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The population \(N(t)\) (in millions) of India \(t\) years after 1985 may be approximated by the formula \(N(t)=766 e^{0.0182t}\) When will the population reach 1.5 billion?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population will reach 1.5 billion around the year 2023.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Formula

The given population model is formulated as \( N(t) = 766 e^{0.0182t} \), where \( N(t) \) represents the population in millions and \( t \) is the number of years after 1985. We need to find \( t \) when \( N(t) = 1500 \) million (since 1.5 billion is equal to 1500 million).
02

Set the Equation

Set the equation using the population value: \( 766 e^{0.0182t} = 1500 \). This equation will allow us to solve for \( t \).
03

Isolate the Exponential

Divide both sides of the equation by 766 to get the exponential term by itself: \( e^{0.0182t} = \frac{1500}{766} \).
04

Take the Natural Logarithm

Take the natural logarithm on both sides to eliminate the exponential: \( \ln(e^{0.0182t}) = \ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right) \). This simplifies to \( 0.0182t = \ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right) \).
05

Solve for t

Solve for \( t \) by dividing both sides by 0.0182: \( t = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right)}{0.0182} \). Calculating this gives \( t \approx 38.14 \).
06

Calculate the Year

Since \( t \) is the number of years after 1985, add \( t \) to 1985 to find the year: 1985 + 38.14 ≈ 2023.14. Therefore, the population will reach 1.5 billion around the year 2023.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Modeling
Population modeling is a mathematical representation of how populations change over time. It's essential in understanding the growth patterns of living organisms, like humans in a specific country. In population modeling, we often use equations that can predict future population numbers based on current statistics and growth rates.

For the exercise, we have a given model: \[ N(t) = 766 e^{0.0182t} \]where:
  • \( N(t) \) is the population in millions.
  • \( t \) is the number of years after 1985.
  • \( 766 \) is the initial population in millions at year 1985.
  • \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm.
  • \( 0.0182 \) is the annual growth rate.
Population models help us identify trends and make predictions about future population sizes. In this case, the model lets us determine when the population will reach 1.5 billion people.
Natural Logarithm
The natural logarithm is a logarithm to the base of the mathematical constant \( e \). It's a crucial concept in solving exponential equations like the one in the exercise. When dealing with equations where the unknown variable is in the exponent, we can use natural logarithms to simplify them.

For instance, in the exercise, the equation was:\[ e^{0.0182t} = \frac{1500}{766} \]Taking the natural logarithm of both sides helps us get rid of the exponent:\[ \ln(e^{0.0182t}) = \ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right) \]
This step is vital because the natural logarithm of \( e^x \) is simply \( x \). This property makes it easier to isolate the variables and solve for them. Thus, we convert:\[ 0.0182t = \ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right) \]
Year Calculation
After determining the value of \( t \), which represents the number of years since 1985, it's straightforward to calculate the actual year. This is the final step in using a population model prediction for a real-world year.

Given the equation:\[ t = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{1500}{766}\right)}{0.0182} \]we solved it to get \( t \approx 38.14 \). This means that 38.14 years will have passed from 1985.

To find the specific year, simply add this duration to 1985:
  • 1985 + 38.14 = 2023.14
Rounding this result indicates that the population will approximately reach 1.5 billion sometime in the year 2023. This type of calculation is invaluable to transform abstract mathematical solutions into meaningful time frames.

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