/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 32 (a) construct a binomial probabi... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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(a) construct a binomial probability distribution with the given parameters; (b) compute the mean and standard deviation of the random variable using the methods of Section \(6.1 ;\) (c) compute the mean and standard deviation, using the methods of this section; and \((d)\) draw a graph of the probability distribution and comment on its shape. $$ n=10, p=0.2 $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Construct the binomial distribution, compute mean (2), compute standard deviation (1.26), graph it to see a right-skewed shape.

Step by step solution

01

- Construct the Binomial Probability Distribution

The binomial probability distribution is given by the formula: \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} \) where \(n\) is the number of trials and \(p\) is the probability of success. Substitute \(n = 10\) and \(p = 0.2\). Calculate \( P(X = k) \) for \( k = 0, 1, 2, \ldots, 10\).
02

- Compute Mean and Standard Deviation (Section 6.1)

Using Section 6.1 formulas: The mean of the binomial distribution \( \mu \) is computed as \( \mu = np \). The variance \( \sigma^2 \) of the binomial distribution is computed as \( \sigma^2 = np(1-p) \). Standard deviation \( \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \).
03

- Numerical Calculation for Mean and Standard Deviation

For \( n = 10, p = 0.2 \): Compute the mean \( \mu = 10 \cdot 0.2 = 2 \). Compute the variance \( \sigma^2 = 10 \cdot 0.2 \cdot (1 - 0.2) = 1.6 \). Compute the standard deviation \( \sigma = \sqrt{1.6} \approx 1.26 \).
04

- Draw the Graph

Using the calculated probabilities, plot the binomial probability distribution graph with \( X \) values on the x-axis and \( P(X) \) on the y-axis. This will show the distribution's shape.
05

- Comment on Graph's Shape

The graph of the binomial probability distribution with \( n = 10 \) and \( p = 0.2 \) should be right-skewed, indicating that lower values of \( X \) are more probable than higher values.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean and Standard Deviation
When dealing with the Binomial Probability Distribution, the concepts of mean and standard deviation are crucial for understanding the behavior of the distribution. The mean, noted as \( \mu \), represents the average number of successes in a given number of trials. For a binomial distribution, the mean is calculated using the formula \(\mu = np\), where \(n\) is the number of trials and \(p\) is the probability of success in each trial.
For the given parameters \(n = 10\) and \(p = 0.2\), the mean \( \mu \) is:
\( \mu = 10 \cdot 0.2 = 2 \), meaning we expect, on average, 2 successes out of 10 trials.
The standard deviation measures the spread or dispersion of the distribution around the mean. It is the square root of the variance. The formula for the variance of the binomial distribution is \( \sigma^2 = np(1-p) \). Once the variance is calculated, the standard deviation is found by taking the square root of the variance.
For the given parameters, the variance \(\sigma^2\) is:
\( 10 \cdot 0.2 \cdot (1-0.2) = 1.6 \)
And the standard deviation \(\sigma \) is:
\( \sqrt{1.6}\ \approx\ 1.26 \)
Probability Distribution Graph
A Probability Distribution Graph helps us visualize the distribution of probabilities for different outcomes of a binomial experiment. In this case, we plot the probability \(P(X=k)\) for \(k\) ranging from 0 to 10, given \(n = 10\) and \(p = 0.2\).
In a binomial probability distribution, each \(k\) represents a possible number of successes in 10 trials, and the height of the corresponding bar on the graph represents the probability of that number of successes occurring.
To construct the graph, use the binomial formula:
\( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{{n - k}} \)
Calculate \(P(X=k)\) for each \(k\) from 0 to 10. For example:
\( P(X = 0) = \binom{10}{0} (0.2)^0 (1 - 0.2)^{10} \)
\( P(X = 1) = \binom{10}{1} (0.2)^1 (1 - 0.2)^9 \)
... and so forth until \(X = 10\).
Once you have plotted all the probabilities, the shape of the graph becomes apparent. It visually shows how probabilities are distributed, highlighting which outcomes are more and less likely.
Skewness of Distribution
The skewness of a binomial distribution indicates the asymmetry of the distribution’s shape. In simpler terms, it reveals whether the data points (probabilities) are more crowded on one side of the mean than on the other.
For many binomial distributions, especially those where \(p\) is not close to 0.5, the distribution can be skewed. A right-skewed (or positively skewed) distribution has the bulk of the probabilities on the lower end, with a tail extending to the right.
In our case, with \(n = 10\) and \(p = 0.2\), the binomial distribution is right-skewed. This happens because the success probability \(p\) is quite low, meaning there are more likely to be fewer successes out of 10 trials.
A right-skewed distribution graph will have taller bars on the left side (near 0 and 1) and shorter bars as you move to the right (towards 10). Skewness provides insight into how probabilities are distributed and helps us understand potential outcomes better. Evaluating the skewness in conjunction with the mean and standard deviation provides a comprehensive understanding of the distribution’s behavior.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In March \(1995,\) The Harris Poll reported that \(80 \%\) of parents spank their children. Suppose a recent poll of 1030 adult Americans with children finds that 781 indicated that they spank their children. If we assume parents' attitude toward spanking has not changed since \(1995,\) how many of 1030 parents surveyed would we expect to spank? Do the results of the survey suggest that parents' attitude toward spanking may have changed since \(1995 ?\) Why?

