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Consider again the conditions of Exercise 19, and let\({{\bf{\hat \beta }}_{\bf{n}}}\)n denote the M.L.E. of β.

a. Use the delta method to determine the asymptotic distribution of\(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{{{\bf{\hat \beta }}}_{\bf{n}}}}}\).

b. Show that\(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{{{\bf{\hat \beta }}}_{\bf{n}}}}}{\bf{ = }}{{\bf{\bar X}}_{\bf{n}}}\), and use the central limit theorem to determine the asymptotic distribution of\(\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{{{\bf{\hat \beta }}}_{\bf{n}}}}}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The asymptotic distribution is a standard normal distribution.
  2. Proved.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Referring to exercise 19, suppose that\({X_1},...,{X_n}\) from a random sample from the exponential distribution with an unknown parameter \(\beta \).

The p.d.f. of an exponential distribution is,

\(f\left( {x\left| \beta \right.} \right) = \beta \exp \left( { - \beta x} \right)\)

02

Finding the asymptotic distribution

a.

The p.d.f. of an exponential distribution is,

\(f\left( {x\left| \beta \right.} \right) = \beta \exp \left( { - \beta x} \right)\)

The mean of the exponential distribution is,

\(E\left( x \right) = \frac{1}{\beta }\)

Let,

\(\alpha \left( \beta \right) = \frac{1}{\beta }\)

Then,

\(\alpha '\left( \beta \right) = - \frac{1}{{{\beta ^2}}}\)

It is known that\({\hat \beta _n}\)is approximately normal with mean\(\beta \)and variance\(\frac{{{\beta ^2}}}{n}\)

The delta method is a general technique for calculating the variance of a function of known variance asymptotically normal random variables. The delta technique is used in this instance to construct a closed-form solution for the margin's standard errors by making use of the fact that the margin is (typically) an endlessly differentiable function of the data, X, and the vector of\(\beta s\).

Therefore, \(\frac{1}{{{{\hat \beta }_n}}}\) will be approximately normal with mean \(\frac{1}{\beta }\) and the variance \({\left( {\alpha '\left( \beta \right)} \right)^2}\left( {\frac{{{\beta ^2}}}{n}} \right) = \frac{1}{{\left( {n{\beta ^2}} \right)}}\)

Equivalently, the asymptotic distribution of \({\left( {n{\beta ^2}} \right)^{\frac{1}{2}}}\left( {\frac{1}{{{{\hat \beta }_n}}} - \frac{1}{\beta }} \right)\) is standard normal distribution.

03

Proving part

b.

Since the mean of the exponential distribution is\(\frac{1}{\beta }\)and variance is\(\frac{1}{{{\beta ^2}}}\)

It follows directly from the central limit theorem that the asymptotic distribution of

\({\bar X_n} = \frac{1}{{{{\hat \beta }_n}}}\)is exactly found in part (a).

Hence, (Proved)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Question:Reconsider the conditions of Exercise 3. Suppose that n = 2, and we observe\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ = 2}}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ = - 1}}\). Compute the value of the unbiased estimator of\({\left[ {{\bf{E}}\left( {\bf{X}} \right)} \right]^{\bf{2}}}\) found in Exercise 3. Describe a flaw that you have discovered in the estimator.

For the conditions of Exercise 2, how large a random sample must be taken in order that \({\bf{E}}\left( {{\bf{|}}{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ - \theta |}}} \right) \le {\bf{0}}{\bf{.1}}\) for every possible value ofθ?

We will draw a sample of size n = 11 from the normal distribution with the mean \({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau }}\). We will use a natural conjugate prior for the parameters \({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau }}\) from the normal-gamma family with hyperparameters \({{\bf{\alpha }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 2,}}{{\bf{\beta }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 1,}}{{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 3}}{\bf{.5}}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 2}}\)

The sample yields an average of \(\overline {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{n}}}} {\bf{ = 7}}{\bf{.2}}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{{\bf{s}}_{\bf{n}}}^{\bf{2}}{\bf{ = 20}}{\bf{.3}}\)

a. Find the posterior hyperparameters.

b. Find an interval that contains 95% of the posterior distribution of \({\bf{\mu }}\).

Suppose that each of two statisticians, A and B, independently takes a random sample of 20 observations from the normal distribution with unknown mean μ and known variance 4. Suppose also that statistician A finds the sample variance in his random sample to be 3.8, and statistician B finds the sample variance in her random sample to be 9.4. For which random sample is the sample mean likely to be closer to the unknown value of μ?

Suppose that\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}...{\bf{,}}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}\)form a random sample from the normal distribution with unknown mean μ and unknown standard deviation σ, and let\({\bf{\hat \mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\hat \sigma }}\)denote the M.L.E.’s of μ and σ. For the sample size n = 17, find a value of k such that

\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{\bf{\hat \mu > \mu + k\hat \sigma }}} \right){\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.95}}\)

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