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Suppose that the random variables \({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{k}}}\) are independent and that \({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{i}}}\) has the Poisson distribution with mean \({{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{i}}}\left( {{\bf{i = 1, \ldots ,k}}} \right)\). Show that for each fixed positive integer n, the conditional distribution of the random Vector \({\bf{X = }}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{k}}}} \right)\), given that \(\sum\limits_{{\bf{i = 1}}}^{\bf{k}} {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{i}}}{\bf{ = n}}} \) it is the multinomial distribution with parameters n and

\(\begin{array}{l}{\bf{p = }}\left( {{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{k}}}} \right){\bf{,}}\,{\bf{where}}\\{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{i}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{i}}}}}{{\sum\limits_{{\bf{j = 1}}}^{\bf{k}} {{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{j}}}} }}\,{\bf{for}}\,{\bf{i = 1, \ldots ,k}}{\bf{.}}\end{array}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified

The proof has been established

Step by step solution

01

Given information

It is given that \({X_1} \ldots {X_k}\)it follows a Poisson distribution with parameters \({\lambda _i}\left( {i = 1, \ldots ,k} \right)\) respectively.

02

The proof

\(\begin{array}{l} = P\left[ {{X_1} \cap \ldots \cap {X_k}|\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i} = n} } \right]\\ = \frac{{P\left[ {{X_1} = {r_1} \cap \ldots \cap {X_k} = {r_k} \cap \sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i} = n} } \right]}}{{P\left( {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i} = n} } \right)}}\\\frac{{ = \left( {{X_1} = {r_1} \cap \ldots \cap {X_k} = n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}} \right)}}{{P\left( {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i} = n} } \right)}}\\ = \frac{{P\left( {{X_1} = {r_1}} \right) \ldots P\left( {{X_k} = n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}} \right)}}{{P\left( {\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i} = n} } \right)}},\,\,{\rm{Since}}\,{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{i}}}\,\,{\rm{are}}\,\,{\rm{independent}}\end{array}\)

Further, since \({X_1} \ldots {X_k}\) they are independent, Poisson variates with parameters \({\lambda _i}\left( {i = 1, \ldots ,k} \right)\) \(X = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{X_i}} \) is also a Poisson variate with parameters \(\lambda = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{\lambda _i}} \).

Now,

\(\begin{array}{l} = \frac{{\frac{{{e^{ - {\lambda _1}}}{\lambda _1}^{{r_1}}}}{{{r_1}!}} \ldots \frac{{{e^{ - {\lambda _k}}}{\lambda _k}^{{r_{n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}}}}}}{{\left( {n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}} \right)!}}}}{{\frac{{{e^{ - \lambda }}{\lambda ^r}}}{{r!}}}}\\ = \left\{ {\frac{{n!}}{{{r_1}! \ldots \left( {n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}} \right)!}}} \right\}\left\{ {{{\left( {\frac{{{\lambda _1}}}{\lambda }} \right)}^{{r_1}}} \ldots {{\left( {\frac{{{\lambda _k}}}{\lambda }} \right)}^{n - {r_1} - \ldots - {r_{k - 1}}}}} \right\}\\ = \frac{{n!}}{{{r_1}! \ldots {r_k}!}}p_1^{{r_1}} \ldots p_k^{{r_k}}\\Where,\,\\\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{r_i} = n\,\,and\,\,\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {{p_i} = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {\left( {\frac{{{\lambda _i}}}{\lambda }} \right)} } } = \frac{1}{\lambda }\sum\limits_{i = 1}^k {\left( {{\lambda _i}} \right) = 1} \end{array}\)

Therefore, the conditional distribution of the random Vector\({\bf{X = }}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{k}}}} \right)\), given that \(\sum\limits_{{\bf{i = 1}}}^{\bf{k}} {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{i}}}{\bf{ = n}}} \)it is the multinomial distribution with parameters n and

\(\begin{array}{l}{\bf{p = }}\left( {{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{k}}}} \right){\bf{,}}\,{\bf{where}}\\{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{i}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{i}}}}}{{\sum\limits_{{\bf{j = 1}}}^{\bf{k}} {{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{j}}}} }}\,{\bf{for}}\,{\bf{i = 1, \ldots ,k}}{\bf{.}}\end{array}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that the diameters of the bolts in a large box follow a normal distribution with a mean of 2 centimeters and a standard deviation of 0.03 centimeters. Also, suppose that the diameters of the holes in the nuts in another large box follow the normal distribution with a mean of 2.02 centimeters and a standard deviation of 0.04 centimeters. A bolt and a nut will fit together if the diameter of the hole in the nut is greater than the diameter of the bolt, and the difference between these diameters is not greater than 0.05 centimeter. If a bolt and a nut are selected at random, what is the probability that they will fit together?

a. Sketch the c.d.f. of the standard normal distribution from the values given in the table at the end of this book.

b. From the sketch given in part (a) of this exercise, sketch the c.d.f. of the normal distribution for which the mean is−2, and the standard deviation is 3.

Suppose that a sequence of independent tosses is made with a coin for which the probability of obtaining a head-on each given toss is \(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{\bf{30}}}}.\)

a. What is the expected number of tails that will be obtained before five heads have been obtained?

b. What is the variance of the number of tails that will be obtained before five heads have been obtained?

1. Consider a daily lottery as described in Example 5.5.4.

a. Compute the probability that two particular days ina row will both have triples.

b. Suppose that we observe triples on a particular day. Compute the conditional probability that we observe triples again the next day.

Suppose that X, Y, and Z are i.i.d. random variablesand each has the standard normal distribution. Evaluate \({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{\bf{3X + 2Y < 6Z - 7}}} \right).\)

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