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91Ó°ÊÓ

A certain city divides naturally into ten district neighborhoods. How might a real estate appraiser select a sample of single-family homes that could be used as a basis for developing an equation to predict appraised value from characteristics such as age, size, number of bathrooms, distance to the nearest school, and so on? Is the study enumerative or analytic?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use stratified random sampling for diversity; the study is analytic.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Population and Sampling Goal

The city is divided into ten distinct neighborhoods, which form the population of interest for the sampling. The goal is to select a sample of single-family homes from these neighborhoods to develop a predictive model for appraising property values based on various characteristics.
02

Choosing a Sampling Method

A suitable sampling method might be stratified random sampling. Since the city naturally divides into ten neighborhoods, each neighborhood can serve as a stratum. Homes would be sampled randomly from each neighborhood, ensuring that the sample represents the diversity present across all neighborhoods in the city.
03

Implementing the Sampling Method

For stratified sampling, determine the number of homes to sample from each neighborhood. This can be proportional to the number of homes in each neighborhood. Randomly select homes within each neighborhood to ensure that the selection process does not introduce any bias.
04

Understanding Study Type: Enumerative vs Analytic

An enumerative study focuses on describing a specific population at a given time, while an analytic study aims to develop a model or theory to apply beyond the sample. In this task, the study is analytic because it attempts to develop a predictive equation that can be used for future appraisals beyond the current sample of homes.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Stratified Sampling
Stratified sampling is a technique used to improve the representation of a sample by dividing a population into distinct subgroups, or strata, and then randomly sampling from each stratum. In the context of the exercise, the city naturally divides into ten neighborhoods, each serving as a stratum. By using stratified sampling, we ensure that each neighborhood contributes to the sample, representing the diversity within the city. This method helps to increase the accuracy of the study by minimizing the sampling bias. Stratified sampling is particularly effective when there are known differences between the subgroups in a population that need to be captured in the analysis. Breaking down into steps, it starts by identifying the distinct subgroups within the population. In our case, these are the neighborhoods. Next, you decide how many homes to sample from each neighborhood, which often reflects the size of each stratum. Homes are then selected within each neighborhood randomly, which furthers the objectivity of the sample.
Predictive Modeling
Predictive modeling involves using statistical techniques to create a model that can predict future outcomes based on current or historical data. In the context of the real estate appraiser exercise, the aim is to develop a predictive equation that estimates appraised values of homes using characteristics such as age, size, number of bathrooms, and proximity to schools.
  • The first step in predictive modeling is to gather relevant data through a well-designed sampling method, such as stratified sampling.
  • Next, identify the key features or variables that influence the outcome of interest, which in this case is the appraised home value.
  • Data analysis and statistical techniques such as regression analysis can be employed to understand the relationships between these variables and to develop a predictive equation.
The goal of predictive modeling here is to generalize the results beyond the sample, providing a reliable tool for appraising future home values in any of the city's neighborhoods.
Enumerative vs Analytic Studies
To understand the difference between enumerative and analytic studies, it's important to consider the scope and purpose of the study. An enumerative study is concerned with making inferences about a specific set population at a specific time. It seeks to provide descriptive statistics and typically does not attempt to generalize beyond the sample.
In contrast, an analytic study aims to develop models or theories that can apply beyond the immediate population. It is intended to have predictive power and often uses the sample as a basis for inferences about broader contexts.
Returning to our exercise, the study in question is analytic. The primary goal is not merely to describe the current real estate conditions in the ten neighborhoods but to create a predictive model for future appraisals. By employing analytic study methods, the findings have the potential to help predict appraised values of homes not yet in the sample, thus extending the utility of the study outside its original scope.

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