/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 13 You have two lightbulbs for a pa... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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You have two lightbulbs for a particular lamp. Let \(X=\) the lifetime of the first bulb and \(Y=\) the lifetime of the second bulb (both in 1000 s of hours). Suppose that \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent and that each has an exponential distribution with parameter \(\lambda=1\). a. What is the joint pdf of \(X\) and \(Y\) ? b. What is the probability that each bulb lasts at most 1000 hours (i.e., \(X \leq 1\) and \(Y \leq 1\) )? c. What is the probability that the total lifetime of the two bulbs is at most 2 ? [Hint: Draw a picture of the region \(A=\\{(x, y): x \geq 0, y \geq 0, x+y \leq 2\\}\) before integrating.] d. What is the probability that the total lifetime is between 1 and 2 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a: \(e^{-(x+y)}\); b: \(1 - \frac{2}{e} + \frac{1}{e^2}\); c: \(1 - 2 e^{-2}\); d: \(2 e^{-1} - 2 e^{-2}\).

Step by step solution

01

Find the Individual PDFs

The lifetime of each bulb, denoted by \(X\) and \(Y\), is independently and exponentially distributed with parameter \(\lambda = 1\). The PDF of an exponential distribution is given by \(f_X(x) = \lambda e^{-\lambda x}\) for \(x \geq 0\). Since \(\lambda = 1\), we can write \(f_X(x) = e^{-x}\), and similarly, \(f_Y(y) = e^{-y}\).
02

Determine the Joint PDF

Since \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, their joint PDF is the product of their individual PDFs. Thus, the joint PDF is \(f_{X,Y}(x,y) = e^{-x} \times e^{-y} = e^{-(x+y)}\) for \(x \geq 0\) and \(y \geq 0\).
03

Calculate Probability Each Lasts at Most 1000 Hours

The probability that each bulb lasts at most 1000 hours is given by \(P(X \leq 1, Y \leq 1)\). Integrate the joint PDF: \(\int_{0}^{1}\int_{0}^{1} e^{-(x+y)}\, dy\, dx\). Evaluate the integral step by step.First solve the inner integral:\[\int_{0}^{1} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy = \left. -e^{-(x+y)} \right|_{0}^{1} = -e^{-(x+1)} + e^{-x}.\]Next integrate the outer integral:\[\int_{0}^{1} \left(-e^{-(x+1)} + e^{-x}\right) \, dx = \left(-e^{-(x+1)} + e^{-x}\right) \Big|_{0}^{1} = \frac{1}{e} - \left(e^{-1} - e^{-2}\right) =\frac{1}{e} - e^{-1} + e^{-2} = 1 - \frac{2}{e} + \frac{1}{e^2}.\]
04

Probability of Total Lifetime at Most 2

The probability that the total lifetime of the bulbs is at most 2 is \(P(X+Y \leq 2)\). We need to evaluate the integral over the region where \(x+y \leq 2\), \(x \geq 0\), and \(y \geq 0\). Draw the triangular region and compute:\[\int_{0}^{2} \int_{0}^{2-x} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy \, dx.\]First solve the inner integral:\[\int_{0}^{2-x} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy = \left. -e^{-(x+y)} \right|_{0}^{2-x} = -e^{-2} + e^{-x}.\]Then, integrate the outer integral:\[\int_{0}^{2} \left(-e^{-2} + e^{-x}\right) \, dx = -2e^{-2} +\left[1 - e^{-2}\right] = 1 - 2 e^{-2}.\]
05

