Chapter 2: Q1E (page 75)
If A and B are independent events and Pr(B) < 1, what is the value of Pr(Ac|Bc)?
Short Answer
If A and B are independent events and Pr(B) < 1, the value \(\Pr \left( {{A^C}|{B^C}} \right)\) is \(\Pr \left( {{A^C}} \right)\).
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Chapter 2: Q1E (page 75)
If A and B are independent events and Pr(B) < 1, what is the value of Pr(Ac|Bc)?
If A and B are independent events and Pr(B) < 1, the value \(\Pr \left( {{A^C}|{B^C}} \right)\) is \(\Pr \left( {{A^C}} \right)\).
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Suppose that each of two dice is loaded so that when either die is rolled, the probability that the number k will appear is 0.1 for k=1, 2, 5 or 6 and is 0.3 for k =3 or 4. If the two loaded dice are rolled independently, what is the
probability that the sum of the two numbers that appear will be 7?
Suppose that a box contains one fair coin and one coin with a head on each side. Suppose that a coin is drawn at random from this box and that we begin to flip the coin. In Eqs. (2.3.4) and (2.3.5), we computed the conditional probability that the coin was fair, given that the first two flips both produce heads.
a. Suppose that the coin is flipped a third time and another head is obtained. Compute the probability that the coin is fair, given that all three flips produced
heads.
b. Suppose that the coin is flipped a fourth time, and the result is tails. Compute the posterior probability that the coin is fair.
The probability that any child in a certain family will have blue eyes is 1/4, and this feature is inherited independently by different children in the family. If there are five children in the family and it is known that at least one of these children has blue eyes, what is the probability that at least three of the children have blue eyes?
Consider the following three different possible conditions in the gambler’s ruin problem:
a. The initial fortune of gambler A is two dollars, and the initial fortune of gambler B is one dollar.
b. The initial fortune of gambler A is 20 dollars, and the initial fortune of gambler B is 10 dollars.
c. The initial fortune of gambler A is 200 dollars, and the initial fortune of gambler B is 100 dollars.
Suppose that p = 1/2. For which of these three conditions is there the greatest probability that gambler A will win the initial fortune of gambler B before he loses his own initial fortune?
Consider the unfavourable game in Example 2.4.2. This time, suppose that the initial fortune of gambler A is i dollars with i ≤ 98. Suppose that the initial fortune of gambler B is 100 − i dollars. Show that the probability is greater than 1/2 that gambler A losses i dollars before winning 100 − i dollars.
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