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Suppose that the joint distribution of X and Y is uniform over the region in the\({\bf{xy}}\)plane bounded by the four lines\({\bf{x = - 1,x = 1,y = x + 1}}\)and\({\bf{y = x - 1}}\). Determine (a)\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{\bf{XY > 0}}} \right)\)and (b) the conditional p.d.f. of Y given that\({\bf{X = x}}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified

a.\(\Pr \left( {XY > 0} \right) = \frac{3}{4}\)

b. The conditional distribution of Y given that \(X = x\) is \(\frac{1}{2}\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The joint distribution of X and Y is uniform.

02

Finding the form of joint density function

Let,

\(f\left( {x,y} \right) = c\,;\, - 1 < x < 1,x - 1 < y < x + 1\)

First, we have to find the value of c

\(\begin{array}{l}\int_{x - 1}^{x + 1} {\int_{ - 1}^1 {f\left( {x,y} \right)dxdy} } = 1\\\int_{x - 1}^{x + 1} {\int_{ - 1}^1 {cdxdy} } = 1\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{l}c\int_{x - 1}^{x + 1} {\left[ x \right]_{ - 1}^1} dy = 1\\c\int_{x - 1}^{x + 1} {2dy = 1} \\2c\left[ y \right]_{x - 1}^{x + 1} = 1\\2c\left[ {\left( {x + 1} \right) - \left( {x - 1} \right)} \right] = 1\\4c = 1\\c = \frac{1}{4}\end{array}\)

The joint p.d.f. of X and Y is,

\(f\left( {x,y} \right) = \frac{1}{4};\, - 1 < x < 1,x - 1 < y < x + 1\)

03

Finding the form of marginal density functions

The marginal pdf of X is,

\(\begin{aligned}{}f\left( x \right) &= \int_{x - 1}^{x + 1} {\frac{1}{4}dy} \\ &= \frac{1}{4}\left[ y \right]_{x - 1}^{x + 1}\\ &= \frac{1}{4}\left[ {x + 1 - x + 1} \right]\\ = \frac{2}{4}\\ &= \frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}\)

The marginal p.d.f. of Y is,

\(\begin{aligned}{}f\left( y \right) &= \int_{ - 1}^1 {\frac{1}{4}dx} \\ &= \frac{1}{4}\left[ x \right]_{ - 1}^1\\ &= \frac{1}{4}\left[ {1 + 1} \right]\\ &= \frac{2}{4}\\ &= \frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}\)

04

Calculating the probability for part (a)

The, area in the second plus the fourth quadrants is 1.

Therefore, the area in the first plus the third quadrants is 3,

\(\Pr \left( {XY > 0} \right) = \frac{3}{4}\)

05

Calculating the probability for part (b)

The conditional p.d.f. of Y given that\(X = x\)is,

\(\begin{aligned}{}h\left( {y\left| {X = x} \right.} \right) &= \frac{{f\left( {x,y} \right)}}{{f\left( x \right)}}\\ &= \frac{{\frac{1}{4}}}{{\frac{1}{2}}}\\ &= \frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the conditional distribution of of Y given that\(X = x\)is\(\frac{1}{2}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Two students,AandB,are both registered for a certain course. Assume that studentAattends class 80 percent of the time, studentBattends class 60 percent of the time, and the absences of the two students are independent. Consider the conditions of Exercise 7 of Sec. 2.2 again. If exactly one of the two students,AandB,is in class on a given day, what is the probability that it isA?

Let Y be the rate (calls per hour) at which calls arrive at a switchboard. Let X be the number of calls during a two-hour period. Suppose that the marginal p.d.f. of Y is

\({{\bf{f}}_{\bf{2}}}\left( {\bf{y}} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{{{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{ - y}}}}}&{{\bf{if}}\,{\bf{y > 0,}}}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise,}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

And that the conditional p.d.f. of X given\({\bf{Y = y}}\)is

\({{\bf{g}}_{\bf{1}}}\left( {{\bf{x}}\left| {\bf{y}} \right.} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{\frac{{{{\left( {{\bf{2y}}} \right)}^{\bf{x}}}}}{{{\bf{x!}}}}{{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{ - 2y}}}}}&{{\bf{if}}\,{\bf{x = 0,1,}}...{\bf{,}}}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise}}{\bf{.}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

  1. Find the marginal p.d.f. of X. (You may use the formula\(\int_{\bf{0}}^\infty {{{\bf{y}}^{\bf{k}}}{{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{ - y}}}}{\bf{dy = k!}}} {\bf{.}}\))
  2. Find the conditional p.d.f.\({{\bf{g}}_{\bf{2}}}\left( {{\bf{y}}\left| {\bf{0}} \right.} \right)\)of Y given\({\bf{X = 0}}\).
  3. Find the conditional p.d.f.\({{\bf{g}}_{\bf{2}}}\left( {{\bf{y}}\left| 1 \right.} \right)\)of Y given\({\bf{X = 1}}\).
  4. For what values of y is\({{\bf{g}}_{\bf{2}}}\left( {{\bf{y}}\left| {\bf{1}} \right.} \right){\bf{ > }}{{\bf{g}}_{\bf{2}}}\left( {{\bf{y}}\left| {\bf{0}} \right.} \right)\)? Does this agree with the intuition that the more calls you see, the higher you should think the rate is?

Each student in a certain high school was classified according to her year in school (freshman, sophomore, junior, or senior) and according to the number of times that she had visited a certain museum (never, once, or more than once). The proportions of students in the various classifications are given in the following table:

Never once More than once

than once

Freshmen 0.08 0.10 0.04

Sophomores 0.04 0.10 0.04

Juniors 0.04 0.20 0.09

Seniors 0.02 0.15 0.10

a. If a student selected at random from the high school is a junior, what is the probability that she has never visited the museum?

b. If a student selected at random from the high school has visited the museum three times, what is the probability that she is a senior?

Suppose that a Markov chain has four states 1, 2, 3, 4, and stationary transition probabilities as specified by the following transition matrix

\(p = \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\frac{1}{4}}&{\frac{1}{4}}&0&{\frac{1}{2}}\\0&1&0&0\\{\frac{1}{2}}&0&{\frac{1}{2}}&0\\{\frac{1}{4}}&{\frac{1}{4}}&{\frac{1}{4}}&{\frac{1}{4}}\end{array}} \right]\):

a.If the chain is in state 3 at a given timen, what is the probability that it will be in state 2 at timen+2?

b.If the chain is in state 1 at a given timen, what is the probability it will be in state 3 at timen+3?

Suppose that two balanced dice are rolled, and letXdenote the absolute value of the difference between thetwo numbers that appear. Determine and sketch the p.f.ofX.

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