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Grandmas using e-mail For the question about e-mail in the previous exercise, the 14 females in the GSS of age at least 80 had the responses $$ 0,0,0,0,1,1,1,2,2,6,6,7,7,10 $$ a. Using the web app, software or a calculator, find the sample mean and standard deviation and the standard error of the sample mean. b. Find and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean. c. Explain why the population distribution may be skewed right. If this is the case, is the interval you obtained in part b useless, or is it still valid? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Sample mean is approximately 3.07, standard deviation is about 3.48, and standard error is 0.93. The 90% confidence interval is (1.44, 4.70). The interval is valid despite skewness.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Sample Mean

To find the sample mean, add up all the values and divide by the number of samples. Add the values: \( 0+0+0+0+1+1+1+2+2+6+6+7+7+10 = 43 \). The sample size \( n \) is 14. Therefore, the sample mean \( \bar{x} = \frac{43}{14} \approx 3.07 \).
02

Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation

The sample standard deviation is calculated by first finding the variance. Subtract the mean from each value, square the result, sum them all, and then divide by the number of samples minus one. Use the formula: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \]Calculate each squared difference, sum them, and substitute this sum into the formula to find \( s \approx 3.48 \).
03

Calculate the Standard Error of the Mean

The standard error (SE) is the standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size.\[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{3.48}{\sqrt{14}} \approx 0.93 \]
04

Determine the 90% Confidence Interval

The 90% confidence interval is calculated using the formula: \[ CI = \bar{x} \pm t^{*} \times SE \]where \( t^{*} \) is the critical value for \( t \) distribution with \( n-1 \) degrees of freedom for a 90% confidence level (approximately 1.771). Substitute the values:\[ CI = 3.07 \pm 1.771 \times 0.93 \approx (1.44, 4.70) \]
05

Interpret the Skewness and Confidence Interval Validity

The population distribution is skewed to the right since there are more low values and few high outliers. Although skewness can affect the normality assumption, the confidence interval for the mean is still valid due to the Central Limit Theorem, especially with a sample size of 14.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean
The sample mean is a fundamental concept in statistics that provides a single value representing the center of a data set. When you have a collection of data points, such as the number of emails sent by grandmas in this scenario, the sample mean helps to summarize this information in a concise manner.
To calculate the sample mean, you add up all the observed values and divide the sum by the total number of observations. In this exercise, there were 14 old females who reported sending different numbers of emails. By summing these values (which total to 43) and dividing by 14, we arrive at a sample mean of approximately 3.07.
The sample mean offers a useful snapshot of the data's central tendency and acts as a representative value. It's particularly handy when comparing the central tendencies of different data sets.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a key measure that expresses the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of data values. If the data points are close to the mean, the standard deviation is small, indicating that the data are clustered closely. Higher values suggest more spread out data.
For our example of grandmas using email, to find the standard deviation of their responses, we first calculated the variance. We subtracted the sample mean from each observed value, squared each difference, and then averaged these squares by dividing them by the number of observations minus one. The square root of this variance gave us a standard deviation of approximately 3.48.
This result suggests that there's a modest amount of variability in how many emails the grandmas sent—some are close to the mean, while there are some outliers.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides a range, derived from a data sample, that is expected to encompass the true population mean with a specified level of confidence, typically 90%, 95%, or 99%.
From our sample of grandmas, using the 90% confidence interval, we are estimating that the true mean of the whole population of grandmas (if we could sample them all) sending emails could be as low as 1.44 or as high as 4.70. We use the sample mean, standard error, and a critical value from the t-distribution to calculate this range.
This interval helps to understand the reliability of our sample mean as an estimator of the population mean. While the exact true mean might not precisely equal to our sample mean, it is highly likely to fall within this interval.
Skewness
Skewness characterizes the asymmetry of a distribution. In our exercise, the distribution of emails sent by grandmas is skewed to the right, meaning there are more instances of lower values and fewer high-value outliers.
Right skewness often occurs when a lower bound (like zero) limits data and a few large values make the mean higher than the median. This skewness might hint that many grandmas send few emails, but a small number engage more frequently.
Although skewness suggests the data deviates from a normal distribution, the confidence interval remains valid. Thanks to the Central Limit Theorem, especially with fairly large samples like 14, the sample mean still provides a reliable estimate of the population mean.

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