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Statistics published on www. allcountries.org based on figures supplied by the U.S. Census Bureau show that 24 fatal accidents or less were observed in \(23.1 \%\) of years from 1987 to 1999,25 or less in \(38.5 \%\) of years, 26 or less in \(46.2 \%\) of years, 27 or less in \(61.5 \%\) of years, 28 or less in \(69.2 \%\) of years, 29 or less in \(92.3 \%\) of years from 1987 to \(1999 .\) These are called cumulative percentages. a. What is the median number of fatal accidents observed in a year? Explain why. b. Nearly all the numbers of fatal accidents occurring from 1987 to 1999 fall between 17 and 37 . If the number of fatal accidents can be approximated by a bell-shaped curve, give a rough approximation for the standard deviation of the number of fatal accidents. Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Median is 27; b) Approximate standard deviation is 3.33.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Median

The median is the value separating the higher half from the lower half of a data sample. In terms of cumulative percentages, we look for the value corresponding to 50% or more.
02

Finding the Median

Given the cumulative percentages, the median corresponds to the smallest number of fatal accidents where at least 50% of years have that many accidents or fewer. From the data, 50% lies between 46.2% (26 accidents or fewer) and 61.5% (27 accidents or fewer). Thus, the median is 27.
03

Using the Empirical Rule

The empirical rule tells us that about 99.7% of data in a normal distribution lies within three standard deviations from the mean. The range of fatal accidents (17 to 37) represents these data points.
04

Calculating the Standard Deviation

Assuming 17 to 37 covers approximately 99.7% of the distribution, the range of 20 accidents (37 - 17) is the range for six standard deviations. Hence, the estimated standard deviation is approximately: \( \frac{20}{6} \approx 3.33 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding and Calculating the Median
The median is a measure of central tendency that effectively divides a data set into two equal halves. Consider it as the middle point in a series of numbers. When organizing your data from smallest to largest, the median lies exactly in the center, making it very useful for understanding the "typical" value in your data. This is particularly insightful when your data set is skewed or has outliers.

In the provided exercise, we're working with cumulative percentages—these percentages tell us the portion of the data set up to a certain point. To find the median, we search for the point where 50% of the data set is reached. In our scenario, the median is calculated to be 27 (whenever possible, it's good to round to the nearest whole number), because the cumulative percentage crossing the halfway mark occurs between 46.2% and 61.5%, corresponding to 26 and 27 fatal accidents, respectively.
  • Step 1: Organize your data in increasing order, if not already.
  • Step 2: Locate the position where the cumulative percentage is at or just above 50%.
  • Conclusion: The number of fatal accidents at this point is the median.
This makes the median a reliable indicator of the central value, even when specific data ranges might skew the average.
The Empirical Rule of Normal Distributions
The empirical rule is a handy concept in statistics when dealing with bell-shaped or normal distributions. It provides an approximate measure of how data clusters around the mean (average) by using standard deviations.

In normal distributions:
  • 68% of data falls within one standard deviation from the mean.
  • 95% is within two standard deviations.
  • 99.7% lies within three standard deviations.
Given the data range from the exercise, nearly all observed fatal accident numbers, from 17 to 37, lie within three standard deviations of the mean. This suggests a symmetrical arrangement around the mean, which is characteristic of a normal distribution or bell curve.

This rule helps identify whether data distribution follows a typical pattern and aids us in confirming data normality, which can simplify further statistical analysis.
Standard Deviation Approximation and Its Relevance
Standard deviation measures the extent of variance or dispersion in a set of data values. A low standard deviation means data points are close to the mean, while a high one indicates more spread out data.
To approximate the standard deviation from a range of values, particularly when the data is normally distributed, you can use the empirical rule.

In the exercise, the range for the fatal accidents was 20 (from 17 to 37). Since this range is assumed to encompass 99.7% of the data, which is about six standard deviations around the mean, we compute the standard deviation as follows:
  • Calculate the range of your data: 37 - 17 = 20.
  • Divide the range by six, since it spans three standard deviations in both directions: \( \frac{20}{6} \approx 3.33 \).
This approximation tells us how much the number of accidents varies from year to year, allowing analysts to predict probable variances around the expected mean. It's a quick, rough approximation but incredibly useful for initial statistical interpretations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A World Health Organization study (the MONICA project) of health in various countries reported that in Canada, systolic blood pressure readings have a mean of 121 and a standard deviation of \(16 .\) A reading above 140 is considered to be high blood pressure. a. What is the \(z\) -score for a blood pressure reading of \(140 ?\) How is this \(z\) -score interpreted? b. The systolic blood pressure values have a bell-shaped distribution. Report an interval within which about \(95 \%\) of the systolic blood pressure values fall.

The owner of a company in downtown Atlanta is concerned about the large use of gasoline by her employees due to urban sprawl, traffic congestion, and the use of energy-inefficient vehicles such as SUVs. She'd like to promote the use of public transportation. She decides to investigate how many miles her employees travel on public transportation during a typical day. The values for her 10 employees (recorded to the closest mile) are \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}0 & 0 & 4 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 10 & 0 & 6 & 0\end{array}\) a. Find and interpret the mean, median, and mode. b. She has just hired an additional employee. He lives in a different city and travels 90 miles a day on public transport. Recompute the mean and median. Describe the effect of this outlier.

Which statement about the standard deviation \(s\) is false? a. \(s\) can never be negative. b. \(s\) can never be zero. c. For bell-shaped distributions, about \(95 \%\) of the data fall within \(\bar{x} \pm 2 s\) d. \(s\) is a nonresistant (sensitive to outliers) measure of variability, as is the range.

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Air pollution Example 17 discussed EU carbon dioxide emissions, which had a mean of 7.9 and standard deviation of 3.6 . a. Finland's observation was \(11.5 .\) Find its \(z\) -score and interpret. b. Sweden's observation was \(5.6 .\) Find its \(z\) -score, and interpret. c. The UK's observation was \(7.9 .\) Find the \(z\) -score and interpret.

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