/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 65 Life after death The variable PO... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Life after death The variable POSTLIFE in the 2008 General Social Survey asked, "Do you believe in life after death?" Of 1787 respondents, 1455 answered yes. A report based on these data stated that "81.4\% of Americans believe in life after death. The margin of error for this result is plus or minus \(1.85 \%\)." Explain how you could form a \(95 \%\) confidence interval using this information, and interpret that confidence interval in context.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval is approximately 79.55% to 83.25% for belief in life after death.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Scenario

We are given a sample of 1787 respondents from which 1455 people said they believe in life after death. This results in a proportion of responses indicating a belief in life after death.
02

Calculate the Sample Proportion

The sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) can be calculated as \( \frac{1455}{1787} \approx 0.814 \). This means approximately 81.4% of the sample believes in life after death.
03

Determine the Margin of Error

The problem states that the margin of error is \( \pm 1.85\% \). In decimal form, this is \( \pm 0.0185 \).
04

Construct the Confidence Interval

Apply the margin of error to the sample proportion to get the confidence interval. The lower bound is \( 0.814 - 0.0185 = 0.7955 \) and the upper bound is \( 0.814 + 0.0185 = 0.8325 \).
05

State the Confidence Interval

Thus, the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of Americans who believe in life after death is from approximately 79.55% to 83.25%.
06

Interpret the Confidence Interval

This means we can be 95% confident that the true proportion of all Americans who believe in life after death falls between 79.55% and 83.25%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
The sample proportion helps us estimate the percentage of the population that holds a certain view, belief, or characteristic. Let's imagine you're looking at an entire crowd of people, but only a certain group within that crowd is selected to be interviewed.
In the given scenario, out of 1787 people surveyed, 1455 said they believe in life after death. To determine the sample proportion, you take the number of people who responded positively (1455) and divide it by the total number surveyed (1787). This calculation gives you a sample proportion, denoted as \( \hat{p} \), which here is \( \frac{1455}{1787} \approx 0.814 \).
This sample proportion represents approximately 81.4%, indicating that about 81.4% of our surveyed sample believe in life after death. It serves as an estimate of the true population proportion, which is why it is so crucial.
Margin of Error
The margin of error is like a guardrail that provides a range around our sample proportion. This range helps account for the natural sampling variability you may encounter when you survey a subset of the entire group. It's like saying, "Okay, we have an estimate, but let's make sure we know how much our estimate could vary."
In this exercise, the margin of error is \( \pm 1.85\% \). In decimal form, this is \( \pm 0.0185 \). This means that while our sample proportion was 81.4%, due to the natural variations that occur in different samples, the true percentage could be as much as 1.85% higher or lower.

Being aware of the margin of error is vital. It signals how precise our estimate of the true population proportion might be. A smaller margin of error often implies a more precise estimate, increasing your confidence in the results.
General Social Survey
The General Social Survey (GSS) is a reputable survey instrument used to gauge the opinions, behaviors, and conditions of adults in the United States. Since 1972, it has been collecting data to help scholars, policymakers, and the public understand social trends and public perceptions.
This exercise references the 2008 GSS, which included the question about belief in life after death. Such surveys are instrumental in social science research because they are methodically conducted with large samples that represent the broader American society.
  • The GSS builds its reputation by consistently using scientific sampling techniques.
  • Its data shapes numerous studies, influencing social policies and academic research.
Understanding data from the GSS can offer deep insights into the changing social dynamics and beliefs in the U.S.
Belief in Life After Death
Belief in life after death is a profound question that probes into the philosophical and spiritual dimensions of human life. It is a topic that fascinates many and spans a variety of cultural and religious contexts across the globe.

Within the 2008 General Social Survey, responding to whether one believes in life after death allows researchers to analyze patterns in spirituality and beliefs among Americans quantitatively. Such data can reveal diverse perspectives which might, otherwise, only be qualitatively discussed.
  • This belief can contribute to understanding how society views morality, existential purpose, and human connections.
  • Analyzing such responses can illustrate broad patterns - such as generational or regional differences in belief systems within the U.S.
Capturing how people respond to such questions helps broaden our understanding of human nature and the factors that influence personal and collective belief systems.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

British monarchy In February 2002, the Associated Press quoted a survey of 3000 British residents conducted by YouGov.com. It stated, "Only \(21 \%\) wanted to see the monarchy abolished, but \(53 \%\) felt it should become more democratic and approachable. No margin of error was given." If the sample was random, find the \(95 \%\) margin of error for each of these estimated proportions.

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