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NUMBER OF STORES In 2003 there were 1078 J.C. Penney stores and in 2007 there were 1067 stores.Write a linear equation that gives the number of stores in terms of the year. Let \(t = 3\) represent 2003. Then predict the numbers of stores for the years 2012 and 2014. Are your answers reasonable? Explain. (Source: J.C. Penney Co.)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The linear equation is \(y = -2.75t + 1081.25\). Substitution gives approximately 1054 JC Penney stores in 2012 and roughly 1049 stores in 2014. These predictions align with the trend of slightly decreasing store counts each year from 2003 to 2007.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the slope

The slope (m) of the linear function can be determined by the formula: \(m = \frac{{y_2 - y_1}}{{x_2 - x_1}}\). Let's substitute the given points (x1=3, y1=1078) and (x2=7, y2=1067) into the formula: \(m = \frac{{1067 - 1078}}{{7 - 3}}= -2.75\) . This indicates that on average, the number of stores decreases by 2.75 each year.
02

Obtain the linear function

Now we can use the point-slope form to get our equation. The point-slope formula is \(y - y_1 = m(x - x_1)\). Substituting given values in (x1=3, y1=1078) and slope m = -2.75, we get the equation: \(y - 1078 = -2.75(t - 3)\), simplify the equation by distributing -2.75 and combine like terms to get: \(y = -2.75t + 1081.25\). This equation represents the number of J.C. Penney stores with respect to the years.
03

Predict the numbers of stores for the years 2012 and 2014

We can now substitute \(t = 12\) and \(t = 14\) into our equation to predict the number of stores for 2012 and 2014. Plugging these values in gives us: When \(t=12 , y= -2.75(12) + 1081.25 = 1054.25\) and when \(t=14, y= -2.75(14) + 1081.25 = 1048.75\). As it is not possible to have a fraction of a store, we round to the nearest whole number indicates that in 2012, the number of stores would be 1054 and in 2014, 1049 stores.
04

Assess the Reasonableness of the Predictions

The data predicted that the number of stores would slightly decrease each year which is reasonable as the general trend from 2003 to 2007 also showed a decrease in store count.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Writing Linear Equations
Understanding how to craft a linear equation from real-world data is a fundamental skill in algebra. In the context of the NUMBER OF STORES problem, creating a linear equation means translating the given information about store count over time into a mathematical representation.

Starting with the known data points, we recognize that the year and corresponding number of stores form coordinates, with time along the x-axis and number of stores on the y-axis. The general form of a linear equation is often presented as \( y = mx + b \), where \( m \) represents the slope, and \( b \) is the y-intercept - the value of y when x is zero.

To build this linear equation, we first determine the slope (rate of change of store counts per year) and then identify the y-intercept using a known point. The resulting equation encapsulates the pattern and allows for future predictions of the number of stores based on the yearly trend.
Slope Calculation
The slope of a line measures the steepness or the rate at which the y-value changes for a unit change in the x-value. It's calculated by taking the difference in the y-values of two points on the line and dividing by the difference in the corresponding x-values.

In our case, the formula becomes \( m = \frac{{y_2 - y_1}}{{x_2 - x_1}} \). Substituting the given points from our store count exercise, we determine that the slope, \( m \), is -2.75. What this tells us is that there is a consistent decline in the number of J.C. Penney stores each year, allowing us to extrapolate and predict future values. Grasping this slope concept is crucial as it represents the trend or direction of the linear relationship within the data.
Predict Future Values
Once we have a linear equation, it becomes a valuable tool to forecast future scenarios. Predicting values is essentially extrapolating the data based on the established trend. In the J.C. Penney problem, we are interested in the predicted number of stores in future years.

By substituting different values of \( t \) (representing years) into the linear equation, we can estimate the number of stores. It is important to remember that such predictions are based on the assumption that the trend continues without change. When the result yields a fraction, it should be rounded to an appropriate value, as in our case, to the nearest whole number of stores. Crucially, the utility of such predictions hinges on the linearity and consistency of past trends extending into the future.
Point-Slope Form of Linear Equations
The point-slope form is another vital part of translating real-world scenarios into linear equations. It's particularly helpful when we have a slope and a specific point. The formula is presented as \( y - y_1 = m(x - x_1) \), with \( (x_1, y_1) \) being the coordinates of the point and \( m \) the slope.

In practice, like in the NUMBER OF STORES problem, this form lets us incorporate the calculated slope together with a specific data point to construct our linear model. Afterward, we can manipulate this equation into the slope-intercept form (\( y = mx + b \)), which many find more intuitive for making predictions or analyzing the relationship between variables. Being proficient in both forms allows for flexibility and efficiency in problem-solving.

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