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Suppose that \({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}\) form a random sample of sizen from the uniform distribution on the interval [0, 1] andthat \({{\bf{Y}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ = max}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ \ldots }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}} \right)\). Find the smallest value of \({\bf{n}}\)such that\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{{\bf{Y}}_{\bf{n}}} \ge {\bf{0}}{\bf{.99}}} \right) \ge {\bf{0}}{\bf{.95}}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified

The minimum value of n such that \(\Pr \left( {{Y_n} \ge 0.99} \right) \ge 0.95\)is 298.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Suppose\({X_i}\)is the random sample that follows uniform distribution on the interval [0,1] that is \(X \sim U\left[ {0,1} \right]\).

Also, \({Y_{\left( n \right)}} = \max \left( {{X_1} \ldots {X_n}} \right)\)

02

Obtain the PDF and CDF of X

The pdf of a uniform distribution is obtained by using the formula: \(\frac{1}{{b - a}};a \le x \le b\).

Here, \(a = 0,b = 1\).

Therefore, the PDF of X is expressed as,

\({f_x}\left( x \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{1}{{1 - 0}} = 1\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;0 \le x \le 1\\0;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;otherwise\end{array} \right.\)

03

Find pdf of new variable Y

Define, \({Y_{\left( n \right)}} = \max \left( {{X_1} \ldots {X_n}} \right)\)

The CDF of \({Y_{\left( n \right)}}\) is,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {{Y_{\left( n \right)}} \le y} \right) &= P\left( {\max \left( {{X_1} \ldots {X_n}} \right) \le y} \right)\\ &= P\left( {{X_1} \le y} \right) \ldots P\left( {{X_n} \le y} \right)\;\left( {{\rm{independence}}} \right)\\ &= \left( {\int\limits_0^y {f\left( {{x_1}} \right)d{x_1}} } \right) \ldots \left( {\int\limits_0^y {f\left( {{x_n}} \right)d{x_n}} } \right)\\ &= \left( {\int\limits_0^y {1d{x_1}} } \right) \ldots \left( {\int\limits_0^y {1d{x_n}} } \right)\\ &= y \times \ldots \times y\\ &= {y^n}\end{aligned}\)

Taking derivative of cdf to obtain the pdf,

\(\begin{aligned}{f_{Y\left( n \right)}}\left( x \right) &= \frac{d}{{dx}}\left( {{y^n}} \right)\\ &= \left\{ \begin{aligned}n{y^{n - 1}}\,\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;0 < {y_{\left( n \right)}} < 1\\0\;\,\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;otherwise\end{aligned} \right.\end{aligned}\)

04

Obtain the value of n

Now, \(\Pr \left( {{Y_n} \ge 0.99} \right) \ge 0.95\)

\(\begin{aligned}\int\limits_{0.99}^1 {n{{\left( y \right)}^{n - 1}}dy} \ge 0.95\\\left( {{y^n}} \right)_{0.99}^1 \ge 0.95\\{1^n} - {0.99^n} \ge 0.95\\{0.99^n} \le 0.05\end{aligned}\)

Apply log on both sides as,

\(\begin{aligned}n\log \left( {0.99} \right) &\le \log \left( {0.05} \right)\\n &\le \frac{{\log \left( {0.05} \right)}}{{\log \left( {0.99} \right)}}\\n &= 298.07\\n &\approx 298\end{aligned}\)

Hence, minimum value of n is 298.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Question:Suppose thatXandYhave a discrete joint distributionfor which the joint p.f. is defined as follows:

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{\bf{x,y}}} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{\bf{30}}}}\left( {{\bf{x + y}}} \right)\;{\bf{for}}\;{\bf{x = 0,1,2}}\;{\bf{and}}\;{\bf{y = 0,1,2,3}}\\{\bf{0}}\;{\bf{otherwise}}\end{array} \right.\)

a. Determine the marginal p.f.’s ofXandY.

b. AreXandYindependent?

Suppose that the p.d.f. of a random variableXis as follows:

\(f\left( x \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{1}{8}x\;\;for\;0 \le x \le 4\\0\;\;\;\;otherwise\end{array} \right.\)

a. Find the value oftsuch that Pr(X≤t)=1/4.

b. Find the value oftsuch that Pr(X≥t)=1/2.

Suppose that three random variables X1, X2, and X3 have a continuous joint distribution with the following joint p.d.f.:

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{{\bf{c}}\left( {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ + 2}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ + 3}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}} \right)}&{{\bf{for0}} \le {{\bf{x}}_{\bf{i}}} \le {\bf{1}}\,\,\left( {{\bf{i = 1,2,3}}} \right)}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise}}{\bf{.}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

Determine\(\left( {\bf{a}} \right)\)the value of the constant c;

\(\left( {\bf{b}} \right)\)the marginal joint p.d.f. of\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}\)and\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{3}}}\); and

\(\left( {\bf{c}} \right)\)\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{3}}}{\bf{ < }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{2}}}\left| {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{4}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{\bf{3}}}{{\bf{4}}}} \right.} \right){\bf{.}}\)

Suppose that the p.d.f. of a random variable X is as follows:

f(x)={ \begin{aligned}c{e^{-2x}}\\0\end{aligned}

for x > 0, otherwise.

a. Find the value of the constant c and sketch the p.d.f.

b. Find the value of Pr (1 <X< 2)

Suppose that three boys A, B, and C are throwing a ball from one to another. Whenever A has the ball, he throws it to B with a probability of 0.2 and to C with a probability of 0.8. Whenever B has the ball, he throws it to A with a probability of 0.6 and to C with a probability of 0.4. Whenever C has the ball, he is equally likely to throw it to either A or B.

a. Consider this process to be a Markov chain and construct the transition matrix.

b. If each of the three boys is equally likely to have the ball at a certain time n, which boy is most likely to have the ball at time\(n + 2\).

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