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A random sample of n items is to be taken from a distribution with mean μ and standard deviation σ.

a. Use the Chebyshev inequality to determine the smallest number of items n that must be taken to satisfy the following relation:

\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {\left| {{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ - \mu }}} \right| \le \frac{{\bf{\sigma }}}{{\bf{4}}}} \right) \ge {\bf{0}}{\bf{.99}}\)

b. Use the central limit theorem to determine the smallest number of items n that must be taken to satisfy the relation in part (a) approximately

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The smallest number of items is\(n \ge 1600\)

b. The smallest possible sample size is 106

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A random sample of n items with a mean of\(\mu \)and a standard deviation of\(\sigma \)

The relation is,

\(\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \le \frac{\sigma }{4}} \right) \ge 0.99\)

02

(a) Finding the smallest number of n

Using the Chebyshev inequality,

\(\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \ge t} \right) \le \frac{{{\sigma ^2}}}{{n{t^2}}}\)

And

\(\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \le t} \right) \ge 1 - \frac{{{\sigma ^2}}}{{n{t^2}}}\)

So,

\(\begin{array}{c}\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \ge \frac{\sigma }{4}} \right) \le \frac{{{\sigma ^2}}}{n} \times \frac{{16}}{{{\sigma ^2}}}\\ = \frac{{16}}{n}\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{c}\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \le \frac{\sigma }{4}} \right) \ge 1 - \left( {\frac{{{\sigma ^2}}}{n} \times \frac{{16}}{{{\sigma ^2}}}} \right)\\ = 1 - \frac{{16}}{n}\end{array}\)

We know that,

\(\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \le \frac{\sigma }{4}} \right) \ge 0.99\)

i.e.,

\(\begin{array}{c}1 - \frac{{16}}{n} \ge 0.99\\\frac{{16}}{n} \ge 1 - 0.99\\\frac{n}{{16}} \ge 100\\n \ge 1600\end{array}\)

Therefore, the smallest number is, \(n \ge 1600\)

03

(b) Finding the smallest number of n

Using the central limit theorem,

\(\begin{array}{c}Z = \frac{{{{\bar X}_n} - \mu }}{{{\raise0.7ex\hbox{$\sigma $} \!\mathord{\left/{\vphantom {\sigma {\sqrt n }}}\right.}\!\lower0.7ex\hbox{${\sqrt n }$}}}}\\ = \frac{{\sqrt n }}{\sigma }\left( {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right)\end{array}\)

It will be approximately a standard normal distribution.

\(\begin{array}{c}\Pr \left( {\left| {{{\bar X}_n} - \mu } \right| \le \frac{\sigma }{4}} \right) = \Pr \left( {\left| Z \right| \le \frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right)\\ = 2\Phi \left( {\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right) - 1\end{array}\)

Now,

\(\begin{array}{c}2\Phi \left( {\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right) - 1 \ge 0.99\\2\Phi \left( {\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right) \ge 1 + 0.99\\\Phi \left( {\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right) \ge \frac{{1.99}}{2}\\\Phi \left( {\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4}} \right) \ge 0.995\end{array}\)

\(\begin{array}{c}\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4} \ge {\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left( {0.995} \right)\\\frac{{\sqrt n }}{4} \ge 2.567\\\sqrt n \ge 10.268\\n \ge 105.431824\end{array}\)

Therefore, the smallest possible sample size is 106

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