/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 1 Explain why the statement \(\hat... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Explain why the statement \(\hat{p}=0.40\) is not a legitimate hypothesis.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The statement \(\hat{p}=0.40\) is not a legitimate hypothesis because hypotheses should be made about population parameters, not sample statistics. The notation \(\hat{p}\) represents a sample statistic, specifically a sample proportion. Thus, hypothesis testing should be based on population parameters, such as \(p\) for proportions.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding null and alternative hypothesis

To start, one must understand what we mean by a 'null hypothesis' and what we mean by an 'alternative hypothesis'. Generally, the null hypothesis is a statement of no effect or no difference, while the alternative hypothesis is a claim about the population that represents a departure from the null hypothesis and generally reflects the real world situation that we think may exist.
02

Identify the issue with the provided hypothesis

In our case, the statement \(\hat{p}=0.40\) is supposed to represent a hypothesis. However, the main issue is that it's using \(\hat{p}\), which is a sample proportion. Hypotheses should be about population parameters, not sample statistics. Population parameters are generally denoted as \(p\) for proportions, \(\mu\) for means and so on, not with a hat.
03

Concluding the analysis

Consequently, the reason that \(\hat{p}=0.40\) is not a legitimate hypothesis is because hypothesis testing is about parameters (i.e., characteristics of a population), not about statistics (i.e., characteristics of a sample). We use sample data and its statistics as evidence to test claims about a population's parameters.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In the realm of hypothesis testing education, the null hypothesis, often symbolized as H0, is a fundamental concept. It represents the default claim that there is no significant effect, difference, or relationship within a population. The null hypothesis is essentially what we assume to be true before collecting any data.

For instance, if we were testing a new drug, the null hypothesis might state that the drug has no effect on patients compared to the current standard medication. This forms the starting point for statistical testing. Only through strong evidence to the contrary, typically gleaned from sample data, might we reject the null hypothesis in favor of an alternative. Understanding this, we see why an assertion involving a sample statistic, such as \(\hat{p}=0.40\), cannot serve as a valid null hypothesis—it does not pertain to the overall population.
Alternative Hypothesis
Contrasting the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis (H1 or Ha) proposes a specific effect, difference, or relationship in the population that the study aims to support. This hypothesis reflects the researcher's actual conjecture or theory about the population.

Using the drug efficacy example again, the alternative hypothesis might suggest that the new drug improves patient outcomes compared to the standard medication. If statistical analysis of sample data demonstrates strong enough evidence against the null hypothesis, researchers may adopt the alternative hypothesis as the more plausible explanation.
Population Parameters
Population parameters are key values that describe certain characteristics of a population. These may include means (\(\mu\)), proportions (\(p\)), standard deviations (\(\sigma\)), among other attributes. Parameters are fixed numbers, although unknown, and hypothesis testing is essentially a method to make educated guesses about these values.

To draw legitimate conclusions about the population, a hypothesis must be framed in terms of these parameters. This is why \(\hat{p}=0.40\), a sample statistic, does not qualify as a proper hypothesis—it is not a parameter but an estimate derived from the sample.
Sample Statistics
Sample statistics include estimates like sample means (\(\bar{x}\)), proportions (\(\hat{p}\)), and standard deviations (\(s\)), which are calculated from the data collected from a sample of the population. These statistics serve as tangible evidence to aid in making inferences about the population parameters.

While a sample statistic like \(\hat{p}=0.40\) cannot be the hypothesis itself, it plays a critical role in hypothesis testing. It's used to measure how well the sample data supports the null hypothesis or suggests the alternative hypothesis might be true.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process by which we reach conclusions about population parameters based on sample statistics collected from an empirical study. Hypothesis testing is one of the main techniques used in statistical inference. By comparing the sample data to what we would expect under the null hypothesis, we generate evidence for or against it.

Thus, effective teaching of hypothesis testing must include how to rightly use sample statistics to make inferences about population parameters without wrongly assuming sample statistics can serve as hypotheses. The understanding of these distinctions and relationships is crucial for students to conduct and interpret hypothesis tests accurately.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Past experience is that when individuals are approached with a request to fill out and return a particular questionnaire in a provided stamped and addressed envelope, the response rate is \(40 \%\). An investigator believes that if the person distributing the questionnaire were stigmatized in some obvious way, potential respondents would feel sorry for the distributor and thus tend to respond at a rate higher than \(40 \%\). To test this theory, a distributor wore an eye patch. Of the 200 questionnaires distributed by this individual, 109 were returned. Does this provide evidence that the response rate in this situation is greater than the previous rate of \(40 \%\) ? State and test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance plevel of 0.05 .

The report "How Teens Use Media" (Nielsen, June 2009) says that \(83 \%\) of U.S. teens use text messaging. Suppose you plan to select a random sample of 400 students at the local high school and ask each one if he or she uses text messaging. You plan to use the resulting data to decide if there is evidence that the proportion of students at the high school who use text messaging differs from the national figure given in the Nielsen report. What hypotheses should you test?

Medical personnel are required to report suspected cases of child abuse. Because some diseases have symptoms that are similar to those of child abuse, doctors who see a child with these symptoms must decide between two competing hypotheses: \(H_{0}:\) symptoms are due to child abuse \(H_{a}:\) symptoms are not due to child abuse (Although these are not hypotheses about a population characteristic, this exercise illustrates the definitions of Type I and Type II errors.) The article "Blurred Line Between IIIness, Abuse Creates Problem for Authorities" (Macon Telegraph, February 28,2000 ) included the following quote from a doctor in Atlanta regarding the consequences of making an incorrect decision: "If it's disease, the worst you have is an angry family. If it is abuse, the other kids (in the family) are in deadly danger." a. For the given hypotheses, describe Type I and Type II errors. b. Based on the quote regarding consequences of the two kinds of error, which type of error is considered more serious by the doctor quoted? Explain.

USA Today (Feb. 17, 2011) described a survey of 1,008 American adults. One question on the survey asked people if they had ever sent a love letter using e-mail. Suppose that this survey used a random sample of adults and that you want to decide if there is evidence that more than \(20 \%\) of American adults have written a love letter using e-mail. a. Describe the shape, center, and spread of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 1,008 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.20\) is true. b. Based on your answer to Part (a), what sample proportion values would convince you that more than \(20 \%\) of adults have sent a love letter via e-mail?

The paper "Teens and Distracted Driving" (Pew Internet \& American Life Project, 2009) reported that in a representative sample of 283 American teens ages 16 to \(17,\) there were 74 who indicated that they had sent a text message while driving. For purposes of this exercise, assume that this sample is a random sample of 16 - to 17 -year-old Americans. Do these data provide convincing evidence that more than a quarter of Americans ages 16 to 17 have sent a text message while driving? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of 0.01 . (Hint: See Example 10.11 )

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