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For the conditions of Exercise 2, how large a random sample must be taken in order that\({\bf{P}}\left( {{\bf{|}}{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ - \theta |}} \le {\bf{0}}{\bf{.1}}} \right) \ge {\bf{0}}{\bf{.95}}\)for every possible value ofθ?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The needed sample size is \( \ge 1537\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The given information is \(P\left( {|{{\bar X}_n} - \theta | \le 0.1} \right) \ge 0.95\)

02

Finding sample size

Here \({\bar X_n}\) has the normal distribution with mean \(\theta \) and variance \(4/n\) . Hence, the random variable \(Z = \left( {{{\bar X}_n} - \theta } \right)/\left( {2/\sqrt n } \right)\) will has standard normal distribution.

Therefore,

\(\begin{align}\Pr \left( {|{{\bar X}_n} - \theta | \le 0.1} \right) &= \Pr \left( {|Z| \le 0.05\sqrt n } \right)\\ &= 2\Phi \left( {0.05\sqrt n } \right) - 1\end{align}\)

Here given that,

\(\begin{align}\Pr \left( {|{{\bar X}_n} - \theta | \le 0.1} \right) \ge 0.95\\2\Phi \left( {0.05\sqrt n } \right) - 1 \ge 0.95\\\Phi \left( {0.05\sqrt n } \right) \ge 1.95/2\\0.05\sqrt n \ge {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {0.975} \right)\\0.05\sqrt n \ge 1.96\,(It\,found\,from\,table\,value\,of\,\Phi )\\n \ge \frac{{{{1.96}^2}}}{{{{0.05}^2}}}\\n \ge 1536.64\end{align}\)

The required sample size is\( \ge 1537\)

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