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Suppose Jack and Diane are each attempting to use simulation to describe the sampling distribution from a population that is skewed left with mean 50 and standard deviation \(10 .\) Jack obtains 1000 random samples of size \(n=3\) from the population, finds the mean of the 1000 samples, draws a histogram of the means, finds the mean of the means, and determines the standard deviation of the means. Diane does the same simulation, but obtains 1000 random samples of size \(n=30\) from the population. (a) Describe the shape you expect for Jack's distribution of sample means. Describe the shape you expect for Diane's distribution of sample means. (b) What do you expect the mean of Jack's distribution to be? What do you expect the mean of Diane's distribution to be? (c) What do you expect the standard deviation of Jack's distribution to be? What do you expect the standard deviation of Diane's distribution to be?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Jack: skewed left; Diane: nearly normal. (b) Both: mean = 50. (c) Jack: std dev ≈ 5.77; Diane: std dev ≈ 1.83.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) states that, for a large enough sample size, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the shape of the population distribution. This will be important to determine the shapes of Jack's and Diane's distributions.
02

Predicting the Shape of Jack's Distribution

Since Jack's sample size is small (=3), the distribution of sample means is less likely to be normally distributed and more likely to retain some skewness from the original population. Therefore, Jack's distribution of sample means is expected to be skewed left, similar to the original population.
03

Predicting the Shape of Diane's Distribution

Since Diane's sample size is much larger (=30), according to the CLT, the distribution of sample means is expected to be approximately normal, even though the population itself is skewed left. Thus, Diane's distribution of sample means will be nearly normally distributed.
04

Expected Mean of Jack's and Diane's Distributions

The mean of the sampling distribution (i.e., the mean of the sample means) is equal to the mean of the population, regardless of the sample size. Therefore, the mean of Jack's distribution and the mean of Diane's distribution are both expected to be 50.
05

Expected Standard Deviation of Jack's and Diane's Distributions

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution (standard error) is given by \(\sigma_{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\), where \(\sigma\) is the population standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. For Jack: \ \sigma_{\bar{X}_{Jack}} = \frac{10}{\sqrt{3}} \approx 5.77\. For Diane: \ \sigma_{\bar{X}_{Diane}} = \frac{10}{\sqrt{30}} \approx 1.83\.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Distribution
The sampling distribution is a critical concept in statistics. It refers to the probability distribution of a given statistic based on a random sample. For Jack and Diane, the statistic of interest is the sample mean.
When Jack and Diane draw multiple samples, they each calculate the sample mean for those samples. These sample means form their own distributions. This is what we call the 'sampling distribution of the sample mean' (or sometimes just 'sampling distribution' for brevity).
For Jack, who has a sample size of 3, his sampling distribution will likely reflect the skewness present in the population because smaller sample sizes tend to retain more characteristics of the original population. Hence, Jack’s sampling distribution is expected to be skewed left, similar to the original skewed-left population distribution.
In contrast, Diane’s larger sample size of 30 means that, according to the Central Limit Theorem, her sampling distribution will be closer to a normal distribution, even if the original population is skewed. The larger sample size helps in averaging out the skewness, leading to a more symmetric, bell-shaped distribution.
Mean of Sample Means
The mean of the sample means (also known as the expected value) is a fascinating property. No matter how skewed the population is, the mean of the sample means is always equal to the population mean, as long as the samples are random and unbiased.
For both Jack and Diane, irrespective of their sample sizes, the mean of the sample means will always be the same as the population mean. Since the population mean is given as 50, we can confidently say that the mean of Jack’s distribution of sample means and Diane’s distribution of sample means will both be 50.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is the term we use for the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. It gives us an idea of how much the sample means are expected to vary around the population mean.
The formula for the standard error of the sample mean is: \ \( \text{SE} = \frac{\text{Population Standard Deviation}}{\text{Square Root of Sample Size}} \)
For Jack, with a sample size of 3:
\ \( \text{SE}_{Jack} = \frac{10}{\text{sqrt}(3)} \approx 5.77 \)
For Diane, with a sample size of 30:
\ \( \text{SE}_{Diane} = \frac{10}{\text{sqrt}(30)} \approx 1.83 \)
Notice how Diane’s standard error is much smaller. This is because a larger sample size reduces the variability of the sample means. Hence, Diane’s sample means will be clustered more tightly around the population mean, while Jack’s will be more spread out.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Reincarnation Suppose \(21 \%\) of all American teens (age 13-17 years) believe in reincarnation. (a) Bob and Alicia both obtain a random sample of 100 American teens and ask each participant to disclose whether they believe in reincarnation or not. Is "belief in reincarnation" qualitative or quantitative? Explain. (b) Explain why Bob's sample of 100 randomly selected American teens might result in 18 who believe in reincarnation, while Alicia's independent sample of 100 randomly selected American teens might result in 22 who believe in reincarnation. (c) Why is it important to randomly select American teens to estimate the population proportion who believe in reincarnation? (d) In a survey of 100 American teens, how many would you expect to believe in reincarnation? (e) Below is the histogram of the sample proportion of 1000 different surveys in which \(n=20\) American teens were asked to disclose whether they believed in reincarnation. Explain why the normal model should not be used to describe the distribution of the sample proportion. (f) What minimum sample size would you require in order for the distribution of the sample proportion to be modeled by the normal distribution?

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Determine \(\mu_{\bar{x}}\) and \(\sigma_{\bar{x}}\) from the given parameters of the population and the sample size. \(\mu=27, \sigma=6, n=15\)

The reading speed of second grade students is approximately normal, with a mean of 90 words per minute (wpm) and a standard deviation of 10 wpm. (a) What is the probability a randomly selected student will read more than 95 words per minute? (b) What is the probability that a random sample of 12 second grade students results in a mean reading rate of more than 95 words per minute? (c) What is the probability that a random sample of 24 second grade students results in a mean reading rate of more than 95 words per minute? (d) What effect does increasing the sample size have on the probability? Provide an explanation for this result. (e) A teacher instituted a new reading program at school. After 10 weeks in the program, it was found that the mean reading speed of a random sample of 20 second grade students was 92.8 wpm. What might you conclude based on this result? (f) There is a \(5 \%\) chance that the mean reading speed of a random sample of 20 second grade students will exceed what value?

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