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Problems at major companies. The Organization Development Journal (Summer 2006) reported on a survey of human resource officers (HROs) at major employers. The focus of the study was employee behaviour, namely, absenteeism and turnover. The study found that 55% of the HROs had problems with employee absenteeism; 41% had problems with turnover. Suppose that 22% of the HROs had problems with both absenteeism and turnover. Use this information to find the probability that an HRO selected from the group surveyed had problems with either employee absenteeism or employee turnover.

Short Answer

Expert verified

0.78

Step by step solution

01

Introduction

The probability of an event is a measure of the likelihood of an event occurring when an experiment is performed. When there are just two possible outcomes, complementary occurrences occur. There is another eventAc for every event A, which Acsignifies the complimentary event.

P(Ac)=1–(A).

02

Determine the probability that an HRO was chosen from the sample who experienced issues with either employee absenteeism or employee turnover

Let’s take A1 as the HRO problem with employee absenteeism and A2 as the HRO problem with employee turnover.

Therefore, we get:

P(A1)=55%=55100=0.55

P(A2)=41%=41100=0.41

P(A1∩A2)=22%=22100=0.22

P(A1)=55%=55100=0.55

P(A2)=41%=41100=0.41

P(A1∩A2)=22%=22100=0.22

Hence, the probability that HRO had a problem with either employee absenteeism or employee turnover is:

P(eitheremployeeabsenteeismoremployeeturnover)=1–P(neitheremployeeabsenteeismoremployeeturnover)=1–0.22=0.78

Therefore, the required probability is 0.78.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Forensic evidence in a criminal court case. In our legal system,the use of DNA as forensic evidence is often regarded as the most reliable type of evidence. However, most of the DNA code is the same for all humans. Consequently, assessing the probability of the DNA code that varies among individuals is the key to a successful case. Chance (Vol. 28, 2015) published an article on the use of DNA in a criminal case. The evidence found at the crime scene consisted of two alleles (sequences of DNA code), denoted {6/9}. One of these alleles comes from the individual’s mother and one from the individual’s father, but it is not known which allele-6 or 9-is from which parent. In forensic science, it is assumed that the two outcomes (alleles) are independent.

  1. DNA taken from the suspect resulted in a sequence of {6/9}. Given the evidence (E) comes from the suspect, find the probability of a DNA sequence of {6/9}. This probability-denotedPEHp-is used by the prosecution to support a claim of guilt.
  2. In the general population, the probability of observing an allele of 6 is 0.21 and the probability of an allele 9 is 0.14. Given the evidence (E) comes from a randomly selected person in the general population, find the probability of a DNA sequence of {6/9}. This probability-denotedPEHd-is used by the defense to support the suspect’s claim of not guilty.
  3. In a court of law, the likelihood ratioPEHp/PEHdis used to help decide the case. A ratio greater than 1 supports the prosecution, while a ratio less than 1 supports the defendant. Compute this likelihood ratio from the results in parts a and b and use it to make an inference.

Likelihood of a tax return audit. At the beginning of each year, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) releases information on the likelihood of a tax return being audited. In 2013, the IRS audited 1,242,479 individual tax returns from 145,236,429 filed returns; also, the IRS audited 25,905 returns from the total of 1,924,887 corporation returns filed (IRS 2014 Data Book).

a. Suppose an individual tax return is randomly selected. What is the probability that the IRS audited the return?

b. Refer to part a. Determine the probability that the IRS did not audit an individual return.

c. Suppose a corporation tax return is randomly selected. What is the probability that the IRS audited the return?

d. Refer to part c. Determine the probability that the IRS did not audit a corporation's return.

Consider the Venn diagram in the next column, where

P(E1)=0.10,P(E2)=0.05,P(E3)=P(E4)=0.2,P(E5)=0.6,P(E6)=0.3,P(E7)=0.06andP(E8)=0.3

Find each of the following probabilities:

a.P(Ac)b.P(Bc)c.P(Ac∩B)d.P(A∪B)e.P(A∩B)f.P(Ac∩Bc)

g. Are events A and B mutually exclusive? Why?

Two fair coins are tossed, and the following events are defined:

A: [Observe one head and one tail.]

B: [Observe at least one head.]

a. Define the possible sample points and assign probabilities to each.

b. Draw a Venn diagram for the experiment, showing the sample points and events A and B.

c. Find P(A), P(B) andP(A∩B).

d. Use the formula for conditional probability to find P (A/B)and P (B/A). Verify your answer by inspecting the Venn diagram and using the concept of reduced sample spaces.

An experiment results in one of the following sample points: E1,E2,E3 orE4 . Find PE4for each of the following cases.

  1. PE1=0.1,PE2=0.2,PE3=0.3
  2. PE1=PE2=PE3=PE4
  3. PE1=PE2=0.1andPE3=PE4
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