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Involve dialing the last four digits of a phone number that has an area code of 907 and an exchange of \(316 .\) The exchange consists of the first three digits of the seven-digit phone number. What is the probability that the (last four) digits you dial are different from one another?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that the last four digits of the phone number are different from each other is 0.504

Step by step solution

01

Identify the digits

In modern telephony, digits can range from 0-9, hence we have 10 digits to pick from. The problem requires that the four digits must be different from one another, where repetition is not allowed.
02

Calculate the permutations

In order to calculate the number of permutations possible, the rule of multiplication is used. We calculate the product of decreasing values starting from 10. Since the first digit of the four digits can be any of the 10 digits, there are 10 possibilities for the first digit. Given that the first digit is used up, there are 9 available digits for the second place, hence there are \(10 \times 9 = 90\) possibilities for the first two digits. This reasoning continues, yielding \(10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7 = 5040\) possible combinations for the four digits.
03

Calculate the Total Number of Options

The total number of 4-digit combinations that can be drawn from 10 digits (0-9) without restrictions on repetition is \(10^{4} = 10000\)
04

Calculate the required probability

The probability of the last four digits of a phone number being different can be calculated as the ratio of the number of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes. Therefore the required probability = \(\frac{5040}{10000} = 0.504\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Permutations
In mathematics, the concept of permutations relates to the different ways in which a set of distinct objects can be arranged in sequence. When we speak about permutations in probability and combinatorics, we're looking at counting the number of ways to order or arrange objects without repetition.

For example, if we were asking about the permutations of the last four digits of a telephone number where no digit repeats, we would approach it just as in the provided exercise. Each digit can only be used once. Starting with 10 digits (0-9), there are 10 options for the first digit. Once that's selected, we have 9 options left for the second digit, and the process continues with reducing options. This leads to a multiplication of choices – 10 for the first, then 9 for the second, and so forth.

This gives us the permutation formula for 'n' number of places as: \[ P(n) = n \times (n-1) \times (n-2) \times \text{...} \times 2 \times 1 \]

For our four-digit number, this process gives us \[ 10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7 = 5040 \] possible permutations where no digits repeat. Seeing permutations at work helps students better conceptualize why we're multiplying these successive options, and how every choice affects the total count.
Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a field of mathematics primarily concerned with counting, both as a means for itself and to solve certain problems. It includes the study of how to combine certain sets of objects according to specified constraints. In the context of our telephone number exercise, combinatorics would be the overarching concept incorporating permutations.

Combinatorics divides into various types, including permutations without repetition, combinations without repetition, and others involving repetition or specific constraints. The specific problem of dialing a distinct four-digit sequence from a set of 10 digits falls under the 'permutations without repetition' category since each digit must be different.

Understanding combinatorics builds the foundation for probability calculation, as it allows us to determine the possible ways of achieving an outcome. Knowing the total number of outcomes is essential in calculating probabilities, as it forms the denominator in our probability formula:
Multiplication Rule
The multiplication rule is fundamental in probability and combinatorics. It states that if we have two independent events, the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probabilities of each event occurring separately.

In our example, the event of choosing the first digit has 10 possible outcomes, and the event of choosing the second digit has 9 possible outcomes, assuming the first digit has already been chosen and cannot be repeated. The multiplication rule expresses that the total number of possible permutations for these two choices is \[ 10 \times 9 \].

This process continues as you multiply the number of choices for each subsequent digit, gradually reducing as each digit cannot be repeated. This multiplication continues until you have covered all 4 digits, leading you to the total permutations possible without repetition. It's crucial to understand the multiplication rule because it allows us to compute probabilities for compound events and helps grasp more intricate probability questions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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