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LASIK surgery complications. According to studies, 1% of all patients who undergo laser surgery (i.e., LASIK) to correct their vision have serious post laser vision problems (All About Vision, 2012). In a sample of 100,000 patients, what is the approximate probability that fewer than 950 will experience serious post laser vision problems?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Approximate probability that fewer patients will experience serious post laser vision problem is 0.0537

Step by step solution

01

Given information

1% of the patients who undergo laser surgery to correct the vision have serious postlaser vision problem.

02

Calculating the value of mean

Let x be the number of patients undergo the laser surgery to correct the vision who have the serious post laser problem.

With n =100,000 and p =0.001

Hence,

Ex=μ=np=100,000×0.01Ex=1000

Hence mean is 1000.

03

Calculating the value of standard deviation

α=npq=100,000×0.01-0.01)=1000,000×0.01×0.99σ=31.646

Hence the value of standard deviation is 31.646

04

Checking whether normal distribution is approximate or not.

Most of the observations will fall within three standard deviation of the mean.

That is, atleast 89of the measurement will fall within 3 standard deviation of the mean.

Lets μ=1000and μ=31.464

The observations will fall within three standard deviation of the mean is,

μ±3σ=1000±331.464

=1000-331.464,1000+331.464=1000-94.392,1000+331.464

μ±3σ=905,608,1,094.392

Hence, the normal approximation is appropriate because the interval905,608,1,094.392 is lies in the range of 0 to 1000,000

05

Calculating the value of  P(x<950)

The approximate probability can be obtained by using the formula

z=k-0.5-μσ

Therefore,

Px<950=Pz<950-0.5-μσ=Pz<949.5-100031.464Px<950=Pz<949.5-100031.464=Pz<-50.531.464

Pz≤-1.61[from table 2-normal curve areas]

=0.5-0.4463=0.0537

Hence, approximate probability that fewer than 950 patients will experience serious post laser vision problem is 0.0537

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