/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 12 The quality-control manager of a... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The quality-control manager of a candy company wants to discover whether a filling machine overor underfills 16 -ounce bags randomly. The following data represent the filling status of 18 consecutive bags: $$ A A A A A R R R A A A A A A A A A A $$ A bag is rejected (R) if it is either overfilled or underfilled and accepted (A) if it is filled according to specification. Test the randomness of the filling machine in the way that it over-or underfills at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The filling machine fills are random at \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance.

Step by step solution

01

Define Hypotheses

Set up the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) states that the bags are filled randomly (i.e., there is no non-random pattern), and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) states that there is a non-random pattern in the filling process.
02

Identify the sequence of counts

Count the number of runs (groups of consecutive A's or R's) in the dataset. In the given sequence, there are runs of A's and R's.
03

Determine the number of Runs

In the sequence: A A A A A R R R A A A A A A A A A A, count the number of runs. There are 3 runs: 5 A's, 3 R's, and 10 A's.
04

Use Runs Test Formula for Randomness

Calculate the expected number of runs (\(E(R)\)) and the standard deviation of runs (\(σR\)). These can be determined with the following formulas: \[ E(R) = \frac{2n_1n_2}{n} + 1 \] and \[ σR = \sqrt{\frac{2n_1n_2(2n_1n_2 - n)}{n^2(n-1)}} \], where \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the numbers of each type (A's and R's) and \(n\) is the total number.
05

Calculate using given data

Here, \(n_1 = 15\) (for A's), \(n_2 = 3\) (for R's), and \(n = 18\). Calculate \(E(R)\) and \(σR\): \[ E(R) = \frac{2(15)(3)}{18} + 1 = 3 + 1 = 4 \] \[ σR = \sqrt{\frac{2(15)(3)(2(15)(3) - 18)}{18^2(18-1)}} = \sqrt{\frac{2(15)(3)(90 - 18)}{18^2(17)}} = \sqrt{\frac{2(15)(3)(72)}{306}} = \sqrt\frac{2160}{306} \approx 1.46 \]
06

Calculate Test Statistic

Determine the Z-score for the number of observed runs. The formula is: \[ Z = \frac{R - E(R)}{σR} \]. Using the observed data, number of runs \(R = 4\), expected runs \(E(R) = 4\), and standard deviation of runs \(σR \approx 1.46\), calculate: \[ Z = \frac{4 - 4}{1.46} = 0 \]
07

Make the Decision

Compare the Z-score to the critical Z-value for \(\alpha = 0.05\). The critical values for a two-tailed test at \(\alpha = 0.05\) are approximately \(\pm1.96\). Since the calculated Z-score (0) is within \(-1.96 \) and \(1.96\), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

quality control in manufacturing
Quality control in manufacturing ensures that products meet specific standards and are consistent in quality. One key aspect is monitoring and adjusting the production process to maintain product quality. In the context of the candy company, quality control involves checking if the filling machine faithfully fills 16-ounce bags as required. If bags are often underfilled or overfilled, this indicates a potential issue with the machine's precision. Regular random inspections or systematic checks can help detect anomalies, ensuring that any problems are identified and resolved promptly. Monitoring quality is not only about preventing defective products but also about maintaining customer trust and satisfaction. Deviations from product specifications can lead to customer complaints, recalls, and reputational damage. Implementing statistical methods, such as runs tests, helps in understanding the behavior of the production process and in verifying its consistency. By applying a runs test, we can determine if the variability in the filling process is random or indicates a systematic problem that needs addressing.
hypothesis testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to make decisions based on data. In our example, the candy company's quality-control manager formulates two hypotheses. The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) suggests that the filling machine operates randomly, indicating no specific pattern in filling deviations. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)) proposes that a non-random pattern exists in the filling process.
To perform hypothesis testing, we follow a systematic process:
  • Define the null and alternative hypotheses (\(H_0\) and \(H_1\)).
  • Choose an appropriate significance level (\(\bold alpha\)) - often 0.05.
  • Collect and analyze the data.
  • Calculate a test statistic to determine how well the data supports the hypotheses.
  • Compare the test statistic to a critical value determined by the significance level.
  • Draw a conclusion: either reject or fail to reject \(H_0\) based on this comparison.
In the runs test example, the decision involves calculating a Z-score and comparing it to the critical values for a given alpha level. If the Z-score lies within the acceptable range, we fail to reject \(H_0\), implying insufficient evidence to suggest a non-random pattern. Hypothesis testing provides a structured approach to decision-making, offering a way to quantify uncertainty and make evidence-based conclusions.
statistical analysis
Statistical analysis involves collecting, exploring, and interpreting data to uncover patterns and trends. In the context of quality control, it helps identify inconsistencies in processes and suggests improvements. With our candy company, we analyzed the filling data for 18 bags to assess randomness in over- or under-filling.
The steps taken in statistical analysis include:
  • Data collection: Gather precise data from the production process, ensuring it accurately represents the scenario being studied.
  • Data organization: Arrange data systematically, often in sequences or categories.
  • Descriptive statistics: Summarize data using measures like mean, median, and standard deviation to provide an overview.
  • Inferential statistics: Use tests, such as the runs test, to make inferences about the population based on sample data.
  • Visualization: Create charts or graphs to visualize data trends and patterns clearly.
In our runs test, we calculated the expected number of runs and their standard deviation to analyze the pattern. By computing and comparing the Z-score, we determined the randomness of the filling process. Statistical analysis is fundamental in quality control, helping to transform raw data into actionable insights, bolster performance, and ensure product consistency. Understanding and applying these concepts empowers quality-control managers to make informed decisions, enhancing the reliability of manufacturing processes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the Wilcoxon matched-pairs signedranks test to test the given hypotheses at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. The dependent samples were obtained randomly. Hypotheses: \(H_{0}: M_{D}=0\) versus \(H_{1}: M_{D} \neq 0\) with \(n=14, T_{-}=-45,\) and \(T_{+}=60\)