Probability of Total Lifetime between 1 and 2

Here, compute \(P(1 \leq X+Y \leq 2)\) by finding the probability \(X+Y \leq 2\) and subtracting from it the probability \(X+Y \leq 1\).We already know \(P(X+Y \leq 2) = 1 - 2 e^{-2}\).Now find \(P(X+Y \leq 1)\):\[\int_{0}^{1} \int_{0}^{1-x} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy \, dx.\]Solve the inner integral:\[\int_{0}^{1-x} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy = \left. -e^{-(x+y)} \right|_{0}^{1-x} = -e^{-1} + e^{-x}.\]Then the outer integral:\[\int_{0}^{1} \left(-e^{-1} + e^{-x}\right) \, dx = -e^{-1} + (1 - e^{-1}) = 1 - 2e^{-1}.\]Hence, \(P(1 \leq X+Y \leq 2) = (1 - 2 e^{-2}) - (1 - 2 e^{-1}) = 2 e^{-1} - 2 e^{-2}.\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Joint Probability Density Function
When dealing with multiple random variables, we often need to understand their behavior collectively. Here, the concept of a joint probability density function (PDF) comes into play. The joint PDF describes the likelihood of two or more random variables occurring simultaneously.
Given that the lifetime of two bulbs, represented by random variables \(X\) and \(Y\), are independent and exponentially distributed with a parameter \(\lambda = 1\), the joint PDF can be determined. Each bulb's individual PDF is \(f_X(x) = e^{-x}\) and \(f_Y(y) = e^{-y}\). Since \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, their joint PDF is the product of the two individual PDFs:
  • \(f_{X,Y}(x,y) = f_X(x) \times f_Y(y) = e^{-x} \times e^{-y} = e^{-(x+y)}\)
This joint PDF is valid for \(x \geq 0\) and \(y \geq 0\), capturing how both bulbs will behave together across time. The joint PDF is a foundational step towards making further probability calculations about \(X\) and \(Y\).
Independent Random Variables
Understanding independent random variables is crucial in probability studies. Two random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are considered independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. In simpler terms, knowing the value of \(X\) gives no information about the value of \(Y\), and vice versa.
For our lightbulb problem, the assumption that \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent allows simplifications in calculating joint probabilities. Due to this independence, the joint PDF of \(X\) and \(Y\) is the straightforward product of the marginal PDFs: \(f_{X,Y}(x,y) = e^{-(x+y)}\).
This property simplifies many probability calculations, making it easier to understand and predict the behavior of \(X\) and \(Y\) together. When working with independent variables, integration becomes more manageable since it can be applied separately to each variable.
Probability Calculations
Calculating probabilities using joint PDFs involves integration over the desired region. For example, if we want to find the probability that each of the two bulbs lasts at most 1000 hours, we calculate \(P(X \leq 1, Y \leq 1)\) by integrating the joint PDF \(f_{X,Y}(x,y)\) over the interval \([0,1]\) for both \(x\) and \(y\).
Using the calculated joint PDF, this results in:
  • \(\int_{0}^{1}\int_{0}^{1} e^{-(x+y)}\, dy\, dx\)
This method of evaluating probabilities by integrating the joint PDF over specific boundaries allows us to derive exact probabilities, expanding our understanding of the life expectancy of each bulb.
Other probability calculations, such as the probability that the total lifetime \(X+Y\) is at most 2, similarly involve integrating over the geometric region defined by the condition \(x+y \leq 2\). These calculations give us insights into the combined performance of the bulbs.
Integration in Probability
Integration plays a pivotal role in determining probabilities from continuous probability density functions, such as those that describe exponential distributions. By integrating the PDF over a certain range, we find the probability that a variable falls within that range.
In problems like the total lifetime of two bulbs \(X+Y\leq 2\), we first identify the region of integration on the \((x, y)\) plane. This involves comprehending the geometric interpretation of conditions, such as \(x+y \leq 2\).
We then perform the double integral of joint PDFs over this region:
  • \(\int_{0}^{2} \int_{0}^{2-x} e^{-(x+y)} \, dy \, dx\)
Through evaluating these integrals, we determine the probability that combines events relating to both random variables. Mastering integration in probability solidifies understanding of how regions correspond to probabilities, ensuring accurate and insightful predictions of the variables' behaviors.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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