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Hospital patient interarrival times. The length of time between arrivals at a hospital clinic has an approximately exponential probability distribution. Suppose the mean time between arrivals for patients at a clinic is 4 minutes.

a. What is the probability that a particular interarrival time (the time between the arrival of two patients) is less than 1 minute?

b. What is the probability that the next four interarrival times are all less than 1 minute?

c. What is the probability that an interarrival time will exceed 10 minutes?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Probability that a particular interarrival time is less than 1 minute is 0.22.

b. probability that the next four interarrival times are all less than 1 minute is 0.0023.

c. probability that an interarrival time will exceed 10 minutes is 0.082.

Step by step solution

01

Given information:

The length of time between arrivals at a hospital clinic follows approximately exponential probability distribution.

Mean time between the arrivals for patients at a clinic is 4 minute.

02

Step 2:Calculation of the probability that a particular interarrival time is less than 1 minute

a.

Given mean time is 4 minute hence, the pdf can be given as

ft=14exp-t4t0

We have to find the probability that a particular interarrival time is less than 1 minute, that is to find PT<1

PT<1=01ftdt=0114exp-14tdt=-exp-14t01=-exp-14--exp0=-exp-14--1PT<1=1-exp-0.25=0.22

Hence Probability that a particular interarrival time is less than 1 minute is 0.22.

03

Calculation of the probability that the next four interarrival times are less than 1 minute.

b.

Exponential distribution has the memoryless property that is the next interarrival time re independent of each other.

Hence the required probability is

PT<1=0.22meantime=0.224=0.0023

Therefore probability that the next four interarrival times are all less than 1 minute is 0.0023

04

Step 4:Calculation of the probability that an interarrival time is exceed 10 minutes

c.

We have to calculate PT>10

PT>10=10ftdt=1014exp-14tdt=-exp-14t10

PT>10=exp-25=0.082

Therefore, probability that an interarrival time will exceed 10 minutes is 0.082.

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