The expected number of successes in a binomial experiment with \(n\) trials and probability of success \(p\) is ______.

Determine which of the following probability experiments represents a binomial experiment. If the probability experiment is not a binomial experiment, state why. An experimental drug is administered to 100 randomly selected individuals, with the number of individuals responding favorably recorded.

A probability distribution for the random variable \(X,\) the number of trials until a success is observed, is called the geometric probability distribution. It has the same criteria as the binomial distribution (see page 328 ), except that the number of trials is not fixed. Its probability distribution function (pdf) is $$ P(x)=p(1-p)^{x-1}, \quad x=1,2,3, \ldots $$ where \(p\) is the probability of success. (a) What is the probability that Shaquille O'Neal misses his first two free throws and makes the third? Over his career, he made \(52.4 \%\) of his free throws. That is, find \(P(3)\) (b) Construct a probability distribution for the random variable \(X,\) the number of free-throw attempts of Shaquille O'Neal until he makes a free throw. Construct the distribution for \(x=1,2,3, \ldots, 10 .\) The probabilities are small for \(x>10\) (c) Compute the mean of the distribution, using the formula presented in Section 6.1 (d) Compare the mean obtained in part (c) with the value \(\frac{1}{p}\). Conclude that the mean of a geometric probability distribution is \(\mu_{X}=\frac{1}{p} .\) How many free throws do we expect Shaq to take before we observe a made free throw?

In 1898 , Ladislaus von Bortkiewicz published The Law of Small Numbers, in which he demonstrated the power of the Poisson probability law. Before his publication, the law was used exclusively to approximate binomial probabilities. He demonstrated the law's power, using the number of Prussian cavalry soldiers who were kicked to death by their horses. The Prussian army monitored 10 cavalry corps for 20 years and recorded the number \(X\) of annual fatalities because of horse kicks for the 200 observations. The following table shows the data: $$\begin{array}{ll}\hline \text { Number of } & \text { Number of Times } \boldsymbol{x} \\\\\text { Deaths, } \boldsymbol{x} & \text { Deaths Were Observed } \\\\\hline 0 & 109 \\\\\hline 1 & 65 \\\\\hline 2 & 22 \\\\\hline 3 & 3 \\\\\hline 4 & 1 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ (a) Compute the proportion of years in which there were 0 deaths, 1 death, 2 deaths, 3 deaths, and 4 deaths. (b) From the data in the table, what was the mean number of deaths per year? (c) Use the mean number of deaths per year found in part (b) and the Poisson probability law to determine the theoretical proportion of years that 0 deaths should occur. Repeat this for \(1,2,3,\) and 4 deaths. (d) Compare the observed proportions to the theoretical proportions. Do you think the data can be modeled by the Poisson probability law?

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