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On-the-job arrogance and task performance. Human Performance (Vol. 23, 2010) published the results of a study that found that arrogant workers are more likely to have poor performance ratings. Suppose that 15% of all full-time workers exhibit arrogant behaviors on the job and that 10% of all full-time workers will receive a poor performance rating. Also, assume that 5% of all full-time workers exhibit arrogant behaviors and receive a poor performance rating. Let A be the event that a full-time worker exhibits arrogant behavior. Let B be the event that a full-time worker will receive a poor performance rating.

a. Are the events A and B mutually exclusive? Explain.

b. Find P(B/A).

c. Are the events A and B independent? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

  1. No
  2. 0.34
  3. No

Step by step solution

01

Step-by-Step SolutionStep 1: Introduction

In a probability experiment, if an event A and B are two independent occurrences, the chance that both events occur at the same time is:

P (AB) = P (A) x P (B)

In the case of dependent events, the likelihood that both occurrences occur concurrently is:

P (B/A) =P (AB)P (A)

02

Determine whether or not occurrences A and B are mutually exclusive.

Here, we have

P (A) = 15%=15100=0.15

P (B) = 10%=10100=0.1

P (AB)= 5%=5100=0.05

Only one of the two occurrences may occur at the same time for the two events to be mutually exclusive, which indicates that:

P (AB) = 0

Therefore, the two events are not mutually exclusive.

03

Find the required probability

P (B/A) =P (AB)P (A)=0.050.15= 0.34

Hence, the required probability is0.34.

04

Determine the events A and B are independent or not

To be independent, the chance of one event occurring does not impact the probability of the other, which indicates that:

P (AB) = P (A)P (B)P (AB) = 0.150.1= 0.015

Therefore, the two events are not independent.

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