A researcher wants to know if the median weight of NFL offensive tackles is higher than the median weight of NFL defensive tackles. He randomly selected 10 offensive tackles and 8 defensive tackles and obtained the following data: $$ \begin{array}{lllll} {\text { Offensive Linemen }} \\ \hline 323 & 295 & 305 & 380 & 309 \\ \hline 320 & 328 & 313 & 318 & 305 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ $$ \begin{array}{llll} {\text { Defensive Linemen }} \\ \hline 289 & 250 & 305 & 310 \\ \hline 295 & 278 & 300 & 339 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Do the data indicate that offensive tackles are heavier? Use the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance.

Reaction-Time Experiment Researchers at the University of Mississippi wanted to learn the reaction times of students to different stimuli. In the following data, the reaction times for subjects were measured after they received a simple stimulus and a go/no-go stimulus. The simple stimulus was an auditory cue, and the time from when the cue was given to when the student reacted was measured. The go/no-go stimulus required the student to respond to a particular stimulus and not respond to other stimuli. Again, the reaction time was measured. The following data were obtained: $$ \begin{array}{ccc|ccc} \begin{array}{l} \text { Subject } \\ \text { Number } \end{array} & \text { Simple } & \text { Go/No-Go } & \begin{array}{l} \text { Subject } \\ \text { Number } \end{array} & \text { Simple } & \text { Go/No-Go } \\ \hline 1 & 0.220 & 0.375 & 16 & 0.498 & 0.565 \\ \hline 2 & 0.430 & 1.759 & 17 & 0.262 & 0.402 \\ \hline 3 & 0.338 & 0.652 & 18 & 0.620 & 0.643 \\ \hline 4 & 0.266 & 0.467 & 19 & 0.300 & 0.351 \\ \hline 5 & 0.381 & 0.651 & 20 & 0.424 & 0.380 \\ \hline 6 & 0.738 & 0.442 & 21 & 0.478 & 0.434 \\ \hline 7 & 0.885 & 1.246 & 22 & 0.305 & 0.452 \\ \hline 8 & 0.683 & 0.224 & 23 & 0.281 & 0.745 \\ \hline 9 & 0.250 & 0.654 & 24 & 0.291 & 0.290 \\ \hline 10 & 0.255 & 0.442 & 25 & 0.453 & 0.790 \\ \hline 11 & 0.198 & 0.347 & 26 & 0.376 & 0.792 \\ \hline 12 & 0.352 & 0.698 & 27 & 0.328 & 0.613 \\ \hline 13 & 0.285 & 0.803 & 28 & 0.952 & 1.179 \\ \hline 14 & 0.259 & 0.488 & 29 & 0.355 & 0.636 \\ \hline 15 & 0.200 & 0.281 & 30 & 0.368 & 0.391 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ The researchers used Minitab to test whether the simple stimulus had a lower reaction time than the go/no-go stimulus. The results of the analysis are as follows: (a) State the null and alternative hypotheses. (b) Is the median reaction time for the go/no-go stimulus higher than the median reaction time for the simple stimulus? Use the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. Why?

"Defense wins championships" is a common phrase used in the National Football League. Is defense associated with winning? The following data represent the winning percentage and the yards per game allowed during the 2014-2015 season for a random sample of teams. $$ \begin{array}{lcc} \text { Team } & \text { Winning Percentage } & \text { Total Yards } \\ \hline \text { Baltimore Ravens } & 0.625 & 336.9 \\ \hline \text { Cleveland Browns } & 0.438 & 366.1 \\ \hline \text { Denver Broncos } & 0.750 & 305.2 \\ \hline \text { Jacksonville Jaguars } & 0.188 & 370.8 \\ \hline \text { New England Patriots } & 0.750 & 344.1 \\ \hline \text { Oakland Raiders } & 0.188 & 357.6 \\ \hline \text { Pittsburgh Steelers } & 0.688 & 353.4 \end{array} $$ (a) Test the belief that defense wins championships by determining whether a higher winning percentage is associated with a lower number of total yards given up at the \(\alpha=0.10\) level of significance. (b) Draw a scatter diagram to support your conclusion.

Use the sign test to test the given alternative hypothesis at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. The median is different from 100. An analysis of the data reveals that there are 21 minus signs and 28 plus signs.

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