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Many manufacturers have quality control programs that include inspection of incoming materials for defects. Suppose a computer manufacturer receives computer boards in lots of five. Two boards are selected from each lot for inspection. We can represent possible outcomes of the selection process by pairs. For example, the pair \((1,2)\) represents the selection of boards 1 and 2 for inspection. a. List the ten different possible outcomes. b. Suppose that boards 1 and 2 are the only defective boards in a lot of five. Two boards are to be chosen at random. Define \(X\) to be the number of defective boards observed among those inspected. Find the probability distribution of \(X\). c. Let \(F(x)\) denote the cdf of \(X\). First determine \(F(0)=\) \(P(X \leq 0), F(1)\), and \(F(2)\); then obtain \(F(x)\) for all other \(x\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The outcomes are (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (3,4), (3,5), (4,5). The probability distribution is P(X=0)=0.3, P(X=1)=0.6, P(X=2)=0.1. The CDF is F(x) = 0 for x<0, 0.3 for 0≤x<1, 0.9 for 1≤x<2, and 1 for x≥2.

Step by step solution

01

Determine possible pairs

In this step, we're tasked with listing all distinct pairs of boards that can be selected from a lot of five. Since order doesn't matter, we use combinations. The formula for combinations is \( \binom{n}{k} \) where \( n \) is the total number of items to choose from and \( k \) is the number of items to choose. Here, \( n = 5 \) and \( k = 2 \). Calculate: \( \binom{5}{2} = \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10 \). Thus, there are 10 combinations.
02

List all possible outcomes

List each pair of boards that can be selected: \( (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (2,3) \), \( (2,4), (2,5), (3,4), (3,5), (4,5) \). These are the possible outcomes of choosing two boards out of five.
03

Define random variable and calculate probabilities

Define \( X \) as the number of defective boards found. The defective boards are boards 1 and 2. For each pair in Step 2, count how many defective boards it contains: \((1,2) = 2\), \((1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5) = 1\), \((3,4), (3,5), (4,5) = 0\). Now, calculate probabilities: \( P(X=0) = \frac{3}{10} \), \( P(X=1) = \frac{6}{10} \), \( P(X=2) = \frac{1}{10} \).
04

Calculate cumulative distribution function (CDF)

Determine \( F(0) = P(X \leq 0) = P(X=0) = \frac{3}{10} \). Next, \( F(1) = P(X \leq 1) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) = \frac{3}{10} + \frac{6}{10} = \frac{9}{10} \). Finally, \( F(2) = P(X \leq 2) = 1 \). The CDF is: \( F(x) = 0 \) for \( x < 0 \), \( F(x) = \frac{3}{10} \) for \( 0 \le x < 1 \), \( F(x) = \frac{9}{10} \) for \( 1 \le x < 2 \), \( F(x) = 1 \) for \( x \ge 2 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Quality Control
Quality control is a crucial process used by manufacturers to ensure the products meet certain standards or specifications. This often involves the inspection and testing of materials, components, and products to identify defects.
For example, in the context of a computer manufacturer, a lot of computer boards might be inspected to detect any defective pieces. By checking a subset of the total boards—through random sampling or specified criteria—manufacturers can infer the overall quality of the whole batch.
In our given problem, the manufacturer does quality control by inspecting `two` boards out of a lot of `five`. Identifying defects early can save costs and maintain product standards, which is vital to customer satisfaction and brand reputation.
This method helps determine whether further action is needed: whether all boards should be rejected or passed on for further processing. Having a robust quality control process ensures that only defect-free products make it to the customer, safeguarding the brand's reputation.
Combinations
The concept of combinations is essential when it comes to selecting items from a group where the order does not matter. Combinations can be calculated using the formula \( \binom{n}{k} \), where \( n \) is the total number of items, and \( k \) is the number of items to select.
In the problem scenario, we are asked to choose 2 boards out of 5 for quality inspection. Using the combinations formula, \( \binom{5}{2} \), we find there are 10 possible ways to pick any two boards from the lot of five. This calculation is done as follows:
  • \( n = 5 \), \( k = 2 \)
  • \( \binom{5}{2} = \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10 \)

Each combination represents one unique selection outcome, and understanding how to calculate these outcomes is vital in determining probabilities in quality control scenarios like this one.
Random Variable
A random variable is a numerical outcome of a random process. It assigns a number to each possible outcome in a sample space. In our exercise, the random variable \( X \) represents the number of defective boards found in a sample of two boards.
Random variables can be discrete or continuous. Here, \( X \) is a discrete random variable because it can take on a countable number of values (0, 1, or 2, in this case).
Given that boards 1 and 2 are the defective ones, each pair chosen from our list could result in one of the following for \( X \):
  • \( X = 0 \): No defective boards (e.g., pairs like (3,4))
  • \( X = 1 \): One defective board (e.g., pairs like (1,3))
  • \( X = 2 \): Both boards are defective (e.g., pair (1,2))

Calculating these probabilities gives insight into the likelihood of each defect scenario occurring, which informs the decision-making process related to quality control.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable \( X \) provides the probability that \( X \) will take a value less than or equal to \( x \). It's a way of summarizing the probability distribution of a random variable.
For our exercise, the CDF \( F(x) \) of \( X \) is determined by calculating cumulative probabilities:
  • \( F(0) = P(X \leq 0) = P(X = 0) = \frac{3}{10} \)
  • \( F(1) = P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = \frac{3}{10} + \frac{6}{10} = \frac{9}{10} \)
  • \( F(2) = P(X \leq 2) = 1 \), as \( X \) can take on values up to 2

The CDF gives us a complete picture of the probability of observing different numbers of defects, helping manufacturers gauge the overall quality from the inspection and decide on further actions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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