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Suppose thatnletters are placed at random innenvelopes, as in the matching problem of Sec. 1.10, and letqndenote the probability that no letter is placed in the correct envelope. Show that the probability that exactly one letter is placed in the correct envelope isqn−1.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Exactly one letter placed in the correct envelope is \({q_{n - 1}}\).

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Given that\(n\)letters are placed at random in\(n\)envelopes.

Also,\({q_n}\)denote the probability that no letter is placed in the correct envelope.

Also, let \({q_{n - 1}}\) denote the probability that exactly one letter is placed.

02

State the condition

Let \({A_i}\) be the event that the letter is placed in the correct envelope \(\left( {i = 1, \ldots ,n} \right)\). Then \({q_n}\)is given by \({q_n} = pr\left( {\bigcup\nolimits_{i = 1}^n {{A_i}} } \right)\) .

03

Compute the probability

Here we use this theorem to solve is

\(pr\left( {\bigcup\nolimits_{i = 1}^n {{A_i}} } \right) = \sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {pr\left( {{A_i}} \right) - \sum\limits_{i < j} {pr\left( {{A_i} \cap {A_j}} \right) + \sum\limits_{i < j < k} {pr\left( {{A_i} \cap {A_j} \cap {A_k}} \right) + \ldots + {{\left( { - 1} \right)}^{n + 1}}pr\left( {{A_1} \cap {A_2}, \ldots , \cap {A_n}} \right)} } } \)

Since the letters are placed in the envelopes correctly at random, the probability\(pr\left( {{A_i}} \right)\)that any particular letter will be placed in the correct envelope is\(\frac{1}{n}\).

Then exactly one letter is placed in the correct envelope of probability is given by

\(\begin{aligned}{c}\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {pr\left( {{A_i}} \right) = {q_{n - 1}}} \\{\rm{ = n \times }}\frac{{\rm{1}}}{{\rm{n}}}\\{\rm{ = 1}}\end{aligned}\)

Hence proving that exactly one letter is placed in the correct envelope is \({q_{n - 1}}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that each of two gamblersAandBhas an initial fortune of 50 dollars and that there is a probabilitypthat gamblerAwill win on any single play of a game against gamblerB. Also, suppose either that one gambler can win one dollar from the other on each play of the game or that they can double the stakes and one can win two dollars from the other on each play of the game. Under which of these two conditions doesAhave the greater

probability of winning the initial fortune ofBbefore losing her own for each of the following conditions: (a)\(p < \frac{1}{2}\);

(b)\(p > \frac{1}{2}\); (c)\(p = \frac{1}{2}\)?

Suppose that the joint p.d.f. of two random variables X and Y is as follows:

\(f\left( {x,y} \right) = \left\{ \begin{aligned}c\sin x\;\;\;\;\;for\;0 \le x \le \frac{\pi }{2}\;\;and\;0 \le y \le 3\\0\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;Otherwise\end{aligned} \right.\)

Determine (a) the conditional p.d.f. of Y for every given value of X, and

(b)\({\rm P}\left( {1 < y < \frac{2}{x} = 0.73} \right)\)

Suppose that a random variableXhas a discrete distribution

with the following p.f.:

\(f\left( x \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}cx\;\;for\;x = 1,...,5,\\0\;\;\;\;otherwise\end{array} \right.\)

Determine the value of the constantc.

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Suppose that the p.d.f. of X is as given in Exercise 3. Determine the p.d.f. of\(Y = 4 - {X^3}\)

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