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A sample space contains six sample points and events A, B, and C as shown in the Venn diagram. The probabilities of the sample points are

P (1) = .20, P (2) = .05, P (3) = .30, P (4) = .10,P (5) = .10, P (6) = .25.

a. Which pairs of events, if any, are mutually exclusive? Why?

b. Which pairs of events, if any, are independent? Why?

c. FindP (A∪B) by adding the probability of the sample points and then using the additive rule. Verify that the answers agree. Repeat forP (A∪C)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

  1. P (A∩C)&P (B∩C)
  2. No pair is independent.
  3. Yes

Step by step solution

01

Step-by-Step SolutionStep 1: Introduction

The relationship between two or more occurrences that cannot occur simultaneously is referred to as mutually exclusive. If A and B cannot exist simultaneously, they are mutually exclusive. They suggests that A and B have no common outcomes, andP (A∩B) = 0

02

Determine the mutually exclusive pairs

Here, we have

P (A) = [1, 2, 3] = [.20 + .05 + .30] = .55P (B) = [3, 4] = [.30 + .10] = .40P (C) = [5, 6] = [.10 + .25] = .35P (A∩B​) = [3] = .30

For the two events to be mutually exclusive, only one of the two occurrences may occur at the same moment, indicating that:

P (A∩B) = 0

Here, the pairs are

P (A∩B),P (A∩C),P (B∩C)

Since,P (A∩B) = 0.30P (A∩C) = 0,P (B∩C) = 0

Therefore, the two pairs of events that are mutually exclusive are A and C & B and C.

03

Determine the independent pairs

To be independent, the likelihood of one event occurring does not affect the probability of the other, indicating that:

P (A∩B) = P (A) x P (B)

Here, the pairs are:

P (A∩B),P (A∩C),P (B∩C)

P (A∩B) = 0.55×0.40= 0.22

P (B∩C) = 0.40×0.35= 0.14

P (A∩C) = 0.55×0.35= 0.1925

Therefore,

P (A∩B) = 0.22≠0P (B∩C) = 0.14≠0P (A∩C) = 0.65≠0

Hence, Nopair is independent.

04

Find probability and then verify that the answers agree

We know that the addictive rule to find the probability is:

P (A∪B) = P (A) + P (B) - P(A∩B)

L.H.S

P (A∪B) = [1, 2, 3, 4]= [.20 + .05 + .30 + .10]= .65

R.H.S

P (A) + P (B)−P(A∩B)=.55 + .40−.30=.65

L.H.S = R.H.S

Same withP (A∪C)

L.H.S

P (A∪C) = [1, 2, 3, 5, 6]= [.20 + .05 + .30 + .10 + .25]= .90

R.H.S

P (A) + P (C)−P(A∩C)=.55 + .35−0=.90

L.H.S = R.H.S

Yes, the answer agrees in both cases.

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