/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q3E Consider again the three differe... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Consider again the three different conditions (a), (b), and (c) given in Exercise 2, but suppose now that p < 1/2. For which of these three conditions is there the greatest probability that gambler A will win the initial fortune of gambler B before he loses his own initial fortune?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Condition (a) has greatest probability

b. Condition (b) has probability more than condition (c) and less than (a)

c. Condition (c) has lowest probability

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Initial fortune of A\(i = 2,20,200\)

Initial fortune of B\(k - i = 1,10,100\)

Therefore, the total fortune of the 2 gamblers\(k = 3,30,300\)

the probability that gambler A will win one dollar from gambler B is p and the probability that gambler B will win one dollar from gambler A is 1–p

\(p < \frac{1}{2}\)

02

Compute the probability for (a)

a.

Assuming that it is an unfair play

Required probability is given by\({a_i}\)

Let\({a_i}\)denote the probability that the fortune of gambler A will reach k dollars before it reaches 0 dollars, given that his initial fortune is i dollars.

\({a_i} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{1 - p}}{p}} \right)}^i} - 1}}{{{{\left( {\frac{{1 - p}}{p}} \right)}^k} - 1}};i = 1,2,...,k - 1\)

Here \(0 < p < \frac{1}{2}\)

Let \(\left( {\frac{{1 - p}}{p}} \right) = r\)

Here r is always greater than 1 since p is less than 0.5

Then \({a_i} = \frac{{{r^i} - 1}}{{{r^k} - 1}}\) where \(i = 1,2,...,k - 1\)

\(\begin{aligned}{l}\therefore for\,i = 2\,and\,k = 3\,\\{a_2} = \frac{{{r^2} - 1}}{{{r^3} - 1}}\end{aligned}\)

03

Compute the probability for (b)

b.

Proceeding same as above

\(\begin{aligned}{l}for\,i = 20\,\,and\,k = 30\\{a_{20}} = \frac{{{r^{20}} - 1}}{{{r^{30}} - 1}}\end{aligned}\)

04

Compute the probability for (c)  

c.

Proceeding similarly as above

\(\begin{aligned}{l}for\,i = 200\,\,and\,k = 300\\{a_{200}} = \frac{{{r^{200}} - 1}}{{{r^{300}} - 1}}\end{aligned}\)

05

Comparing the probability for (a), (b) and (c)  

Clearly seeing the ratio, we can state that

\({a_2} > {a_{20}} > {a_{200}}\)

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that there is a probability of\(\frac{1}{{50}}\)that you will win a certain game. If you play the game 50 times, independently, what is the probability that you will win at least once?

Suppose that each of two dice is loaded so that when either die is rolled, the probability that the number k will appear is 0.1 for k=1, 2, 5 or 6 and is 0.3 for k =3 or 4. If the two loaded dice are rolled independently, what is the

probability that the sum of the two numbers that appear will be 7?

Consider again the conditions of Exercise 2 of Sec. 1.10. If a family selected at random from the city subscribes to newspaper A, what is the probability that the family also subscribes to newspaper B?

Suppose that 30 percent of the bottles produced in a certain plant are defective. If a bottle is defective, the probability is 0.9 that an inspector will notice it and remove it from the filling line. If a bottle is not defective, the probability is 0.2 that the inspector will think that it is defective and remove it from the filling line.

a. If a bottle is removed from the filling line, what is the probability that it is defective?

b. If a customer buys a bottle that has not been removed from the filling line, what is the probability that it is defective?

In a certain city, 30 percent of the people are Conservatives,50 percent are Liberals, and 20 percent are Independents. Records show that in a particular election, 65percent of the Conservatives voted, 82 percent of the Liberals voted, and 50 percent of the Independents voted. If a person in the city is selected at random and it is learned that she did not vote in the last election, what is the probability that she is a Liberal?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.