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Four universities-1,2, 3, and 4 -are participating in a holiday basketball tournament. In the first round, 1 will play 2 and 3 will play 4 . Then the two winners will play for the championship, and the two losers will also play. One possible outcome can be denoted by 1324 ( 1 beats 2 and 3 beats 4 in first- round games, and then 1 beats 3 and 2 beats 4 ). a. List all outcomes in \(\mathcal{S}\). b. Let \(A\) denote the event that 1 wins the tournament. List outcomes in \(A\). c. Let \(B\) denote the event that 2 gets into the championship game. List outcomes in \(B\). d. What are the outcomes in \(A \cup B\) and in \(A \cap B\) ? What are the outcomes in \(A^{\prime}\) ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Outcomes in \(\mathcal{S}\) are: 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, 2341, 2413, 2431. In \(A\): 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432; in \(B\): 2314, 2341. \(A \cup B\): 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, 2341; \(A \cap B\): \(\emptyset\); \(A'\): 2314, 2341, 2413, 2431.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Scenario

Each first-round game will be played between teams 1 and 2, and teams 3 and 4. The winners from each game will face off in the championship match, while the losers will play a consolation game. Outcomes are denoted by four-digit numbers indicating the results of these games.
02

First Outcome Listing

Enumerate the possible results from the first round: either 1 beats 2 or 2 beats 1, and 3 beats 4 or 4 beats 3. This step will determine who faces who in the second round.
03

Second Outcome Listing

For each first-round result, consider the outcomes for the finals and consolation matches: The winners can be 1, 2, 3, or 4 for each match between winners/losers from the first round.
04

Listing All Possible Outcomes

Identify and list all possible outcomes in the complete tournament. Possible outcomes are: 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, 2341, 2413, 2431.
05

Identifying Outcomes in Event A

Event A denotes outcomes where team 1 wins the tournament. The outcomes for this event are: 1324, 1342, 1423, and 1432.
06

Identifying Outcomes in Event B

Event B includes outcomes where team 2 reaches the championship game. The outcomes for this event are: 2314 and 2341.
07

Computing Outcomes for A U B

Find the union of events A and B, written as \(A \cup B\). This includes any outcome listed in either or both event A and event B: 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, 2341.
08

Computing Outcomes for A ∩ B

Find the intersection of events A and B, written as \(A \cap B\). There is no common outcome where team 1 wins the tournament and team 2 reaches the championship: The intersection is empty, \(\emptyset\).
09

Computing Outcomes for A′

Identify outcomes in \(A'\), the complement of event A. These are outcomes where team 1 does not win the tournament: 2314, 2341, 2413, 2431.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Event Union
The concept of the event union, denoted as \(A \cup B\), refers to the set of all outcomes that belong to either of two events, or both. In our basketball tournament scenario, when we talk about \(A \cup B\), we are looking for all the outcomes where either team 1 wins the tournament (event A) or team 2 reaches the championship game (event B), or both happen. This means we combine all outcomes from both events without duplicating common outcomes. Here, \(A \cup B\) includes the sequences 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, and 2341. Recognizing the union of events helps to broaden the range of possibilities, understanding that if either part of the event happens, it contributes to the final outcome.
Event Intersection
Event intersection, denoted as \(A \cap B\), involves identifying outcomes that satisfy all the specified events simultaneously. In simpler terms, it focuses on those scenarios where both defined conditions are true. In our exercise, \(A\) is defined as team 1 winning the tournament, and \(B\) as team 2 reaching the championship game. These are mutually exclusive events because, in our listings, no outcome exists where both these conditions can be true simultaneously. Hence, the intersection \(A \cap B\) is \(\emptyset\), which means it contains no results. Understanding this concept helps in identifying situations where overlapping solutions are not possible.
Complement of an Event
The complement of an event in probability (denoted as \(A^{\prime}\) for event A) includes all outcomes that are not part of the event in question. Essentially, it comprises every eventuality that does not result in a specified outcome. Here in our tournament scenario, event \(A\) is that team 1 wins the tournament. The complement, therefore, \(A^{\prime}\), is the set of outcomes where team 1 does not win the tournament, which are 2314, 2341, 2413, and 2431. Knowing how to identify complements is crucial because it allows us to consider all alternative scenarios that diverge from the event of interest.
Outcome Listing
Outcome listing is a technique used to detail all possible scenarios in a given probabilistic event. In this tournament example, outcome listing involves considering every potential sequence of matches, ensuring each possibility is covered. We start with the first round, listing which team can win against whom (either 1 beats 2 or 2 beats 1, and 3 beats 4 or 4 beats 3). For each initial result, determine the remaining matches' sequences. The outcome listing here provides a comprehensive collection of scenarios: 1324, 1342, 1423, 1432, 2314, 2341, 2413, and 2431. Such systematic listing is fundamental in understanding all possible events, ensuring every eventuality is accounted for in analyses.

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