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The body mass index (BMI) of an individual is a measure used to judge whether an individual is overweight or not. A BMI between 20 and 25 indicates a normal weight. In a survey of 750 men and 750 women, the Gallup organization found that 203 men and 270 women were normal weight. Construct a 90% confidence interval to gauge whether there is a difference in the proportion of men and women who are normal weight. Interpret the interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 90% confidence interval is \((-0.1313, -0.0501)\), indicating that a smaller proportion of men are of normal weight than women.

Step by step solution

01

Define the problem

We need to construct a 90% confidence interval for the difference in proportions of normal weight men and women based on survey data.
02

Identify sample proportions

Calculate the sample proportions of normal weight men (\(p_1\)) and women (\(p_2\)): \(p_1 = \frac{203}{750}\) and \(p_2 = \frac{270}{750}\)
03

Calculate proportions

Compute the proportions: \(p_1 = \frac{203}{750} \approx 0.2707\) and \(p_2 = \frac{270}{750} \approx 0.36\)
04

Find the standard error

Calculate the standard error for the difference in proportions: \(SE = \sqrt{ \, p_1(1 - p_1)/n_1 + \, p_2(1 - p_2)/n_2}\) where \(n_1 = n_2 = 750\)
05

Compute the standard error

Using the proportions and sample sizes: \(SE = \sqrt{0.2707(1 - 0.2707)/750 + 0.36(1 - 0.36)/750} \approx 0.0241\)
06

Determine the critical value

For a 90% confidence interval, the critical value (\(z*\)) using the standard normal distribution is approximately 1.645.
07

Calculate the confidence interval

The confidence interval is given by: \(\left ( \hat{p_1} - \hat{p_2} \right ) \pm z* \cdot SE\) \(CI = (0.2707 - 0.36) \pm 1.645 \times 0.0241\)
08

Compute the interval limits

Lower limit: \(0.2707 - 0.36 - (1.645 \times 0.0241) \approx -0.1313\)Upper limit: \(0.2707 - 0.36 + (1.645 \times 0.0241) \approx -0.0501\)
09

Interpret the result

The 90% confidence interval for the difference in proportions is approximately \((-0.1313, -0.0501)\). Since both limits are negative, we can say with 90% confidence that the proportion of men who are of normal weight is less than the proportion of women who are of normal weight.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

BMI
Body Mass Index (BMI) is a simple and widely used measure to gauge whether an individual's body weight falls into a healthy range. It is calculated by dividing a person's weight in kilograms by the square of their height in meters. The formula is: \[ BMI = \frac{weight \text{(kg)}}{height^2 \text{(m)}} \]
According to medical guidelines, a BMI between 20 and 25 indicates a normal, healthy weight. Individuals with a BMI below 20 are considered underweight, while those with a BMI above 25 are viewed as overweight or obese, depending on the value.
To understand BMI in a real-world context, consider the survey mentioned in the problem. Out of 750 men, 203 were classified as normal weight based on their BMI. Similarly, 270 out of 750 women fell into the normal weight category. These figures are essential for further statistical analysis on whether there is a significant difference between men and women in their normal weight categories.
Difference in Proportions
The difference in proportions is a statistical measure used to compare two groups. When we want to find out if there is a significant difference between two proportions, we calculate the difference and then assess its significance.

In this exercise, we are comparing the proportion of normal weight individuals among men and women. Specifically, we want to see if there is a significant difference between the two. The sample proportions here are: \[ p_1 = \frac{203}{750} \text{ for men} \] \[ p_2 = \frac{270}{750} \text{ for women} \]
Calculating these, we get \[ p_1 \text{ (men)} \theta 0.2707 \] and \[ p_2 \text{ (women)} \theta 0.3600 \]
The difference in these proportions is essential for understanding if one group differs significantly from the other in terms of normal body weight.
Standard Error
Standard Error (SE) is a crucial component in statistical analysis. It measures the variability or dispersion of a sample statistic from the population statistic. In essence, it tells us how much the sample statistic (such as a sample proportion) is expected to vary from the true population proportion due to sampling variability.

For the difference in proportions, the standard error can be computed using the formula: \[ SE = \sqrt{ \frac{p_1(1 - p_1)}{n_1} + \frac{p_2(1 - p_2)}{n_2}} \] where \[ p_1 = 0.2707 \text{ and } p_2 = 0.36 \]
Both sample sizes (_1\text{ and }_2) are 750. Using these values, the SE can be calculated approximately as: \[ SE \theta 0.0241 \]
The standard error helps in constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis tests by showing the expected range of the difference in proportions.
Critical Value
The critical value is a crucial part of constructing confidence intervals. It is a point on the standard normal distribution that corresponds to a specified confidence level.

For a 90% confidence level, the critical value (denoted as z*) from the standard normal distribution is approximately 1.645. This value is used to multiply the standard error to find the margin of error for the confidence interval.

The margin of error (MOE) can be calculated as: \[ MOE = z* \times SE \] Substituting the values we have: \[ MOE = 1.645 \times 0.0241 \] \[ MOE \theta 0.0396 \]
Finally, the confidence interval for the difference in proportions is calculated by adding and subtracting this margin of error from the difference in sample proportions. This helps us to understand if there is a statistically significant difference between the two groups.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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