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Suppose that\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}},{\bf{ \ldots }},{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}\)form a random sample from the normal distribution with unknown meanμand known variance\({{\bf{\sigma }}^{\bf{2}}}\). Let\({\bf{\Phi }}\)stand for the c.d.f. of the standard normal distribution, and let\({{\bf{\Phi }}^{{\bf{ - 1}}}}\)be its inverse. Show that

the following interval is a coefficient\(\gamma \)confidence interval forμif\({{\bf{\bar X}}_{\bf{n}}}\)is the observed average of the data values:

\(\left( {{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ - }}{{\bf{\Phi }}^{{\bf{ - 1}}}}\left( {\frac{{{\bf{1 + }}\gamma }}{{\bf{2}}}} \right)\frac{{\bf{\sigma }}}{{{{\bf{n}}^{\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{2}}}}}}}{\bf{,}}{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ + }}{{\bf{\Phi }}^{{\bf{ - 1}}}}\left( {\frac{{{\bf{1 + }}\gamma }}{{\bf{2}}}} \right)\frac{{\bf{\sigma }}}{{{{\bf{n}}^{\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{2}}}}}}}} \right)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Proved. The interval is a coefficient \(\gamma \) confidence interval for \(\mu \) if \({\bar X_n}\) is the observed average of the data values.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

There is a random sample \({X_1}, \ldots ,{X_n}\) \(normal\left( {\mu ,{\sigma ^2}} \right)\). Here \(\mu \)unknown and \({\sigma ^2}\) is known. \(\Phi \) is the cumulative distribution function of the random sample.

02

Consider the confidence interval

Consider the confidence interval,

\(\left( {{{\bar X}_n} - {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }},{{\bar X}_n} + {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}} \right)\)

Where \(\gamma \) is the coefficient for\(\mu \) , and \({\bar X_n}\) is the sample mean

03

Calculate the confidence interval

Let us consider

\(\Pr \left( {{{\bar X}_n} - {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }} < \mu < {{\bar X}_n} + {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}} \right)\)

Now by subtracting\({\bar X_n}\)from all the sides and the divide the sides by\(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\), we get,

\(\Pr \left[ { - {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right) < \frac{{\mu - {{\bar X}_n}}}{{{\raise0.7ex\hbox{$\sigma $} \!\mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {\sigma {\sqrt n }}}\right. \ } \!\lower0.7ex\hbox{${\sqrt n }$}}}} < {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)} \right]\)

Therefore, the probability that the variable lies between\( - {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\;and\;{\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\)is,

\(\begin{align}\Pr \left( { - {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right) < \frac{{\mu - {{\bar X}_n}}}{{{\raise0.7ex\hbox{$\sigma $} \!\mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {\sigma {\sqrt n }}}\right. \ } \!\lower0.7ex\hbox{${\sqrt n }$}}}} < {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {\frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)} \right) &= \frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2} - \left( {1 - \frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2} + \frac{{1 + \gamma }}{2} - 1\\ &= \frac{{2\left( {1 + \gamma } \right)}}{2} - 1\\ &= 1 + \gamma - 1\\ &= \gamma \end{align}\)

Thus, it is proved.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that\({X_1},...,{X_n}\)form a random sample from the normal distribution with unknown mean μ and unknown variance\({\sigma ^2}\). Describe a method for constructing a confidence interval for\({\sigma ^2}\)with a specified confidence coefficient\(\gamma \left( {0 < \gamma < 1} \right)\) .

At the end of Example 8.5.11, compute the probability that \(\left| {{{\bar X}_2} - \theta } \right| < 0.3\) given Z = 0.9. Why is it so large?

Suppose that \({X_1},...,{X_n}\) form a random sample from the normal distribution with unknown mean μ (−∞ < μ < ∞) and known precision \(\tau \) . Suppose also that the prior distribution of μ is the normal distribution with mean \({\mu _0}\) and precision \({\lambda _0}\) . Show that the posterior distribution of μ, given that \({X_i} = {x_i}\) (i = 1, . . . , n) is the normal distribution with mean

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In the June 1986 issue of Consumer Reports, some data on the calorie content of beef hot dogs is given. Here are the numbers of calories in 20 different hot dog brands:

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