/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 72 A personnel director interviewin... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A personnel director interviewing 11 senior engineers for four job openings has scheduled six interviews for the first day and five for the second day of interviewing. Assume that the candidates are interviewed in random order. a. What is the probability that \(x\) of the top four candidates are interviewed on the first day? b. How many of the top four candidates can be expected to be interviewed on the first day?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Use probability formula for part (a); b. Calculate expected value for part (b).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are given 11 senior engineers and need to fill 4 job openings. The interviews are divided between two days: 6 on the first day and 5 on the second. The question asks about the probability that exactly \( x \) of the top four candidates are interviewed on the first day and also asks for the expected number of top four candidates to be interviewed on the first day.
02

Identify the Total Ways to Choose Candidates for Day One

First, we need to calculate the total number of ways to choose 6 candidates from 11 to be interviewed on the first day. This is a combination problem and is calculated as: \( \binom{11}{6} \).
03

Determine Favorable Outcomes for Part (a)

For a given \( x \), where \( x \) is the number of top four candidates, we choose \( x \) candidates from the top four and \( 6-x \) from the remaining 7. This is calculated as: \( \binom{4}{x} \times \binom{7}{6-x} \).
04

Calculate Probability for Part (a)

The probability that exactly \( x \) of the top four candidates are interviewed on the first day is given by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of ways to select 6 candidates. Thus, the probability is: \( P(X = x) = \frac{\binom{4}{x} \times \binom{7}{6-x}}{\binom{11}{6}} \).
05

Calculate Expected Value for Part (b)

To find the expected number of top four candidates interviewed on the first day, we sum the products of each probability with its corresponding \( x \) value: \( E[X] = \sum_{x=0}^{4} x \cdot P(X = x) \). We substitute the probabilities calculated in Part (a) to find the expected value.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics that deals with counting and arrangements. When you want to know how many ways you can choose a subset of items from a larger set, you use combinatorics. In our problem, we're using combinatorics to figure out how to pick engineers for interviews.

For this exercise, we are dealing with a combination problem because the order of picking the engineers doesn't matter. We use the combination formula, denoted as \(\binom{n}{k}\), which tells us how many ways we can choose \(k\) items from \(n\) total items.
  • \(n\) is the total number of items (11 engineers).
  • \(k\) is the number of items to choose (6 for the first day of interviews).
  • The formula provides the number of ways to choose the engineers without regard to the order of selection.
So, if we're choosing 6 engineers out of 11, the calculation is \(\binom{11}{6}\). This tells us all possible ways to choose which engineers get interviewed on the first day.
Expected Value
Expected value is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics, used to predict how often a particular outcome will occur on average over multiple trials. It’s like finding the average outcome or the "centre" of a probability distribution.

In the context of this exercise, the expected value helps us estimate the average number of top four candidates we can expect to be interviewed on the first day. To compute it, we multiply each possibility by its probability and add these products together:\[E[X] = \sum_{x=0}^{4} x \cdot P(X = x)\]Here, each \(x\) represents the number of top four candidates interviewed on day one, and \(P(X = x)\) is the probability that exactly \(x\) candidates were interviewed, as calculated in earlier steps. This calculation aggregates information about the distribution of outcomes to provide a single, average result.
Random Order
In probability and statistics, when items are said to be in a random order, each possible order of those items is equally likely. This means that each arrangement of candidates being interviewed has the same chance of occurring.

When the exercise mentions that the engineers will be interviewed in a random order, it implies that every different combination of scheduling these interviews is possible and no particular order or pattern is favored. This consideration is crucial in understanding that the distribution of the top candidates across the two days could be any one of the numerous possibilities, depending only on probability rather than any fixed order.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient, represented as \(\binom{n}{k}\), is at the heart of problems in combinatorics, typically involved in problems where we need to determine the number of ways to choose \(k\) items from \(n\) available.

In our problem, the binomial coefficient helps answer how many ways we can select a subset of engineers for any given part of the interviewing process.
  • \(\binom{11}{6}\): This allows us to calculate the total number of ways to choose any 6 candidates from all 11.
  • \(\binom{4}{x}\): Used to find the number of ways to choose \(x\) candidates from the top four.
  • \(\binom{7}{6-x}\): Denotes the number of ways to select the rest from the remaining 7 candidates.
These coefficients multiply in combination problems to provide the number of favorable outcomes, which are then used to calculate probabilities and expected values. The binomial coefficient is fundamental for simplifying the complexity of arrangements and selections in probability theory.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

A geologist has collected 10 specimens of basaltic rock and 10 specimens of granite. The geologist instructs a laboratory assistant to randomly select 15 of the specimens for analysis. a. What is the pmf of the number of granite specimens selected for analysis? b. What is the probability that all specimens of one of the two types of rock are selected for analysis? c. What is the probability that the number of granite specimens selected for analysis is within 1 standard deviation of its mean value?

The pmf of the amount of memory \(X(G B)\) in a purchased flash drive was given in Example \(3.13\) as \begin{tabular}{l|lllll} \(x\) & 1 & 2 & 4 & 8 & 16 \\ \hline\(p(x)\) & \(.05\) & \(.10\) & \(.35\) & \(.40\) & \(.10\) \end{tabular} Compute the following: a. \(E(X)\) b. \(V(X)\) directly from the definition c. The standard deviation of \(X\) d. \(V(X)\) using the shortcut formula

According to the article "Characterizing the Severity and Risk of Drought in the Poudre River, Colorado" (J. of Water Res. Planning and Mgmnt., 2005: 383-393), the drought length \(Y\) is the number of consecutive time intervals in which the water supply remains below a critical value \(y_{0}\) (a deficit), preceded by and followed by periods in which the supply exceeds this critical value (a surplus). The cited paper proposes a geometric distribution with \(p=.409\) for this random variable. a. What is the probability that a drought lasts exactly 3 intervals? At most 3 intervals? b. What is the probability that the length of a drought exceeds its mean value by at least one standard deviation?

A mail-order computer business has six telephone lines. Let \(X\) denote the number of lines in use at a specified time. Suppose the pmf of \(X\) is as given in the accompanying table. \begin{tabular}{l|ccccccc} \(x\) & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \\ \hline\(p(x)\) & \(.10\) & \(.15\) & \(.20\) & \(.25\) & \(.20\) & \(.06\) & \(.04\) \end{tabular} Calculate the probability of each of the following events. a. \\{at most three lines are in use\\} b. \\{fewer than three lines are in use\\} c. \\{at least three lines are in use\\} d. \\{between two and five lines, inclusive, are in use\\} e. \\{between two and four lines, inclusive, are not in use\\} f. \\{at least four lines are not in use\\}

Let \(X\) have a Poisson distribution with parameter \(\mu\). Show that \(E(X)=\mu\) directly from the definition of expected value. [Hint: The first term in the sum equals 0 , and then \(x\) can be canceled. Now factor out \(\mu\) and show that what is left sums to 1.]

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.