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Let \(X\) have a standard gamma distribution with \(\alpha=7\). Evaluate the following: a. \(P(X \leq 5)\) b. \(P(X<5)\) c. \(P(X>8)\) d. \(P(3 \leq X \leq 8)\) e. \(P(36)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.0831; b. 0.0831; c. 0.2610; d. 0.7305; e. 0.7305; f. 0.4927.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Gamma Distribution

The gamma distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions. A standard gamma distribution with parameter \( \alpha \) means its probability density function (PDF) involves the gamma function \( \Gamma(\alpha) \). For \( X \) following a standard gamma distribution with \( \alpha = 7 \), we analyze the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for probabilities.
02

Evaluating \( P(X \leq 5) \)

Use the gamma cumulative distribution function (CDF) table or a calculator to find \( P(X \leq 5) \). Look up the value using \( \alpha = 7 \) and \( x = 5 \). This gives \( P(X \leq 5) \approx 0.0831 \).
03

Evaluating \( P(X < 5) \)

Since \( X \) is continuous, \( P(X \leq 5) = P(X < 5) \). Therefore, \( P(X < 5) \approx 0.0831 \).
04

Evaluating \( P(X > 8) \)

Use the complement rule, \( P(X > 8) = 1 - P(X \leq 8) \). Find \( P(X \leq 8) \) using the CDF for \( \alpha = 7 \) and \( x = 8 \), which gives \( P(X > 8) \approx 1 - 0.7390 = 0.2610 \).
05

Evaluating \( P(3 \leq X \leq 8) \)

Calculate \( P(3 \leq X \leq 8) = P(X \leq 8) - P(X < 3) \). Using the CDF, \( P(X \leq 3) \approx 0.0085 \), so \( P(3 \leq X \leq 8) \approx 0.7390 - 0.0085 = 0.7305 \).
06

Evaluating \( P(3 < X < 8) \)

For continuous distributions, \( P(3 \leq X \leq 8) = P(3 < X < 8) \). Thus, \( P(3 < X < 8) \approx 0.7305 \).
07

Evaluating \( P(X < 4 \text{ or } X > 6) \)

Use the union rule for probabilities. \( P(X < 4 \text{ or } X > 6) = P(X < 4) + P(X > 6) - P(X < 4 \cap X > 6) \). Since \( X < 4 \) and \( X > 6 \) are mutually exclusive, this simplifies to \( P(X < 4) + P(X > 6) \). \( P(X < 4) \approx 0.0200 \) and \( P(X > 6) \approx 1 - 0.5273 = 0.4727 \). Thus, \( P(X < 4 \text{ or } X > 6) \approx 0.0200 + 0.4727 = 0.4927 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Continuous Probability Distributions
A continuous probability distribution is a statistical distribution in which the random variable can take on any value within a certain range. Unlike discrete probability distributions, which involve distinct, separate values, continuous ones assume all possible values within an interval.

In continuous distributions, the probability that a random variable takes on a specific value is always zero. Instead, probabilities are determined over intervals. This is described using a probability density function (PDF). A well-known example of a continuous probability distribution is the normal distribution. Another key family of distributions, relevant to our focus, includes the Gamma distribution.

Continuous distributions are crucial in probability and statistics for modeling real-world phenomena that are not restricted to fixed values. They help in understanding a variety of processes and random phenomena, like measuring time, distances, or other non-discrete outcomes.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is a fundamental concept in probability that describes the probability of a random variable being less than or equal to a particular value. For continuous random variables, the CDF is the integral of the probability density function.
  • The CDF, denoted as \( F(x) \), gives the accumulated probability from the left tail of the distribution up to a point \( x \).
  • It provides a straightforward way to calculate probabilities over intervals by simple subtraction, i.e., \( P(a \leq X \leq b) = F(b) - F(a) \).
In the context of a Gamma distribution, the CDF helps determine the probabilities like \( P(X \leq 5) \) or \( P(3 \leq X \leq 8) \). These calculations often require numerical methods or software, as they can be complex to solve analytically for certain distributions.
Gamma Function
The Gamma function is a mathematical function that generalizes the factorial function to non-integer values. It plays a pivotal role in the definition of the Gamma distribution, which is used to model waiting times in queuing models and other processes.
  • The Gamma function, represented by \( \Gamma(n) \), is defined as \( (n-1)! \) for natural numbers \( n \), and extends to complex and real numbers beyond integers.
  • In continuous probability settings, like the Gamma distribution, \( X \sim \text{Gamma}(\alpha, \beta) \), the Gamma function appears in the denominator of the PDF, helping to normalize the distribution.
Understanding the Gamma function is key to using the Gamma distribution correctly, especially in statistical contexts involving cumulative probabilities or moments analysis.
Complement Rule
The complement rule is an important principle in probability that simplifies finding the probability of the complement of an event. For any event \( A \), the probability of \( A \) not occurring is given by \( 1 - P(A) \).This rule is particularly useful in continuous distributions, where calculating \( P(X > a) \) is more conveniently approached by computing \( 1 - P(X \leq a) \), using the CDF.
  • For instance, in the example with a Gamma distribution, to find \( P(X > 8) \), we compute \( 1 - F(8) \).
  • It helps streamline calculations, especially when dealing with complex integrations or extensive data tables for CDF values.
The complement rule is a crucial tool for efficiently evaluating probabilities in both simple and more complex statistical problems.

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