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A binomial probability experiment is conducted with the given parameters. Compute the probability of \(x\) successes in the \(n\) independent trials of the experiment. $$ n=12, p=0.35, x \leq 4 $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is approximately 0.7673.

Step by step solution

01

- Identify the Binomial Formula

The binomial probability formula is used to calculate the probability of having exactly \( x \) successes in \( n \) independent trials of a binomial experiment. The formula is: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient.
02

- Calculate Individual Probabilities

Calculate the individual probabilities for \( x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 \) using the binomial formula: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{12}{k} (0.35)^k (0.65)^{12-k} \].For example, \( P(X = 0) = \binom{12}{0} (0.35)^0 (0.65)^{12} \).
03

- Sum of Probabilities

Add the probabilities calculated in Step 2 for \( x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 \): \[ P(X \leq 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4). \]
04

- Use Technology or Tables

Use a binomial probability table or a calculator to find the values and sum them: \[ P(X \leq 4) \approx 0.0140 + 0.0774 + 0.1673 + 0.2498 + 0.2588. \]
05

- Compute the Sum

Sum the values obtained in Step 4 to find the cumulative probability: \[ P(X \leq 4) \approx 0.0140 + 0.0774 + 0.1673 + 0.2498 + 0.2588 = 0.7673. \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

binomial experiment
In a binomial experiment, there are a fixed number of trials, usually represented by the letter \(n\). Each trial is independent, which means the outcome of one trial does not affect the outcome of another. The outcome of each trial can be classified as either a success or a failure. The probability of a success on a single trial is denoted by \(p\), while the probability of failure is \(1 - p\). These experiments are common in real-life scenarios where we observe a sequence of identical trials, like flipping a coin or rolling a die. For example, in the given exercise, you have 12 trials (\(n = 12\)), and the probability of success in each trial is 0.35 (\(p = 0.35\)).
probability calculation
Calculating the probability in a binomial experiment involves using the binomial probability formula: \[P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}\]. Here, \(X\) is a random variable representing the number of successes, \(k\) is the specific number of successes we're interested in, \(n\) is the total number of trials, \(p\) is the probability of success, and \(\binom{n}{k}\) is the binomial coefficient. This function counts how many ways \(k\) successes can occur out of \(n\) trials. For example, to find the probability of exactly 2 successes in 12 trials with a success probability of 0.35, you'd plug the values into the formula. Using our case, you calculate: \[P(X = 2) = \binom{12}{2} (0.35)^2 (0.65)^{10} \].
cumulative probability
Cumulative probability considers the probability of obtaining at most a certain number of successes. This means summing up the probabilities of all counts from 0 up to the defined number. For our example, we want the cumulative probability of getting up to 4 successes (\(x \leq 4\)) out of 12 trials. To find this, we first calculate the individual probabilities for 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 successes using the binomial formula. Once calculated, we sum these probabilities. With technology, such as a binomial probability table or calculator, we get: \[P(X \leq 4) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)\]. Summing, we find: \[P(X \leq 4) \approx 0.0140 + 0.0774 + 0.1673 + 0.2498 + 0.2588 = 0.7673\]. This means there is about a 76.73% chance of having 4 or fewer successes out of 12 trials with a success probability of 0.35 each time.

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