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Suppose that \(55 \%\) of all adults regularly consume coffee, \(45 \%\) regularly consume carbonated soda, and \(70 \%\) regularly consume at least one of these two products. a. What is the probability that a randomly selected adult regularly consumes both coffee and soda? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected adult doesn't regularly consume at least one of these two products?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 0.30 b) 0.30

Step by step solution

01

Define the Probabilities

Let \(P(C)\) be the probability of an adult who regularly consumes coffee. Given, \(P(C) = 0.55\). Let \(P(S)\) be the probability of an adult who regularly consumes soda. Given, \(P(S) = 0.45\). Let \(P(C \cup S)\) be the probability of an adult who regularly consumes at least one of these two products. Given, \(P(C \cup S) = 0.70\).
02

Use Inclusion-Exclusion Principle

Using the inclusion-exclusion principle, calculate the probability of consuming both coffee and soda: \(P(C \cap S) = P(C) + P(S) - P(C \cup S)\). Substitute the given values: \(P(C \cap S) = 0.55 + 0.45 - 0.70\).
03

Calculate Probability of Consuming Both

Calculate: \( P(C \cap S) = 0.55 + 0.45 - 0.70 = 0.30\). Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected adult regularly consumes both coffee and soda is \(0.30\).
04

Find Probability of Not Consuming Either Product

The probability of consuming neither product is the complement of consuming at least one of the products: \(1 - P(C \cup S)\). Substitute the given value: \(1 - 0.70\).
05

Calculate Probability of Not Consuming

Calculate: \(1 - 0.70 = 0.30\). Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected adult does not regularly consume at least one of these two products is \(0.30\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Inclusion-Exclusion Principle
The Inclusion-Exclusion Principle in probability helps us find the probability of the union of two or more sets.
It's useful when calculating probabilities of overlapping events, ensuring we don't double-count shared elements.
In the context of our exercise, we want to find the probability that a randomly chosen adult regularly consumes both coffee and soda. The formula for the Inclusion-Exclusion Principle when dealing with two sets is:
  • \[ P(C \cap S) = P(C) + P(S) - P(C \cup S) \]
This equation shows that you add the probabilities of each individual event and subtract the probability of both events together.
This is because the individuals who consume both coffee and soda have been counted twice, once in the coffee group and once in the soda group. By applying the given probabilities, the final result states that the overlap, or the probability of an adult consuming both products, is 0.30.
This means 30% of adults consume both products regularly.
Complement Rule
The Complement Rule in probability refers to finding the probability of the complement of an event.
The complement of an event is simply the probability that the event does not occur. In the exercise, we calculated the probability that a randomly selected adult does not regularly consume coffee or soda. The formula for the Complement Rule is:
  • \[ P(A') = 1 - P(A) \]
Here, \( P(A) \) is the probability of the event occurring, and \( P(A') \) is its complement.In our case, \( P(C \cup S) = 0.70 \) is the probability that an adult consumes at least one of the products.
Therefore, the complement, \( P(C \cup S)' \), is the probability they consume neither, which is:\[ 1 - P(C \cup S) = 1 - 0.70 = 0.30 \]This tells us that 30% of adults do not consume either coffee or soda regularly.
Set Operations
In probability theory, set operations are fundamental when working with events as sets.
Understanding how to apply these operations properly is crucial for solving problems involving probabilities of combined events. There are several key set operations that are commonly used:
  • Union (\( \cup \)): Represents the event that occurs if at least one of the events happens. For instance, the event of an adult consuming either coffee or soda corresponds to the union \( C \cup S \).
  • Intersection (\( \cap \)): This operation finds the event where both events occur simultaneously. In our exercise, this is the event where an adult consumes both coffee and soda \( C \cap S \).
  • Complement ('): This represents the event that does not occur, where we find, for example, those not consuming coffee or soda \( (C \cup S)' \).
In the exercise, we effectively used these operations to determine the probabilities associated with coffee and soda consumption.
These operations help in visualizing and structuring the scenario like a Venn diagram, leading to precise calculations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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