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91Ó°ÊÓ

Experiment or observe? Explain whether an experiment or an observational study would be more appropriate to investigate the following: a. Whether or not smoking has an effect on coronary heart disease b. Whether or not higher SAT scores tend to be positively associated with higher college GPAs c. Whether or not a special coupon attached to the outside of a catalog makes recipients more likely to order products from a mail-order company

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use observational study for a) and b), and experiment for c).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Nature of Investigation for Smoking and Heart Disease

To determine if smoking affects coronary heart disease, consider the possibility of controlling variables. Smoking status is an independent variable and heart disease occurrence is the dependent variable. An experiment could be unethical because it involves assigning individuals to smoke, which could harm health. Thus, an observational study is more suitable. Data from existing smokers and non-smokers can be observed naturally to study the correlation without intervening.
02

Evaluate SAT Scores and College GPA Relationship

Determine if higher SAT scores are associated with higher college GPAs. This scenario involves naturally occurring data from various students' records. Both SAT scores and GPA are pre-existing data and do not require intervention, making an observational study appropriate. Data analysis can reveal patterns or correlations between these variables.
03

Assess the Effect of a Special Coupon in Catalogs

Test whether attaching a special coupon increases catalog orders. Since it involves a direct intervention (providing the coupon), it aligns with experimental designs. An experiment can randomly distribute catalogs with and without coupons to recipients and measure their purchasing behavior, analyzing the causal effect of the coupon on the likelihood of placing orders.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Correlation vs Causation
Understanding the distinction between correlation and causation is crucial in research. Correlation implies a relationship or association between two variables. For example, an observation might reveal that smoking and coronary heart disease often occur together. However, this does not mean smoking causes heart disease. Causation, on the other hand, explicitly indicates that one variable directly affects another. It's like saying if A happens, then B will follow because A triggers B.

In observational studies, establishing correlation is more common since researchers do not manipulate variables but observe them in their natural state. Therefore, while a study might show that smokers have higher rates of heart disease, other factors, such as genetics or lifestyle choices, could also be involved. By contrast, experiments are designed to determine causation by controlling and manipulating variables to isolate specific effects. However, ethical and logistical considerations often restrict experiments, as with smoking impacts.

Always remember: "Correlation does not imply causation." This phrase underscores the importance of not hastily inferring direct cause and effect based solely on a relationship observed in data.
Ethical Considerations in Research
Ethical considerations are paramount in conducting research, especially when human health or behavior is involved. Ethics guide how we conduct studies to protect participants and ensure integrity in research. For example, in the scenario of analyzing the effects of smoking on coronary heart disease, assigning individuals to smoke for experimental purposes would pose significant ethical concerns. The potential harm outweighs the benefits, which is why observational studies become the safer approach.

Key ethical principles include:
  • Informed Consent: Participants must fully understand the study and agree voluntarily.
  • Non-Maleficence: Avoid causing harm to participants.
  • Confidentiality: Protect personal data of participants.
  • Beneficence: Maximize possible benefits and minimize potential harm.
Researchers must design their studies considering these principles to maintain ethical standards and support trust in scientific findings.
Types of Research Design
Choosing an appropriate research design depends on the research question and ethical implications. Generally, two main types are observational studies and experiments.

Observational studies involve watching subjects in their natural settings without interference. They are ideal when manipulation of variables is impractical or unethical. For instance, observing the relationship between SAT scores and college GPAs involves examining existing data, which avoids unnecessary intervention.

In contrast, experiments actively manipulate one or more variables to observe effects. They are highly effective for determining causation but require careful control of conditions to ensure valid results. The coupon experiment example illustrates this, as it tests the influence of a coupon on purchasing behavior by distributing it randomly.

Researchers must align their choice of research design with the specific question they wish to answer and the feasibility of implementing each method, balancing scientific goals with practical and ethical considerations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Poker as a profession? Tony's mother is extremely proud that her son will graduate college in a few months. She expresses concern, however, when Tony tells her that following graduation, he plans to move to Las Vegas to become a professional poker player. He mentions that his friend Nick did so and is now earning more than a million dollars per year. Should Tony's anecdotal evidence about Nick soothe his mother's concern?

What's your favorite poem? In fall \(1995,\) the \(\mathrm{BBC}\) in Britain requested viewers to call the network and indicate their favorite poem. Of 7500 callers, more than twice as many voted for Rudyard Kipling's If than for any other poem. The \(\mathrm{BBC}\) then reported that this was the clear favorite. a. Since any person could call, was this sample a simple random sample? Explain. b. Was this a volunteer sample? Explain. c. If the BBC truly wanted to determine Brits' favorite poem, how could they do so more reliably?

Hormone therapy and heart disease Since 1976 the Nurses' Health Study has followed more than 100,000 nurses. Every two years, the nurses fill out a questionnaire about their habits and their health. Results from this study indicated that postmenopausal women have a reduced risk of heart disease if they take a hormone replacement drug. a. Suppose the hormone-replacement drug actually has no effect. Identify a potential lurking variable that could explain the results of the observational study. (Hint: Suppose that the women who took the drug tended to be more conscientious about their personal health than those who did not take it.) b. Recently a randomized experiment called the Women's Health Initiative was conducted by the National Institutes of Health to see if hormone therapy is truly helpful. The study, planned to last for eight years, was stopped after five years when analyses showed that women who took hormones had \(30 \%\) more heart attacks. This study suggested that rather than reducing the risk of heart attacks, hormone replacement drugs actually increase the risk. \({ }^{3}\) How is it that two studies could reach such different conclusions? (For attempts to reconcile the studies, see a story by Gina Kolata in The New York Times, April 21, 2003.) c. Explain why randomized experiments, when feasible, are preferable to observational studies.

Unethical experimentation Give an example of a scientific question of interest for which it would be unethical to conduct an experiment. Explain how you could instead conduct an observational study.

Comparing gas brands The marketing department of a major oil company wants to investigate whether cars get better mileage using their gas (Brand A) than from an independent one (Brand B) that has cheaper prices. The department has 20 cars available for the study. a. Identify the response variable, the explanatory variable, and the treatments. b. Explain how to use a completely randomized design to conduct the study. c. Explain how to use a matched-pairs design to conduct the study. What are the blocks for the study? d. Give an advantage of using a matched-pairs design.

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