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According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the probability that a randomly selected worker primarily drives a car to work is \(0.867 .\) The probability that a randomly selected worker primarily takes public transportation to work is 0.048 . (a) What is the probability that a randomly selected worker primarily drives a car or takes public transportation to Work? (b) What is the probability that a randomly selected worker neither drives a car nor takes public transportation to Work? (c) What is the probability that a randomly selected worker does not drive a car to work? (d) Can the probability that a randomly selected worker walks to work equal \(0.15 ?\) Why or why not?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 0.915 (b) 0.085 (c) 0.133 (d) No, because the sum exceeds 1.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the given probabilities

Given: - Probability that a worker drives a car to work: \(P(A) = 0.867\)- Probability that a worker takes public transportation: \(P(B) = 0.048\)
02

Calculate the probability for part (a)

For part (a), use the formula for the union of two events: \[P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\]Since driving a car and taking public transportation are mutually exclusive events:\[P(A \cup B) = 0.867 + 0.048 - 0 = 0.915\]
03

Calculate the probability for part (b)

For part (b), we need the probability that a worker neither drives a car nor takes public transportation. This is the complement of the union of these two events:\[P(A^c \cap B^c) = 1 - P(A \cup B)\]So,\[P(A^c \cap B^c) = 1 - 0.915 = 0.085\]
04

Calculate the probability for part (c)

For part (c), we need the probability that a worker does not drive a car to work. This is simply the complement of driving a car:\[P(A^c) = 1 - P(A)\]So,\[P(A^c) = 1 - 0.867 = 0.133\]
05

Evaluate the probability for part (d)

For part (d), check if the probability that a worker walks to work can be 0.15. The sum of probabilities for all mutually exclusive events must be 1. If a worker either drives, takes public transportation, or walks, we have:\[P(A) + P(B) + P(W) \leq 1\]Given \(P(A) = 0.867\) and \(P(B) = 0.048\), we get:\[0.867 + 0.048 + 0.15 = 1.065\]Since 1.065 > 1, the probability that a worker walks to work cannot be 0.15.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mutually Exclusive Events
When evaluating probability problems, it's essential to understand the idea of mutually exclusive events. In simple terms, mutually exclusive events are events that cannot happen at the same time. For instance, the problem states that a worker either drives a car or takes public transportation to work. These two scenarios cannot occur simultaneously, making them mutually exclusive. This is mathematically represented as:  \[P(A \text{ and } B) = 0\] Since driving and public transportation are mutually exclusive events, we can simplify the union formula:  \[P(A \text{or} B) = P(A) + P(B)\] Mutual exclusivity here helps us directly add the individual probabilities of driving a car and taking public transportation without needing any overlap consideration.
Complement Rule
Another critical principle in probability is the complement rule. This rule is useful when we want to find the probability of an event not happening. The complement of an event A is denoted as Ac and represents all outcomes where event A does not occur. The formula for the complement is:  \[P(A^c) = 1 - P(A)\] In our exercise, part (b) requires calculating the probability that a worker neither drives nor takes public transportation. This can be found by taking the complement of the event that a worker either drives or takes public transportation:  \[P(A^c \text{ and } B^c) = 1 - P(A \text{ or } B)\] Similarly, part (c) asks for the probability that a worker does not drive to work. We use the complement rule again:  \[P(A^c) = 1 - 0.867 = 0.133\] The complement rule simplifies calculations by focusing on the event's absence rather than its presence.
Union of Events
The concept of the union of events is essential for combining probabilities. The union of two events A and B, denoted as A ∪ B, represents all outcomes that are in A, B, or both. To calculate the union of non-mutually exclusive events, we use the formula:  \[P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \text{ and } B)\] However, if the events are mutually exclusive (as in our exercise), where no outcomes are common, the formula simplifies to:  \[P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B)\] In our exercise, we use this idea to find the probability that a worker either drives a car or takes public transportation:  \[0.867 + 0.048 = 0.915\] Thus, the union of mutually exclusive events helps us combine their probabilities straightforwardly.

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