in fact, sometimes too slow for some sports fans. What contributes to the length of a major league baseball game? The file BaseballTimes contains information from a sample of 30 games to help build a model for the time of a game (in minutes). Potential predictors include: Runs \(\quad\) Total runs scored by both teams Margin Difference between the winner's and loser's scores Hits Total base hits for both teams Errors Total number of errors charged to both teams Pitchers Total number of pitchers used by both 1 teams Walks Total number of walks issued by pitchers from both teams (a) Use technology to find the correlation between each of the predictors and the response variable Time. Identify the predictors that appear to be potentially useful based on these correlations. (b) Try different models and combinations of predictors to help explain the game times. Try to get a good \(R^{2}\) and a good ANOVA p-value, but also have significant predictors. Decide on a final model and briefly indicate why you chose it.

In Exercise 10.50 we consider a simple linear model to predict Time in minutes for Atlanta commuters based on Distance in miles using the data in CommuteAtlanta. For a 20 mile commute the predicted time is 31.34 minutes. Here is some output containing intervals for this prediction. \(\begin{array}{rrrrrr}\text { NewObs } & \text { Fit } & \text { SE Fit } & 95 \% \mathrm{Cl} & 95 \% \mathrm{PI} \\ 1 & 31.343 & 0.553 & (30.257,32.430) & (7.235,55.452)\end{array}\) (a) Interpret the "95\% Cl" in the context of this data situation. (b) In Exercise 10.50 we find that the residuals for this model are skewed to the right with some large positive outliers. This might cause some problems with a prediction interval that tries to capture this variability. Explain why the \(95 \%\) prediction interval in the output is not very realistic.

Three graphs are shown for a linear model: the scatterplot with least squares line, a histogram of the residuals, and a scatterplot of residuals against predicted values. Determine whether the conditions are met and explain your reasoning.

Using the data in StudentSurvey, we see that the regression line to predict Weight from Height is \widehat{Weight } \(=-170+4.82\) Height. Figure 10.8 shows three graphs for this linear model: the scatterplot with least squares line, a histogram of the residuals, and a scatterplot of residuals against predicted values. (a) One of the students in the dataset has a height of 63 inches and a weight of 200 pounds. Put an arrow showing the dot representing this person on the scatterplot with least squares line (or a rough sketch of the plot). (b) Calculate the predicted value and the residual for the person described in part (a). (c) Put an arrow showing where the person from part (a) is represented in the histogram of residuals. Also, put an arrow showing where the person from part (a) is represented in the scatterplot of residuals against predicted values. (d) Determine whether the conditions are met for inference on this regression model.

Hantavirus in Mice In Exercise 9.23 on page 537 , we discuss a study \(^{4}\) conducted on the California Channel Islands investigating the prevalence of hantavirus in mice. This virus can cause severe lung disease in humans. The article states: "Precipitation accounted for \(79 \%\) of the variation in prevalence. Adding in island area upped this to \(93 \%,\) and including predator richness took the total to \(98 \%\) " (a) Give the correct notation or terminology for the quantity the scientists are comparing in the quotation. (b) Based on the information given, do you expect the ANOVA p-value for the model with all three predictors to be relatively large or relatively small? Explain.

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