/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 32 Suppose that a multiple regressi... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

Suppose that a multiple regression data set consists of \(n=15\) observations. For what values of \(k,\) the number of model predictors, would the corresponding model with \(R^{2}=.90\) be judged useful at significance level .05? Does such a large \(R^{2}\) value necessarily imply a useful model? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Without exact F-distribution critical values, we can't specify for which values of \(k\) the model would be judged useful at 0.05 significance level. A high \(R^{2}\) does not automatically mean a model is useful, as it could also be an indication of overfitting, particularly if the model has many predictors in comparison to the number of observations.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the F-distribution and F-test

The F-distribution is used to test hypotheses about the variance or standard deviation of a population, commonly used in ANOVA and regression analysis. The F-statistic is the test statistic for F-tests. In regression analysis, it tests whether at least one predictor variable's coefficient differs from zero.
02

Calculate the F-statistic threshold

The degree of freedom for numerator, df1, is \(k\), the number of predictors, and the degree of freedom for denominator, df2, is \(n-k-1\), the number of observations minus the number of predictors minus 1. Since the model will be judged useful at significance level .05, the critical value of F could be looked up in the F-distribution table with df1 = \(k\) and df2 = \(n - k - 1\).
03

Determine for what values of \(k\) would the model be judged useful

The model's F-statistic should be higher than the calculated F-statistic threshold to be considered useful, given the degree of freedom and \(R^{2} = .90\). To find for which values of \(k\) the model would be judged useful, one would typically need to solve the inequality equation for \(k\). However, without more specific information about the critical F-values, this step cannot be executed exactly.
04

Discuss whether a high \(R^{2}\) guarantees a useful model

A high \(R^{2}\) value does not necessarily imply a useful model. While a high \(R^{2}\) generally suggests that the model explains a large portion of the variance in the response variable, it could also be a sign of overfitting, especially if the number of predictors is high relative to the number of observations.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

F-distribution
The F-distribution is a continuous probability distribution that arises frequently when dealing with ratios of variances. In the context of multiple regression analysis, the variances we compare are typically those of models with and without certain predictors. Imagine you're trying on different pairs of glasses to see which one gives you the clearest vision, the F-distribution would help you to statistically determine which glasses (or model) fit you the best by comparing their effectiveness.

The shape of the F-distribution is impacted by two different types of degrees of freedom: one related to the model's number of predictors and the other associated with the number of data points. It is skewed right, meaning it is not symmetrical and tails off to the right, this is particularly pronounced when the sample size or the number of predictors is small.
F-test
The F-test is like the referee in a game between two competing statistical models. It uses the F-statistic to determine whether the difference in performance between the models is statistically significant. In multiple regression analysis, the F-test checks if at least one of the predictors is useful for explaining variability in the response variable, akin to verifying if any player in a team contributes to scoring goals.

Determining the F-statistic involves calculating the ratio of the variances explained by the models, which follows an F-distribution under the null hypothesis that no predictors are significant. Think of it as comparing a model with your selected predictors to a model without them - if the F-test gives a green light (a statistically significant result), your predictors are likely valuable.
R-squared
R-squared, also known as the coefficient of determination, is a number between 0 and 1 that measures how well the model fits the data. It's like a score for how much of the variability in the response variable can be explained by the model's predictors. A high R-squared value close to 1 suggests a good fit, meaning the model's predictors explain a large portion of the variance.

However, a high R-squared does not always mean the model is useful. It does not account for the number of predictors relative to the number of observations, which could lead to overfitting - this is like memorizing the answers to a test rather than understanding the material.
Model Predictors
Model predictors are the variables in a regression model that 'predict' or explain the variation in the dependent variable. Imagine them as the ingredients in a recipe that contribute to the final taste of the dish. Too few and the dish is bland; too many and the flavors conflict.

Each predictor's coefficient offers insight into the relationship between that predictor and the response variable. The significance of these predictors is tested using statistical tests such as the F-test to determine if they truly contribute to explaining the response variable or if their effects are due to random chance.
Significance Level
The significance level is a critical concept in hypothesis testing used to determine the threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis. It's akin to setting the rules for how strong the evidence must be before you declare a finding. A common significance level used is 0.05, meaning there is a 5% risk of concluding that there is an effect when there is none, which statisticians are willing to accept.

If the calculated p-value in a test is less than the significance level, the results are deemed statistically significant. To put it simply, the significance level helps us avoid jumping to conclusions based on random fluctuations in the data.
Degree of Freedom
Degrees of freedom are often likened to the number of 'choices' available when calculating a statistical estimate. In the context of regression, the degrees of freedom can be divided into two parts: one for the number of predictors (how many variables you're working with), and one for the residuals (the number of observations minus the number of parameters being estimated).

