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91Ó°ÊÓ

Consider a chance experiment that consists of selecting a student at random from a high school with 3,000 students. a. In the context of this chance experiment, give an example of two events that would be mutually exclusive. b. In the context of this chance experiment, give an example of two events that would not be mutually exclusive.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Examples of mutually exclusive events include selecting a student from the Science Club and selecting a student from the Arts Club as no student can be a member of both clubs. b) An example of non-mutually exclusive events could be selecting a student taking Math and selecting a student taking Chemistry, as a student could be taking both classes at the same time.

Step by step solution

01

Define context and find example of mutually exclusive events

Consider the scenario where a student is selected at random from a pool of 3,000 students. Suppose there are two clubs in the high school: The Science Club and The Arts Club, which no student is a member of both. The act of selecting a student belonging to the Science Club and the act of selecting a student belonging to the Arts Club are mutually exclusive, because a student cannot be a member of both clubs.
02

Find example of non-mutually exclusive events

Continue with the above scenario, let's consider two courses: Math and Chemistry. It's possible for a student to take both courses at the same time. Hence, the event of randomly picking a student taking Math and the event of randomly picking a student taking Chemistry are not mutually exclusive, a student can be enrolled in both of these courses simultaneously.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events are situations in probability where the occurrence of one event means the other cannot happen. If you picture a high school selecting one student out of 3,000, think of events as distinct, like choosing a student who's **only** involved in one activity. For example, suppose there are two exclusive clubs: the Science Club and the Arts Club. If these clubs have no overlapping members, then picking a student who is in the Science Club cannot possibly mean choosing one from the Arts Club as well. This is because no student is in both clubs. Therefore, these two events cannot occur together.
When you consider real-life situations, mutually exclusive events often simplify calculations. This is because the occurrence of one event provides certainty about the non-occurrence of the other. In probability terms, for mutually exclusive events A and B, \(P(A \text{ and } B) = 0\).
Whenever you see one event blocking the chance of another, think of mutually exclusive events.
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
Non-mutually exclusive events occur in cases where events can happen at the same time. In a student's day, many such instances occur. For example, imagine the high school scenario again. Consider two subjects: Math and Chemistry.
A student can quite easily attend both classes during the school year. Therefore, the event of selecting a student taking Math and selecting a student taking Chemistry might involve overlapping students. These events **can** happen simultaneously because one does not prevent the other.
In mathematical terms, for non-mutually exclusive events A and B, we use the formula \(P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B)\) to avoid over-counting students who are in both classes. This formula ensures accurate probability calculations accounting for any overlap between the events. Whenever you can see that doing one thing doesn't stop you from doing another, that's a case of non-mutually exclusive events.
Chance Experiment
A chance experiment is any action where the outcome is uncertain. In daily life, there are countless opportunity instances of chance experiments, from tossing a coin to drawing a name from a hat or, in this case, selecting a student from a high school with 3,000 students.
In probability, the significance of chance experiments cannot be overstated. They lay the groundwork for determining the likelihood of various events occurring, based on different conditions.
  • The concept of a random mechanism is crucial. A chance experiment must be impartial, giving all possibilities a fair opportunity.
  • Typically, chance experiments lack predictable outcomes, adding variability to the results.
Consider selecting a student at random from a large high school; the process itself is the chance experiment.
Each student's chance of being selected is equal, making it a fundamental part of probability and statistics explorations. In summary, anytime you have an uncertain outcome that you want to analyze, you are dealing with a chance experiment.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The paper "Predictors of Complementary Therapy Use Among Asthma Patients: Results of a Primary Care Survey" (Health and Social Care in the Community [2008]: \(155-164)\) described a study in which each person in a large sample of asthma patients responded to two questions: Question 1: Do conventional asthma medications usually help your symptoms? Question 2: Do you use complementary therapies (such as herbs, acupuncture, aroma therapy) in the treatment of your asthma? Suppose that this sample is representative of asthma patients. Consider the following events: \(E=\) event that the patient uses complementary therapies \(F=\) event that the patient reports conventional medications usually help The data from the sample were used to estimate the following probabilities: $$P(E)=0.146 \quad P(F)=0.879 \quad P(E \cap F)=0.122$$ a. Use the given probability information to set up a "hypothetical 1000 " table with columns corresponding to \(E\) and \(n o t E\) and rows corresponding to \(F\) and not \(F\). b. Use the table from Part (a) to find the following probabilities: i. The probability that an asthma patient responds that conventional medications do not help and that patient uses complementary therapies. ii. The probability that an asthma patient responds that conventional medications do not help and that patient does not use complementary therapies. iii. The probability that an asthma patient responds that conventional medications usually help or the patient uses complementary therapies. c. Are the events \(E\) and \(F\) independent? Explain.

A company that offers roadside assistance to drivers reports that the probability that a call for assistance will be to help someone who is locked out of his or her car is \(0.18 .\) Give a relative frequency interpretation of this probability.

The report "Improving Undergraduate Learning" (Social Science Research Council, 2011) summarizes data from a survey of several thousand college students. These students were thought to be representative of the population of all college students in the United States. When asked about an upcoming semester, \(68 \%\) said they would be taking a class that is reading-intensive (requires more than 40 pages of reading per week). Only \(50 \%\) said they would be taking a class that is writing-intensive (requires more than 20 pages of writing over the course of the semester). The percentage who said that they would be taking both a reading-intensive course and a writing-intensive course was \(42 \%\). a. Use the given information to set up a "hypothetical \(1000 "\) table. b. Use the table to find the following probabilities: i. the probability that a randomly selected student would be taking at least one of these intensive courses. ii. the probability that a randomly selected student would be taking one of these intensive courses, but not both. iii. the probability that a randomly selected student would be taking neither a reading-intensive nor a writing-intensive course.

The article "Anxiety Increases for Airline Passengers After Plane Crash" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, November 13,2001 ) reported that air passengers have a 1 in 11 million chance of dying in an airplane crash. This probability was then interpreted as "You could fly every day for 26,000 years before your number was up." Comment on why this probability interpretation is misleading.

Suppose events \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive with \(P(E)=0.14\) and \(P(F)=0.76\) i. What is the value of \(P(E \cap F) ?\) ii. What is the value of \(P(E \cup F)\) ? b. Suppose that for events \(A\) and \(B, P(A)=0.24, P(B)=0.24\), and \(P(A \cup B)=0.48 .\) Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? How can you tell?

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