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Question: Novelty of a vacation destination. Many tourists choose a vacation destination based on the newness or uniqueness (i.e., the novelty) of the itinerary. The relationship between novelty and vacationing golfers鈥 demographics was investigated in the Annals of Tourism Research (Vol. 29, 2002). Data were obtained from a mail survey of 393 golf vacationers to a large coastal resort in the south-eastern United States. Several measures of novelty level (on a numerical scale) were obtained for each vacationer, including 鈥渃hange from routine,鈥 鈥渢hrill,鈥 鈥渂oredom-alleviation,鈥 and 鈥渟urprise.鈥 The researcher employed four independent variables in a regression model to predict each of the novelty measures. The independent variables were x1 = number of rounds of golf per year, x2 = total number of golf vacations taken, x3 = number of years played golf, and x4 = average golf score.

  1. Give the hypothesized equation of a first-order model for y = change from routine.
  1. A test of H0: 尾3 = 0 versus Ha: 尾3< 0 yielded a p-value of .005. Interpret this result if 伪 = .01.
  1. The estimate of 尾3 was found to be negative. Based on this result (and the result of part b), the researcher concluded that 鈥渢hose who have played golf for more years are less apt to seek change from their normal routine in their golf vacations.鈥 Do you agree with this statement? Explain.
  1. The regression results for three dependent novelty measures, based on data collected for n = 393 golf vacationers, are summarized in the table below. Give the null hypothesis for testing the overall adequacy of the first-order regression model.
  1. Give the rejection region for the test, part d, for 伪 = .01.
  1. Use the test statistics reported in the table and the rejection region from part e to conduct the test for each of the dependent measures of novelty.
  1. Verify that the p-values reported in the table support your conclusions in part f.
  1. Interpret the values of R2 reported in the table.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(A) First-order model equation for y = change of routine can be written as y=0+1x1+2x2+3x3+4x4+.

(B) p-values for testingH0:3=0, and Ha:3<0 is 0.005 then for 伪 = 0.01, we reject the H0 since p-value < 伪.

(C) 3 value is negative indicating inverse relationship between dependent and independent variable and the hypothesis testing done in part b indicates is statistically significant. Therefore, the researcher鈥檚 conclusion that 鈥渢hose who have played golf for more years are less apt to seek change from their normal routine in their golf vacations鈥 is true.

(D) The null hypothesis for testing the overall adequacy of the first-order regression model can be written as sH0:1=2=3=4=0.

(E) The rejection region for the test for overall adequacy is H0isrejectedifFstatistic>F(,n-1,n-k)

(F) For each one of the dependent measures of novelty, the F-test concluded that there is not sufficient evidence to reject H0.

(G) For thrill the p-value is less than 0.001, for change from routine the p-value is 0.018 and for surprise, p-value is 0.011. Each of these values are less than 伪 (伪 = 0.05) meaning that the H0 will be rejected. This was also the conclusion drawn in part f.

(H) R2 values for thrill, change in routine and surprise are 0.055, 0.030, and 0.23 respectively. These values are very low. A model is said to be a good fit for the data if the R2value is higher. Such low value of 5, 3, and 2% indicate that the model fitted is not the ideal and good fit for the data.

Step by step solution

01

Step-by-Step SolutionStep 1: First order model equation

First-order model equation for y = change of routine can be written asy=0+1x1+2x2+3x3+4x4+

02

Hypothesis testing

p-values for testing,and is 0.005 then for 伪 = 0.01, we reject the H0 since p-value < 伪.

03

Step 3: value interpretation

3value is negative indicating inverse relationship between dependent and independent variable and the hypothesis testing done in part b indicates is statistically significant. Therefore, the researcher鈥檚 conclusion that 鈥渢hose who have played golf for more years are less apt to seek change from their normal routine in their golf vacations鈥 is true.

04

Null hypothesis

The null hypothesis for testing the overall adequacy of the first-order regression model can be written asH0:1=2=3=4=0 .

05

Rejection region

The rejection region for the test for overall adequacy isH0isrejectedifFstatistic>F(,n-1,n-k)

06

Hypothesis testing 

07

Step 7: Pvalues interpretation

For thrill the p-value is less than 0.001, for change from routine the p-value is 0.018 and for surprise, p-value is 0.011. Each of these values are less than 伪 (伪 = 0.05) meaning that the H0 will be rejected.

This was also the conclusion drawn in part f.

08

R2 interpretation

R2 values for thrill, change in routine and surprise are 0.055, 0.030, and 0.23 respectively. These values are very low. A model is said to be a good fit for the data if the R2value is higher. Such low value of 5, 3, and 2% indicate that the model fitted is not the ideal and good fit for the data.

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