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Working on summer vacation. According to a Harris Interactive (July 2013) poll of U.S. adults, about 60% work during their summer vacation. (See Exercise 3.13, p. 169.) Assume that the true proportion of all U.S. adults who work during summer vacation is p = .6. Now consider a random sample of 500 U.S. adults.

a. What is the probability that between 55% and 65% of the sampled adults work during summer vacation?

b. What is the probability that over 75% of the sampled adults work during summer vacation?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The probability that between 55% and 65% of sampled adults work during summer vacation is 0.9774

b. The probability that over 75% of the sampled adults work during summer vacation is 0.00

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The proportion of all U.S. adults who work during summer vacation is p=0.6.

A random sample of size n=500U.S. adults is selected.

Let p^represents the sample proportion of U.S. adults who work during summer vacation.

02

Finding the mean and standard deviation of the sample proportion

The mean of the sampling distribution of p^is:

Ep^=p=0.6.

Ep^=pSinceEp^=p .

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^is obtained as:

p^=p1-pn=0.60.4500=0.00048=0.0219.

Therefore, p^=0.0219.

03

Computing the required probability

a.

The probability that between 55% and 65% of sampled adults work during summer vacation is obtained as:

P0.55<p^<0.65=P0.55-pp^<p^-pp^<0.65-pp^=P0.55-0.60.0219<Z<0.65-0.60.0219=P-0.050.0219<Z<0.050.0219=P-2.28<Z<2.28=PZ<2.28-PZ<-2.28=0.9887-0.0113=0.9774.

The z-table can be used to find the required probability. The value at the intersection of 1.00 and 0.05 indicates the probability of a z-score less than 1.05, while the value at the intersection of -1.00 and 0.05 is the probability of a z-score less than -1.05.

Therefore, the required probability is 0.7062.

04

Computing the probability that sample proportion is over 0.75

b.

The probability that over 75% of the sampled adults work during summer vacation is obtained as:

Pp^>0.75=Pp^-pp^>0.75-pp^=PZ>0.75-0.600.0219=PZ>0.150.0219=PZ>6.840.00.

Thus the required probability is 0.00

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12345678910
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