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Violent crimes include rape, robbery, assault, and homicide. The following is a summary of the violent-crime rate (violent crimes per 100,000 population) for all 50 states in the United States plus Washington, D.C., in 2012 . $$ Q_{1}=252.4 \quad Q_{2}=333.8 \quad Q_{3}=454.5 $$ (a) Provide an interpretation of these results. (b) Determine and interpret the interquartile range. (c) The violent-crime rate in Washington, D.C., in 2012 was 1243.7. Would this be an outlier? (d) Do you believe that the distribution of violent-crime rates is skewed or symmetric? Why?

Short Answer

Expert verified
25% of states have rates ≤ 252.4; 50% ≤ 333.8; 75% ≤ 454.5. IQR is 202.1. Washington, D.C. (1243.7) is an outlier. Distribution is likely right-skewed.

Step by step solution

01

Interpret Quartiles

Quartiles divide the dataset into four equal parts. - The first quartile (Q_{1}) is 252.4, meaning 25% of the states have a violent-crime rate of 252.4 per 100,000 or less.- The second quartile (Q_{2} or the median) is 333.8, meaning 50% of the states have a violent-crime rate of 333.8 per 100,000 or less.- The third quartile (Q_{3}) is 454.5, meaning 75% of the states have a violent-crime rate of 454.5 per 100,000 or less.
02

Calculate the Interquartile Range

The interquartile range (IQR) is the range between the first quartile (Q_{1}) and the third quartile (Q_{3}). It is calculated as follows:\[ IQR = Q_{3} - Q_{1} \]Substitute the values:\[ IQR = 454.5 - 252.4 = 202.1 \]
03

Interpreting the Interquartile Range

The interquartile range (IQR) of 202.1 represents the middle 50% of the violent-crime rates across all states. This means that the range within which the central half of the states' violent-crime rates fall is 202.1 crimes per 100,000 population.
04

Identify an Outlier

To determine if Washington, D.C. is an outlier, calculate the lower and upper bounds using 1.5 times the IQR.\[ \text{Lower Bound} = Q_{1} - 1.5 \times IQR = 252.4 - 1.5 \times 202.1 = -50.75 \]\[ \text{Upper Bound} = Q_{3} + 1.5 \times IQR = 454.5 + 1.5 \times 202.1 = 757.65 \]Since the violent-crime rate in Washington, D.C. in 2012 is 1243.7, which is greater than 757.65, it is indeed an outlier.
05

Determine Distribution Skewness

Given that there is a significant outlier like Washington, D.C. and assuming the other states have much lower rates, the distribution of violent-crime rates is likely skewed to the right (positively skewed). This is because the outlier pulls the tail of the distribution toward higher values.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Interquartile Range
The interquartile range, or IQR, measures the spread of the middle 50% of a dataset. It is the difference between the third quartile (Q_3) and the first quartile (Q_1). This range is crucial because it helps understand how data is distributed around the median, or second quartile (Q_2). In our exercise, Q_1 = 252.4 and Q_3 = 454.5. So, the IQR is calculated as follows:
IQR = Q_3 - Q_1 = 454.5 - 252.4 = 202.1
This value of 202.1 specifies that the middle 50% of violent-crime rates fall within this range. Since it excludes the highest and lowest 25% of values, it offers a more robust measure of variability compared to the overall range, which might be affected by outliers. Understanding the IQR can help efficiently interpret the distribution characteristics and identify the extent of variability in a dataset.
Outlier Detection
Outliers are data points significantly different from others in a dataset. Their identification is essential because they can influence statistical analyses and the interpretation of data. To detect if Washington, D.C.’s violent-crime rate is an outlier, we use the IQR to calculate upper and lower bounds. If a data point lies outside these bounds, it is considered an outlier.
The bounds are determined as follows:
Lower Bound = Q_1 - 1.5 × IQR = 252.4 - 1.5 × 202.1 = -50.75
Upper Bound = Q_3 + 1.5 × IQR = 454.5 + 1.5 × 202.1 = 757.65
Any value below -50.75 or above 757.65 is an outlier. Since Washington, D.C.’s violent-crime rate is 1243.7, it clearly exceeds the upper bound of 757.65, marking it as an outlier. Recognizing outliers helps in understanding extreme variations and can indicate unusual conditions or data entry errors.
Skewness
Skewness refers to the asymmetry of the data distribution. If data points are not symmetrically distributed around the mean, they exhibit skewness. Specifically, skewness can be detected by identifying if the tail on one side of the mean is longer or shorter. In our exercise, the presence of an extreme value like 1243.7 suggests the data might not be symmetrically distributed.
Given the significant outlier in Washington, D.C., the distribution of violent-crime rates is likely to be right-skewed (positively skewed). This kind of skewness results in a long right tail, meaning that a large number of smaller observations cluster on the left side with few large observations pulling the tail to the right. This is where the median becomes noticeably lower than the mean, signaling the impact of extreme values on the data distribution. Identifying skewness is crucial as it informs appropriate statistical methods and helps to understand underlying patterns in data.

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