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Let \({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{X}}_{{\bf{2,}}...}}\)be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables having the normal distribution with mean μ and variance\({\sigma ^2}\). Let \({{\bf{\bar X}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{n}}}\sum\limits_{{\bf{i = 1}}}^{\bf{n}} {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{i}}}} \)be the sample mean of the first n random variables in the sequence. Show that \({\bf{P}}\left( {\left| {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}{\bf{ - \mu }}} \right| \le {\bf{c}}} \right)\) converges to 1 as n → ∞. Hint: Write the probability in terms of the standard normal c.d.f. and use what you know about this c.d.f.

Short Answer

Expert verified

\(P\left( {\left| {{X_n} - \mu } \right| \le c} \right)\) converges to 1 as \(n \to \infty \)

Step by step solution

01

Step-1: Given information

\({\bar X_n} = \frac{1}{n}\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{X_i}} \)be the sample mean of the first n random variables in the sequence. We need to prove that \({\mathop{\rm P}\nolimits} \left( {\left| {{X_n} - \mu } \right| \le c} \right)\) converges to 1 as n → ∞.

02

Step-2: Proof of  \({\bf{P}}\left( {\left| {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}} - {\bf{\mu }}} \right| \le {\bf{c}}} \right)\) links to 1 as n → ∞.

The sample mean \({\bar X_n}\)has a normal distribution with a mean \(\mu \)and standard deviation

\(\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}\). This implies that \(\left| {\frac{{{{\bar X}_n} - \mu }}{{\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}}}} \right|\)has a standard normal distribution.

\(\begin{aligned}{}P\left( {\left| {{X_n} - \mu } \right| \le c} \right) &= P\left( {\left| {\frac{{{X_n} - \mu }}{{\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}}}} \right| \le \frac{c}{{\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}}}} \right)\\ &= P\left( {\left| {\frac{{{X_n} - \mu }}{{\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}}}} \right| \le \frac{{c\sqrt n }}{\sigma }} \right)\end{aligned}\)

Now, as n → ∞, also \(\frac{{c\sqrt n }}{\sigma } \to \infty \) .This implies that we are sure that \(\left| {\frac{{{{\bar X}_n} - \mu }}{{\frac{\sigma }{{\sqrt n }}}}} \right|\)\( \le \frac{{c\sqrt n }}{\sigma }\)as n → ∞.

Hence, \({\mathop{\rm P}\nolimits} \left( {\left| {{X_n} - \mu } \right| \le c} \right)\) converges to 1 as n → ∞.

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