In simplest terms, degrees of freedom help us characterize the shape of the F-distribution and determine the critical values of the F-test. They allow us to attribute the variability in the data to either the model or to randomness, ensuring the validity of our inferences about the model's predictive power.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "Pulp Brightness Reversion: Influence of Residual Lignin on the Brightness Reversion of Bleached Sulfite and Kraft Pulps鈥 (TAPPI [1964]: \(653-662\) ) proposed a quadratic regression model to describe the relationship between \(x=\) degree of delignification during the processing of wood pulp for paper and \(y=\) total chlorine content. Suppose that the population regression model is $$ y=220+75 x-4 x^{2}+e $$ a. Graph the regression function \(220+75 x-4 x^{2}\) over \(x\) values between 2 and 12 . (Substitute \(x=2\), \(4,6,8,10,\) and 12 to find points on the graph, and connect them with a smooth curve.) b. Would mean chlorine content be higher for a degree of delignification value of 8 or 10 ? c. What is the change in mean chlorine content when the degree of delignification increases from 8 to 9 ? From 9 to \(10 ?\)

The article 鈥淩eadability of Liquid Crystal Displays: A Response Surface" (Human Factors [1983]: \(185-190\) ) used an estimated regression equation to describe the relationship between \(y=\) error percentage for subjects reading a four-digit liquid crystal display and the independent variables \(x_{1}=\) level of backlight, \(x_{2}=\) character subtense, \(x_{3}=\) viewing angle, and \(x_{4}=\) level of ambient light. From a table given in the article, SSRegr \(=19.2,\) SSResid \(=20.0\), and \(n=30\). a. Does the estimated regression equation specify a useful relationship between \(y\) and the independent variables? Use the model utility test with a .05 significance level. b. Calculate \(R^{2}\) and \(s_{e}\) for this model. Interpret these values. c. Do you think that the estimated regression equation would provide reasonably accurate predictions of error percentage? Explain.

The article "The Influence of Temperature and Sunshine on the Alpha-Acid Contents of Hops" (Agricultural Meteorology [1974]: 375-382) used a multiple regression model to relate \(y=\) yield of hops to \(x_{1}=\) average temperature \(\left({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\right)\) between date of coming into hop and date of picking and \(x_{2}=\) average percentage of sunshine during the same period. The model equation proposed is $$ y=415.11-6.60 x_{1}-4.50 x_{2}+e $$ a. Suppose that this equation does indeed describe the true relationship. What mean yield corresponds to an average temperature of 20 and an average sunshine percentage of \(40 ?\) b. What is the mean yield when the average temperature and average percentage of sunshine are 18.9 and 43, respectively? c. Interpret the values of the population regression coefficients.

When coastal power stations take in large quantities of cooling water, it is inevitable that a number of fish are drawn in with the water. Various methods have been designed to screen out the fish. The article 鈥淢ultiple Regression Analysis for Forecasting Critical Fish Influxes at Power Station Intakes" (Journal of Applied Ecology [1983]: 33-42) examined intake fish catch at an English power plant and several other variables thought to affect fish intake: \(\begin{aligned} y &=\text { fish intake (number of fish) } \\ x_{1} &=\text { water temperature }\left({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\right) \\ x_{2} &=\text { number of pumps running } \\ x_{3} &=\text { sea state }(\text { values } 0,1,2, \text { or } 3) \\ x_{4} &=\text { speed }(\mathrm{knots}) \end{aligned}\) Part of the data given in the article were used to obtain the estimated regression equation $$ \hat{y}=92-2.18 x_{1}-19.20 x_{2}-9.38 x_{3}+2.32 x_{4} $$ (based on \(n=26\) ). SSRegr \(=1486.9\) and SSResid = 2230.2 were also calculated. a. Interpret the values of \(b_{1}\) and \(b_{4}\) b. What proportion of observed variation in fish intake can be explained by the model relationship? c. Estimate the value of \(\sigma\). d. Calculate adjusted \(R^{2} .\) How does it compare to \(R^{2}\) itself?

The ability of ecologists to identify regions of greatest species richness could have an impact on the preservation of genetic diversity, a major objective of the World Conservation Strategy. The article 鈥淧rediction of Rarities from Habitat Variables: Coastal Plain Plants on Nova Scotian Lakeshores" (Ecology [1992]: \(1852-\) 1859) used a sample of \(n=37\) lakes to obtain the estimated regression equation $$ \begin{aligned} \hat{y}=& 3.89+.033 x_{1}+.024 x_{2}+.023 x_{3} \\ &+.008 x_{4}-.13 x_{5}-.72 x_{6} \end{aligned} $$ where \(y=\) species richness, \(x_{1}=\) watershed area, \(x_{2}=\) shore width, \(x_{3}=\) drainage \((\%), x_{4}=\) water color \((\) total color units), \(x_{5}=\) sand \((\%),\) and \(x_{6}=\) alkalinity. The coefficient of multiple determination was reported as \(R^{2}=.83 .\) Use a test with significance level .01 to decide whether the chosen model is useful.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.