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Drawing a Card Suppose that a single card is selected from a standard 52 -card deck. What is the probability that the card drawn is a king? Now suppose that a single card is drawn from a standard 52 -card deck, but we are told that the card is a heart. What is the probability that the card drawn is a king? Did the knowledge that the card is a heart change the probability that the card was a king? What term is used to describe this result?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of drawing a king is \( \frac{1}{13} \). Knowing the card is a heart does not change this probability. This result is described by 'independent events'.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding a Standard Deck

A standard deck of cards contains 52 cards, divided into 4 suits (hearts, spades, diamonds, and clubs). Each suit contains 13 cards, including one king in each suit.
02

Calculate Probability of Drawing a King

There are 4 kings in a deck of 52 cards. The probability of drawing one king is calculated as follows: \[ P(\text{King}) = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} \].
03

Probability of King Given It Is a Heart

If we know the card is a heart, there are only 13 possible cards to draw from (all hearts). There is exactly 1 king among these 13 hearts. Therefore, \[ P(\text{King} | \text{Heart}) = \frac{1}{13} \].
04

Effect of Given Information

Notice that the probability of drawing a king is still \( \frac{1}{13} \), even if we know the card is a heart. This means the given information did not change the probability.
05

Term for This Result

The term used to describe this result is 'independent events'. Two events are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

independent events
In probability, when we talk about independent events, we mean that the outcome of one event does not change the likelihood of another event happening. Take a deck of cards, for instance. If we want to find out the probability of drawing a king in a standard deck, and then someone tells us the card drawn is a heart, we might wonder if this new information changes our original probability calculation.
Here's the catch: it doesn't. Events are considered independent if the additional information (in this case, that the card is a heart) does not affect the initial probability. So for drawing a king, whether or not we know the card is a heart, the chance stays the same.
This concept is crucial because it helps us manage complexity in probability problems. It allows us to treat each event separately when it's more convenient and keeps calculations straightforward.
standard deck of cards
A standard deck of cards is probably one of the most common tools used for probability exercises. Understanding its structure is fundamental. A standard deck consists of 52 cards, which are divided into four suits: hearts, spades, diamonds, and clubs. Each suit has 13 cards ranging from Ace through 10, followed by three face cards — Jack, Queen, and King.
This means each suit has one king, adding up to four kings total in the entire deck. Knowing this structure is key to solving many types of problems, such as calculating the likelihood of drawing a specific card or a type of card (like face cards or suits).
A clear grasp of how a deck functions simplifies calculations and makes it easier to follow the logic in more complex problems, especially when combined with probability theories.
probability calculation
Calculating probability involves understanding what possible outcomes there are and how many of those fit your criteria. Suppose we're trying to find the probability of drawing a King from a full deck. there are 4 Kings in a deck of 52 cards, so the probability here can be calculated as:
\[ P(\text{King}) = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} \]
This fraction means that if you were to draw a card 52 times, you'd expect to pull a King about 4 times.
When information changes (like knowing the card is a heart), our sample of possible outcomes might change. In this specific exercise, both before and after learning the card is a heart, the probability to draw a King remained as \[ P(\text{King} | \text{Heart}) = \frac{1}{13} \]
Thus, it’s important to keep track of total outcomes and favorable outcomes accurately and see how or if new information changes the calculation.
card drawing probabilities
When drawing cards from a standard deck, each draw can be influenced by specific conditions, like knowing additional information about the card drawn. For example, if you're told the card is a heart, it changes your sample space to just the 13 heart cards.
The probability calculations follow a similar pattern, but your new total sample space is reduced. If looking for a specific card, like the King of Hearts, knowing that the card is a heart, essentially sets up a conditional probability scenario.
Here's the formula for conditional probability if you have Event A influencing Event B:
\[ P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \]
In simpler terms, it’s the chance of Event A happening given that Event B has already occurred. This makes understanding conditions that affect your draws crucial for precise calculations and accurate predictions.

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