/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 38 There are two machines available... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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There are two machines available for cutting corks intended for use in wine bottles. The first produces corks with diameters that are normally distributed with mean \(3 \mathrm{~cm}\) and standard deviation \(.1 \mathrm{~cm}\). The second machine produces corks with diameters that have a normal distribution with mean \(3.04 \mathrm{~cm}\) and standard deviation \(.02 \mathrm{~cm}\). Acceptable corks have diameters between \(2.9 \mathrm{~cm}\) and \(3.1 \mathrm{~cm}\). Which machine is more likely to produce an acceptable cork?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Machine 2 is more likely to produce an acceptable cork, with a probability of 0.9987.

Step by step solution

01

Define Accepted Cork Range

The acceptable diameters for corks are between 2.9 cm and 3.1 cm as given in the problem. We want to calculate the probability of each machine producing corks within this range.
02

Determine the Probability for Machine 1

Machine 1's cork diameters are normally distributed with a mean of 3 cm and a standard deviation of 0.1 cm. We need to find the probability of a cork being between 2.9 cm and 3.1 cm.This can be calculated as:\[ P(2.9 \leq X \leq 3.1) = P\left(\frac{2.9-3}{0.1} \leq Z \leq \frac{3.1-3}{0.1}\right) \]This simplifies to:\[ P(-1 \leq Z \leq 1)\]Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator, this probability is about 0.6827.
03

Determine the Probability for Machine 2

Machine 2's cork diameters are normally distributed with a mean of 3.04 cm and a standard deviation of 0.02 cm. We need to find the probability of a cork being between 2.9 cm and 3.1 cm.Calculate this as:\[ P(2.9 \leq X \leq 3.1) = P\left(\frac{2.9-3.04}{0.02} \leq Z \leq \frac{3.1-3.04}{0.02}\right) \]This simplifies to:\[ P(-7 \leq Z \leq 3)\]Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator, this probability is about 0.9987.
04

Compare Probabilities

Now that we have the probabilities for both machines within the acceptable range: 0.6827 for Machine 1 and 0.9987 for Machine 2. Compare these probabilities to determine which machine is more likely to produce an acceptable cork.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. For example, if we have two sets of numbers and one has a standard deviation of 0.1 and the other 0.02, the latter has less variation.
Here's why this matters. In the cork machine example, Machine 1 has a standard deviation of 0.1 cm, which means the diameters of the corks it produces are more spread out from the average diameter of 3 cm.
Machine 2, however, has a smaller standard deviation of 0.02 cm. This indicates that its produced corks have a tighter clustering around its average diameter of 3.04 cm.
  • A larger standard deviation signals more variability in outcomes. Corks vary more in size.
  • A smaller standard deviation means results are more consistent. Corks are closer in size to the mean.
Understanding standard deviation in the context of quality control can help identify which production method consistently stays closer to the desired dimensions.
Mean Calculation
Calculating the mean or average is one of the most fundamental operations in statistics. It helps in understanding the central tendency of data. In the context of the cork-cutting machines, the mean diameter tells us the average size of the corks each machine produces.
For Machine 1, the mean is 3 cm, which is the central point of its produced cork diameters. This value indicates the average cork diameter you can expect from this machine.
Machine 2 has a mean of 3.04 cm, slightly larger than Machine 1.
  • The mean is determined by summing all data points and dividing by the number of data points.
  • An average closer to the desired range increases the likelihood of the outputs meeting specifications.
By comparing means, you can determine which machine generally gives corks closer to the desired dimension of 3 cm. Keep in mind that deviations from the mean are crucial, as they're affected by the standard deviation.
Probability
Probability is a concept used to quantify the certainty or uncertainty of an event. In our cork example, we aim to find out which machine is more likely to produce corks with a diameter between 2.9 cm and 3.1 cm.
  • Machine 1's probability calculation resulted in roughly 0.6827, meaning around 68% of its corks fall within this range.
  • Machine 2 had a higher probability of 0.9987, or about 99.87%, indicating a higher likelihood of producing acceptable corks.
To find these probabilities, we use the properties of the normal distribution, which allows us to transform our cork diameters into standard normal deviations, then consult a standard normal distribution table.
Employing probability, we assess which outcomes are more likely and by how much, thereby providing a quantitative basis for choosing a machine.
Statistical Comparison
Statistical comparison is the process of comparing the outcomes or parameters of multiple datasets or groups. In the case of our cork-producing machines, we're comparing their ability to meet a specific range.
The probability calculations showed that Machine 2 is exponentially better at producing acceptable corks, with a probability of 0.9987 compared to Machine 1's 0.6827.
  • Statistical comparison allows us to understand different groups relative to each other.
  • It's an indispensable tool for decision-making in quality control and production efficiency.
Through these comparisons, you can make informed decisions based on the reliability of each machine. This way, statistical insights help improve processes, predict outcomes, and maximize success in producing desired results.

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