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The Pareto distribution with parameters\({{\bf{x}}_{\bf{0}}}\)andα\(\left( {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ > 0}}\;{\bf{and}}\;{\bf{\alpha > 0}}} \right)\)is defined in Exercise 16 of Sec. 5.7.Show that the family of Pareto distributions is a conjugate family of prior distributions for samples from a uniformdistribution on the interval (0, θ), where the value of the endpointθis unknown.

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Step by step solution

01

Given information

Referring to exercise 16 of sec.5.7, there is a Pareto distribution with the parameters \({x_0}\) and \(\alpha \)where, \({x_0} > 0\;and\;\alpha > 0\).

02

Define the density function

The p.d.f of the Pareto distribution is\({f_w}\left( w \right) = \frac{{\alpha {\theta ^\alpha }}}{{{w^{\alpha + 1}}}}\;;w \in \left( {\theta ,\alpha } \right)\).

Now let’s consider X is a random variable with the probability density function of\({f_X}\left( x \right) = \lambda {e^{ - \lambda x}};x > 0\).

And another random variable, Y, is defined as \(Y = c{e^x}\).

03

Define the cumulative density function

The cumulative distribution of Y can be written as,

\(\begin{aligned}{}F\left( y \right) &= \Pr \left( {Y \le y} \right)\\ &= \Pr \left( {c{e^x} \le y} \right)\\ &= \Pr \left( {{e^x} \le \frac{y}{c}} \right)\\ &= \Pr \left( {x \le \ln \left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)} \right)\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the c.d.f of Y is \(F\left( y \right) = {F_X}\left( {\ln \left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)} \right)\)

04

Calculate the probability density function

The probability density function of Y is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}{}f\left( y \right) &= \frac{d}{{dy}}\left( {{F_Y}\left( y \right)} \right)\\ &= \frac{d}{{dy}}\left( {{F_X}\left\{ {\ln \left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)} \right\}} \right)\\& = {f_x}\left( {\ln \left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)} \right) \times \frac{1}{{\frac{y}{c}}} \times \frac{1}{c}\\ &= \frac{c}{y} \times \frac{1}{c} \times \lambda \times {e^{ - \lambda \ln \left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)}}\\ = \frac{\lambda }{y}{e^{\ln {{\left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)}^{ - \lambda }}}}\\ &= \frac{\lambda }{y} \times {\left( {\frac{y}{c}} \right)^{ - \lambda }}\\ &= \frac{\lambda }{y}{\left( {\frac{c}{y}} \right)^\lambda }\end{aligned}\)

So, the p.d.f of Y is \(f\left( y \right) = \frac{{\lambda {c^\lambda }}}{{{y^{\lambda + 1}}}}\).

05

Determine the range.

Since,\(x > 0\).

So, there can be concluded that,

\(\begin{aligned}{}\left( {0 < x < \infty } \right) = {e^0} < {e^x} < \infty \\ = 1 < {e^x} < \infty \\ = c < c{e^x} < \infty \\ = c < y < \infty \end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the p.d.f of Y is \(f\left( y \right) = \frac{{\lambda {c^\lambda }}}{{{y^{\lambda + 1}}}};\;c < y < \infty \).

06

Comparing with Pareto distribution

By comparing the probability distribution function of Y with the Pareto distribution,

\(y \sim Pareto\left( {c,\lambda } \right)\).

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Suppose that\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}...{\bf{,}}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}\)form a random sample from a distribution with the following p.d.f.:

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{\bf{x}}\left| {{\bf{\beta ,\theta }}} \right.} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{{\bf{\beta }}{{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{ - \beta }}\left( {{\bf{x - \theta }}} \right)}}}&{{\bf{for}}\,\,{\bf{x}} \ge {\bf{\theta }}}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise,}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

where\({\bf{\beta }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\theta }}\,\,{\bf{are}}\,\,{\bf{unknown}}\,\,\left( {{\bf{\beta > 0,}} - \infty {\bf{ < \theta < }}\infty } \right)\). Determine a pair of jointly sufficient statistics.

Suppose that a random sample is to be taken from a normal distribution for which the value of the mean θ is unknown and the standard deviation is 2, the prior distribution of θ is a normal distribution for which the standard deviation is 1, and the value of θ must be estimated by using the squared error loss function. What is the smallest random sample that must be taken in order for the mean squared error of the Bayes estimator of θ to be 0.01 or less? (See Exercise 10 of Sec. 7.3.)

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